Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.9 281
Expected Predictive Rating -7.6 285
Pace 71.7 99
Improvement +2.2 98

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 180 C D+ D C C
Defense D 340 D- D+ D B D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% 352 C- 56% 231 -5.7 348
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 284 D 33% 324 -2.2 288
Three Pointers 53% 7 C+ 35% 130 +7.2 18
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.2 215 C -0.6 189
1st FG Attempt C 1.00 197
Second Chance D 26.1% 298 C 1.03 167 D+ 0.27 275
Turnovers D 18.8% 302
Freethrows D+ 0.28 254 B+ 78% 17 C 0.22 185
Total Offense C -0.6 180

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 145 D- 65% 340 +3.7 305
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 345 C 38% 164 -2.4 22
Three Pointers 46% 52 D 37% 317 +4.5 343
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.9 324 D- +4.8 341
1st FG Attempt D- 1.14 343
Second Chance D+ 32.4% 268 D+ 1.10 292 D+ 0.36 297
Turnovers D 14.3% 325
Freethrows B- 0.27 63 C- 73% 220 B 0.19 58
Total Defense D -6.3 340

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.9 131 17.0 143
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 198 0.21 315
Improvement +2.2 #76 +0.0 #193

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 1% 3% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 33% 71% 13%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 2% 2%
First Round1% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Fairfield (Away) - 34.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 411 - 1113 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 104 @Duquesne L 80 - 92 10% -7  3% 0 - 1 C- -5 C+ +3 D C- B+ D- -7 A F F
 Tue, Nov 11 31 @Villanova L 60 - 94 2% -21  4% 0 - 2 F+ -16 D+ -3 B- B- F F -15 F D A
 Sat, Nov 15 209 @Queens L 64 - 81 25% -13  1% 0 - 3 F+ -17 F -16 F+ F D C -1 F C A+
 Fri, Nov 21 322 Holy Cross W 79 - 66 73% +9  91% 1 - 3 C -0 C +0 B F D+ C -0 F C A+
 Mon, Nov 24 291 @Central Connecticut St. L 106 - 108 OT 40% -2  24% 1 - 4 D+ -6 A +12 A C D F -18 F F F+
 Sat, Nov 29 109 @Penn St. L 59 - 90 11% -21  4% 1 - 5 F -24 F -21 F+ F F C -0 D- F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 288 @Mount St. Mary's W 87 - 80 40% +2  69% 2 - 5 1 - 0 C+ +3 A+ +15 D A+ D F -12 F+ F F
 Sun, Dec 7 252 Iona L 69 - 81 54% -4  19% 2 - 6 1 - 1 F -20 F -10 B- D- F F+ -9 D+ D- D-
 Sat, Dec 13 305 @NJIT W 65 - 49 45% +4  71% 3 - 6 B +10 D+ -4 D- C+ D+ A+ +16 A B+ C-
 Tue, Dec 16 315 @Umass Lowell L 82 - 87 48% +0  46% 3 - 7 D- -11 C- -1 B+ F+ F F+ -10 F C+ F
 Fri, Dec 19 253 Dartmouth W 85 - 63 55% +8  92% 4 - 7 B+ +14 C +1 F A+ C+ A +11 A+ D A+
 Mon, Dec 22 166 @Towson L 47 - 72 18% -9  6% 4 - 8 F -22 F -21 F C- F C- -3 F A+ C
 Mon, Dec 29 162 Merrimack L 72 - 80 36% -8  0% 4 - 9 1 - 2 D- -11 C +1 B+ D C- F -13 F C- D
 Fri, Jan 2 332 @Niagara L 61 - 64 56% -9  0% 4 - 10 1 - 3 D- -11 D -6 F C+ F D -6 F B+ D-
 Sun, Jan 4 346 @Canisius L 78 - 82 60% +4  79% 4 - 11 1 - 4 D- -14 C+ +2 C D+ D F -16 F+ F D-
 Fri, Jan 9 183 Marist L 72 - 76 41% +2  57% 4 - 12 1 - 5 D -9 B +7 B+ B+ D- F -16 F F F+
 Sun, Jan 11 193 Quinnipiac L 60 - 70 42% -0  40% 4 - 13 1 - 6 F+ -15 F -10 D D+ F D -6 D A F
 Wed, Jan 14 188 @Siena W 86 - 80 22% +4  97% 5 - 13 2 - 6 B- +7 A+ +14 F+ A+ A+ D -7 C+ D F
 Mon, Jan 19 354 @Rider W 105 - 85 67% +12  96% 6 - 13 3 - 6 B +9 A +14 A+ F B D- -7 F A- F
 Thu, Jan 22 346 Canisius W 69 - 66 79% -2  29% 7 - 13 4 - 6 D- -13 F -11 C F D+ C- -2 F A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 24 332 Niagara W 71 - 70 76% -5  1% 8 - 13 5 - 6 D- -13 D- -7 B- F B- D -7 F F B
