Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#216
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#230
Pace63.2#321
Improvement-0.4#199

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#292
First Shot-4.8#305
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#153
Layup/Dunks-2.8#286
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#74
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#214
Freethrows-2.5#317
Improvement+0.6#137

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#137
First Shot+1.1#140
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#182
Layups/Dunks+2.1#97
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#96
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#320
Freethrows+1.9#61
Improvement-1.0#241
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 8.3% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.4
.500 or above 34.1% 51.5% 26.2%
.500 or above in Conference 66.9% 83.0% 59.6%
Conference Champion 3.2% 7.3% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Four1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
First Round5.9% 7.9% 4.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cleveland St. (Away) - 31.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 411 - 514 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 62   @ Florida St. L 62-74 9%     0 - 1 -0.4 -9.9 +10.6
  Nov 08, 2024 14   @ Purdue L 50-72 3%     0 - 2 -1.9 -9.2 +4.5
  Nov 14, 2024 205   Nicholls St. L 59-61 58%     0 - 3 -7.3 -14.8 +7.4
  Nov 19, 2024 42   Cincinnati L 60-76 13%     0 - 4 -7.1 -0.1 -8.3
  Nov 27, 2024 119   @ College of Charleston L 64-79 21%     0 - 5 -9.5 -3.8 -6.2
  Nov 30, 2024 353   Bellarmine W 86-70 88%     1 - 5 -0.1 +3.6 -3.3
  Dec 03, 2024 131   @ Akron L 73-86 22%     1 - 6 -8.1 +5.4 -14.0
  Dec 07, 2024 324   @ IU Indianapolis W 66-64 64%     2 - 6 1 - 0 -4.8 -5.1 +0.5
  Dec 15, 2024 180   Norfolk St. W 71-62 53%     3 - 6 +5.2 -0.5 +6.2
  Dec 18, 2024 334   Detroit Mercy W 73-60 84%     4 - 6 2 - 0 -0.7 -2.4 +2.3
  Dec 21, 2024 241   South Carolina St. W 58-47 65%     5 - 6 +3.8 -10.6 +15.8
  Dec 29, 2024 243   @ Robert Morris L 93-97 3OT 44%     5 - 7 2 - 1 -5.5 -4.4 +0.0
  Jan 01, 2025 148   Purdue Fort Wayne W 69-68 OT 45%     6 - 7 3 - 1 -0.9 -6.2 +5.3
  Jan 04, 2025 330   Green Bay W 78-60 83%     7 - 7 4 - 1 +4.6 +7.4 -0.5
  Jan 08, 2025 199   @ Youngstown St. L 61-72 34%     7 - 8 4 - 2 -9.9 -4.9 -5.5
  Jan 11, 2025 179   Oakland L 53-68 52%     7 - 9 4 - 3 -18.8 -10.1 -12.2
  Jan 15, 2025 185   @ Cleveland St. L 63-68 31%    
  Jan 18, 2025 183   Wright St. W 69-68 52%    
  Jan 24, 2025 161   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 68-69 48%    
  Jan 30, 2025 334   @ Detroit Mercy W 68-63 67%    
  Feb 01, 2025 179   @ Oakland L 60-65 32%    
  Feb 05, 2025 185   Cleveland St. W 66-65 55%    
  Feb 08, 2025 243   Robert Morris W 69-65 65%    
  Feb 14, 2025 330   @ Green Bay W 71-67 66%    
  Feb 16, 2025 161   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 65-71 28%    
  Feb 21, 2025 183   @ Wright St. L 66-71 32%    
  Feb 23, 2025 324   IU Indianapolis W 72-62 82%    
  Feb 27, 2025 148   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 68-75 26%    
  Mar 01, 2025 199   Youngstown St. W 66-64 56%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.6 2.5 0.4 0.0 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.7 4.0 0.5 7.6 3rd
4th 0.2 2.8 7.0 1.3 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.2 3.2 8.6 3.3 0.1 15.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.9 7.8 5.8 0.5 17.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.6 8.3 7.2 1.2 0.0 20.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.3 6.1 4.3 1.1 0.1 15.5 8th
9th 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.1 2.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.6 4.7 10.5 15.7 19.4 18.9 14.0 8.4 4.1 1.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 99.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-5 75.2% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1
14-6 28.5% 1.2    0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 4.7% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 52.4% 52.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 15.5% 15.5% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 1.7% 17.9% 17.9% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.4
14-6 4.1% 12.8% 12.8% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 3.6
13-7 8.4% 12.3% 12.3% 14.9 0.2 0.8 0.1 7.4
12-8 14.0% 10.1% 10.1% 15.2 0.0 1.0 0.4 12.6
11-9 18.9% 6.9% 6.9% 15.4 0.0 0.8 0.5 17.6
10-10 19.4% 4.5% 4.5% 15.8 0.1 0.7 18.5
9-11 15.7% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.4 15.3
8-12 10.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 10.3
7-13 4.7% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 4.6
6-14 1.6% 1.6
5-15 0.6% 0.6
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.0 2.5 93.7 0.0%