Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#192
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#153
Pace71.8#120
Improvement+0.7#129

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#195
First Shot-2.3#235
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#100
Layup/Dunks-0.5#197
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#259
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#162
Freethrows-0.7#221
Improvement+0.4#145

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#198
First Shot-5.3#338
After Offensive Rebounds+4.5#2
Layups/Dunks-0.3#188
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#223
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#231
Freethrows-3.5#344
Improvement+0.3#158
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.3% 13.6% 8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.3 14.7
.500 or above 86.5% 92.9% 79.6%
.500 or above in Conference 76.1% 85.6% 65.8%
Conference Champion 10.7% 16.5% 4.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.2% 0.7%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.5%
First Round11.1% 13.4% 8.6%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oakland (Home) - 51.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 63 - 8
Quad 415 - 418 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 15 @Tennessee L 56-95 3%     0 - 1 -18.5 -5.7 -13.0
  Wed, Nov 12 123 @East Tennessee St. L 63-75 23%     0 - 2 -6.2 -9.2 +3.4
  Thu, Nov 20 323 @Central Michigan W 90-66 68%     1 - 2 +17.4 +15.5 +2.5
  Mon, Nov 24 254 Eastern Kentucky W 82-71 73%     2 - 2 +2.7 +2.2 +0.4
  Wed, Nov 26 225 Wofford W 93-83 68%     3 - 2 +3.3 +11.5 -8.8
  Sat, Nov 29 287 Boston University W 74-65 77%     4 - 2 -0.8 +1.9 -1.6
  Wed, Dec 3 320 Cleveland St. W 95-80 84%     5 - 2 1 - 0 +2.5 +11.7 -9.5
  Sat, Dec 6 224 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-79 45%     5 - 3 1 - 1 -2.7 -3.8 +1.2
  Sat, Dec 13 294 @Bellarmine W 80-76 59%     6 - 3 -0.3 +1.5 -1.7
  Wed, Dec 17 149 Oakland W 84-83 52%    
  Sun, Dec 21 171 College of Charleston W 75-73 57%    
  Mon, Dec 29 186 @Robert Morris L 71-74 38%    
  Thu, Jan 1 355 IU Indianapolis W 95-80 92%    
  Sun, Jan 4 166 Youngstown St. W 74-72 57%    
  Fri, Jan 9 236 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 77-78 47%    
  Sun, Jan 11 277 @Green Bay W 74-73 55%    
  Thu, Jan 15 291 Detroit Mercy W 79-71 78%    
  Sat, Jan 17 186 Robert Morris W 74-71 60%    
  Sat, Jan 24 152 @Wright St. L 71-76 31%    
  Fri, Jan 30 291 @Detroit Mercy W 76-74 58%    
  Sun, Feb 1 149 @Oakland L 81-86 31%    
  Wed, Feb 4 277 Green Bay W 77-70 75%    
  Sat, Feb 7 236 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 80-75 68%    
  Thu, Feb 12 355 @IU Indianapolis W 92-83 79%    
  Wed, Feb 18 224 Purdue Fort Wayne W 82-77 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 166 @Youngstown St. L 71-75 35%    
  Wed, Feb 25 320 @Cleveland St. W 81-76 66%    
  Sat, Feb 28 152 Wright St. W 74-73 52%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.3 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1 10.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.4 5.0 2.9 0.6 0.1 12.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.8 5.6 2.6 0.4 0.0 13.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.7 6.6 3.0 0.3 0.0 14.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.3 6.5 3.1 0.3 0.0 13.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.6 3.2 0.3 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.5 2.7 0.4 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.2 1.8 0.3 7.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.0 4.1 6.8 9.5 12.4 14.3 14.5 12.7 9.9 6.5 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
17-3 95.3% 1.5    1.4 0.2
16-4 82.3% 3.1    2.2 0.8 0.0
15-5 49.9% 3.3    1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0
14-6 19.6% 1.9    0.4 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.0% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 10.7% 10.7 6.1 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.5% 35.0% 35.0% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.6% 36.5% 36.5% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.0
16-4 3.7% 26.6% 26.6% 13.7 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 2.7
15-5 6.5% 23.8% 23.8% 14.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 5.0
14-6 9.9% 20.2% 20.2% 14.3 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.7 0.0 7.9
13-7 12.7% 15.3% 15.3% 14.6 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.1 10.7
12-8 14.5% 11.9% 11.9% 14.9 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.3 12.8
11-9 14.3% 7.8% 7.8% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 13.2
10-10 12.4% 4.9% 4.9% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 11.8
9-11 9.5% 3.9% 3.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 9.2
8-12 6.8% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.6
7-13 4.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 4.1
6-14 2.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.0
5-15 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.0
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 11.3% 11.3% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.9 4.3 1.5 88.7 0.0%