Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#281
Expected Predictive Rating-8.5#303
Pace72.2#91
Improvement+2.4#82

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#231
First Shot-4.0#292
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#83
Layup/Dunks-2.0#254
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#324
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#93
Freethrows-2.0#296
Improvement+1.2#104

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#301
First Shot-4.9#326
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#129
Layups/Dunks-0.7#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#32
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#336
Freethrows-1.6#287
Improvement+1.1#125
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 5.8% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 14.3% 23.5% 7.8%
.500 or above in Conference 46.4% 62.8% 34.7%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.5% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 1.8% 6.1%
First Four3.4% 4.1% 2.9%
First Round2.9% 3.5% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Away) - 41.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 412 - 1113 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 115   @ Temple L 70-81 13%     0 - 1 -5.4 -4.2 -0.5
  Nov 06, 2024 18   @ Connecticut L 56-92 2%     0 - 2 -17.0 -14.0 -1.6
  Nov 09, 2024 280   @ Dartmouth L 76-81 39%     0 - 3 -8.7 -3.5 -4.7
  Nov 15, 2024 317   Holy Cross L 75-82 59%     0 - 4 -16.0 +4.7 -21.6
  Nov 16, 2024 355   New Hampshire W 80-63 74%     1 - 4 +3.7 +9.4 -4.4
  Nov 17, 2024 198   @ Brown L 70-89 23%     1 - 5 -17.8 +1.9 -20.7
  Nov 21, 2024 239   Central Connecticut St. W 67-54 52%     2 - 5 +5.9 -4.0 +10.4
  Dec 01, 2024 284   @ Boston University W 73-65 39%     3 - 5 +4.1 +1.2 +3.1
  Dec 06, 2024 266   Iona W 83-59 58%     4 - 5 1 - 0 +15.3 +5.3 +8.9
  Dec 08, 2024 210   @ Quinnipiac L 73-83 26%     4 - 6 1 - 1 -9.9 +1.1 -10.6
  Dec 18, 2024 262   Albany L 66-74 57%     4 - 7 -16.5 -12.4 -4.0
  Dec 22, 2024 164   @ Miami (OH) L 76-94 19%     4 - 8 -15.2 -1.8 -12.0
  Jan 05, 2025 351   Canisius W 99-82 80%     5 - 8 2 - 1 +1.4 +14.6 -13.4
  Jan 10, 2025 201   Merrimack L 65-66 43%     5 - 9 2 - 2 -5.9 -5.5 -0.4
  Jan 12, 2025 224   @ Mount St. Mary's L 71-73 28%     5 - 10 2 - 3 -2.7 +2.3 -5.1
  Jan 16, 2025 290   @ Siena L 71-73 41%    
  Jan 18, 2025 229   St. Peter's W 67-66 50%    
  Jan 23, 2025 351   @ Canisius W 77-74 61%    
  Jan 25, 2025 298   @ Niagara L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 02, 2025 296   Manhattan W 81-77 65%    
  Feb 06, 2025 315   Rider W 75-70 69%    
  Feb 08, 2025 301   @ Fairfield L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 14, 2025 210   Quinnipiac L 75-76 47%    
  Feb 16, 2025 290   Siena W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 21, 2025 201   @ Merrimack L 65-73 25%    
  Feb 23, 2025 229   @ St. Peter's L 64-70 31%    
  Feb 28, 2025 208   Marist L 68-69 46%    
  Mar 02, 2025 301   Fairfield W 77-73 65%    
  Mar 06, 2025 296   @ Manhattan L 78-80 43%    
  Mar 08, 2025 266   @ Iona L 72-76 36%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.4 1.4 2.2 0.9 0.1 5.0 3rd
4th 0.3 3.1 3.7 1.8 0.3 9.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.8 3.0 0.3 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 7.2 3.3 0.4 0.0 13.2 6th
7th 1.3 6.0 4.6 0.6 0.0 12.5 7th
8th 0.5 4.1 5.8 1.2 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.1 2.7 5.3 2.0 0.1 10.2 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 5.1 2.7 0.2 9.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 2.7 3.0 0.5 0.0 7.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 1.7 2.2 0.4 4.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.7 13th
Total 0.1 0.1 1.3 3.2 6.7 11.7 14.2 16.4 16.3 13.2 8.7 5.1 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 98.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 26.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1
14-6 12.5% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.2% 35.3% 35.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.9% 28.9% 28.9% 14.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.7
14-6 2.0% 14.0% 14.0% 15.7 0.1 0.2 1.7
13-7 5.1% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 0.0 0.6 4.5
12-8 8.7% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 0.0 0.9 7.7
11-9 13.2% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.0 1.1 12.1
10-10 16.3% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.6 15.7
9-11 16.4% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.4 16.0
8-12 14.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 14.0
7-13 11.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 11.5
6-14 6.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.7
5-15 3.2% 3.2
4-16 1.3% 1.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 4.2 95.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%