Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#270
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#279
Pace71.9#113
Improvement+0.8#120

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#183
First Shot+0.0#173
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#240
Layup/Dunks-7.7#356
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.9#3
Freethrows+0.3#156
Improvement+0.1#171

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#332
First Shot-3.8#304
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#274
Layups/Dunks-2.8#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#351
Freethrows+2.5#48
Improvement+0.7#127
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 5.2% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 28.6% 38.7% 18.1%
.500 or above in Conference 65.8% 70.5% 60.9%
Conference Champion 2.8% 3.4% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 1.0% 2.0%
First Four1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
First Round3.3% 4.4% 2.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Home) - 51.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 62 - 10
Quad 412 - 814 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 141 @Duquesne L 80-92 17%     0 - 1 -7.8 +4.2 -11.2
  Tue, Nov 11 38 @Villanova L 60-94 3%     0 - 2 -18.6 -2.4 -18.4
  Sat, Nov 15 211 @Queens L 64-81 30%     0 - 3 -17.3 -13.8 -3.7
  Fri, Nov 21 313 Holy Cross W 79-66 72%     1 - 3 +1.2 +3.2 -1.4
  Mon, Nov 24 276 @Central Connecticut St. L 106-108 OT 40%     1 - 4 -5.2 +17.7 -22.6
  Sat, Nov 29 104 @Penn St. L 59-90 12%     1 - 5 -23.8 -18.7 -2.1
  Wed, Dec 3 302 @Mount St. Mary's W 87-80 44%     2 - 5 1 - 0 +2.6 +16.0 -13.2
  Sun, Dec 7 171 Iona L 69-81 42%     2 - 6 1 - 1 -15.9 -6.3 -9.5
  Sat, Dec 13 352 @NJIT W 65-49 66%     3 - 6 +6.0 -2.2 +9.9
  Tue, Dec 16 303 @Umass Lowell L 82-87 44%     3 - 7 -9.4 +3.0 -12.2
  Fri, Dec 19 208 Dartmouth W 80-79 51%    
  Mon, Dec 22 140 @Towson L 67-77 17%    
  Mon, Dec 29 265 Merrimack W 74-71 61%    
  Fri, Jan 2 353 @Niagara W 74-70 66%    
  Sun, Jan 4 342 @Canisius W 71-69 59%    
  Fri, Jan 9 163 Marist L 70-73 41%    
  Sun, Jan 11 158 Quinnipiac L 79-82 39%    
  Wed, Jan 14 172 @Siena L 70-78 23%    
  Mon, Jan 19 347 @Rider W 71-68 61%    
  Thu, Jan 22 342 Canisius W 74-66 78%    
  Sat, Jan 24 353 Niagara W 77-67 82%    
  Fri, Jan 30 158 @Quinnipiac L 76-85 20%    
  Sun, Feb 1 265 @Merrimack L 71-74 39%    
  Thu, Feb 5 277 Fairfield W 79-76 62%    
  Sat, Feb 7 319 @Manhattan W 81-80 52%    
  Fri, Feb 13 291 St. Peter's W 73-69 64%    
  Sun, Feb 15 347 Rider W 74-65 79%    
  Fri, Feb 20 277 @Fairfield L 76-79 41%    
  Sun, Feb 22 163 @Marist L 67-76 22%    
  Fri, Feb 27 302 Mount St. Mary's W 78-73 66%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.1 3.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 8.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.8 4.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.2 2.1 5.9 5.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 15.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.6 5.3 1.6 0.1 14.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 4.7 5.1 1.3 0.1 12.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.7 1.4 0.1 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.3 1.4 0.1 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.5 1.1 0.1 5.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.6 6.3 8.9 12.7 14.5 14.3 13.7 10.1 6.8 3.9 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 91.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 80.2% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
16-4 54.4% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 21.2% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 4.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 25.0% 25.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.7% 22.3% 22.3% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-4 1.7% 15.5% 15.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.5
15-5 3.9% 13.6% 13.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 3.4
14-6 6.8% 9.9% 9.9% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 6.2
13-7 10.1% 7.6% 7.6% 15.8 0.2 0.6 9.3
12-8 13.7% 5.4% 5.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 12.9
11-9 14.3% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.8
10-10 14.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3 14.2
9-11 12.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 12.6
8-12 8.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 8.8
7-13 6.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.3
6-14 3.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.6
5-15 1.7% 1.7
4-16 0.8% 0.8
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.9 95.9 0.0%