 Fri, Jan 30 193 @Quinnipiac W 98 - 91 22% +1  56% 9 - 13 6 - 6 B- +8 A+ +19 A D- A+ F -11 D- F+ F
 Sun, Feb 1 162 @Merrimack L 58 - 75 18% -8  3% 9 - 14 6 - 7 D- -14 F+ -8 C- F F D- -8 B+ F F
 Thu, Feb 5 267 Fairfield L 87 - 92 58% -8  0% 9 - 15 6 - 8 D- -14 B- +4 D+ A+ A F -18 F F C
 Sat, Feb 7 317 @Manhattan L 68 - 80 49% +2  64% 9 - 16 6 - 9 F -19 F -14 F F C- D+ -4 D A- F
 Fri, Feb 13 225 St. Peter's W 78 - 71 49% +5  92% 10 - 16 7 - 9 C +0 B+ +8 A- C- B D -7 B F F
 Sun, Feb 15 354 Rider W 86 - 75 84% +11  90% 11 - 16 8 - 9 D+ -6 C+ +3 C- B- D F+ -9 F C F
 Fri, Feb 20 267 @Fairfield L 78 - 82 35%
 Sun, Feb 22 183 @Marist L 68 - 76 21%
 Fri, Feb 27 288 Mount St. Mary's W 78 - 75 62%
Totals 12 - 18 9 - 11 -7 C -1 D- C C D -6 C+ B+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- D C+ C 30% 28% 53% C C D C D+ D D+ B+ C D D- C D D- 40% 15% 46% D D- D+ D+ D+ D B- C- B
1.08 56% 33% 35% -1 0 1.00 26% 1.0 .27 19% .28 78% .22 1.18 65% 38% 37% +5 +1 1.14 32% 1.1 .36 14% .27 73% .20
Nov
7		 Duquesne C+ A+ F F+ D- 28% 14% 58% B- D B+ F C- B+ A+ D- A+ D- F+ F A+ A+ 42% 5% 53% D+ A F F+ F F F B+ F
1.08 75% 0% 28% -6 0 0.91 35% 0.7 .26 15% .73 67% .49 1.24 70% 67% 17% -7 +2 0.93 38% 1.2 .44 9% .58 67% .39
Nov
11		 Villanova D+ D+ F A C+ 31% 17% 52% B B- C- A B- F F C- F F F F F F 20% 6% 74% C- F F C+ D A A+ B+ A+
0.91 53% 13% 40% -1 0 1.00 28% 1.1 .31 26% .06 67% .04 1.43 82% 67% 50% +24 +1 1.52 43% 1.0 .43 20% .11 67% .08
Nov
15		 Queens F F C- C- F 33% 15% 53% C F+ D+ F F D F C- F C C A+ F F 30% 8% 62% C- F D+ B C A+ A+ F A+
0.92 44% 38% 34% -4 0 0.95 30% 0.3 .09 17% .19 73% .14 1.17 60% 25% 48% +13 +1 1.30 32% 1.0 .32 23% .15 88% .13
Nov
21		 Holy Cross C C- A A B 23% 8% 70% C B C- F F D+ D- B- D C D+ F D- F+ 33% 13% 53% F F F+ A C A+ D+ B- C-
1.18 58% 50% 41% +8 +1 1.19 28% 0.7 .19 15% .21 75% .16 0.99 60% 50% 38% +5 +1 1.13 27% 0.8 .20 24% .29 73% .22
Nov
24		 Central Connecticut St. A C+ A A+ A 39% 16% 44% D+ A D A C D A+ A+ A+ F F D- F+ F 46% 28% 26% F F C F F F+ F B- F
1.30 58% 50% 44% +9 +1 1.21 27% 1.2 .33 15% .37 96% .36 1.32 77% 44% 40% +13 0 1.26 28% 1.9 .52 13% .47 76% .35
Nov
29		 Penn St. F F F B- F+ 34% 18% 48% C F+ F F F F C- A+ B- C D- A+ F D- 55% 18% 27% D- D- F F F A+ F A+ F
0.76 47% 22% 38% -4 0 0.94 18% 0.7 .12 31% .21 91% .19 1.16 68% 11% 50% +7 +2 1.20 41% 1.4 .59 22% .48 66% .31
Dec
3		 Mount St. Mary's A+ D- B D- D 18% 20% 61% D D A+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ F F+ D C+ F+ 45% 9% 45% D- F+ D+ F F F A- B A-
1.29 50% 44% 30% -4 -1 0.91 44% 1.7 .74 16% .50 86% .42 1.19 68% 40% 32% +3 +2 1.13 30% 1.5 .45 15% .24 64% .16
Dec
7		 Iona F C+ F A B- 27% 12% 61% C B- C- F D- F C C+ C+ F+ D F B- C- 35% 7% 57% F+ D+ D- D D- D- D F F
0.98 62% 17% 40% +4 0 1.10 32% 0.7 .24 28% .28 71% .20 1.15 63% 50% 32% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.1 .32 14% .30 83% .25
Dec
13		 NJIT D+ D+ F D+ D- 51% 21% 28% C+ D- C C+ C+ D+ F A D- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 27% 18% 55% D+ A D- A+ B+ C- B A- B+
1.03 54% 20% 31% -7 +1 0.89 34% 1.1 .38 16% .26 79% .21 0.78 54% 22% 22% -14 -1 0.73 31% 0.5 .17 17% .27 64% .17
Dec
16		 Umass Lowell C- C A+ A+ A 22% 24% 55% F B+ F C F+ F F C- F F+ A- F F F 46% 11% 44% F F D A- C+ F A- A A-
1.12 58% 54% 43% +12 -2 1.22 22% 1.1 .25 19% .19 73% .13 1.19 46% 67% 44% +4 +2 1.14 36% 0.9 .31 12% .25 56% .14
Dec
19		 Dartmouth C D A+ F F 40% 10% 50% B- F A+ A+ A+ C+ D- C+ D- A A+ A+ B+ A+ 36% 9% 55% F+ A+ F A+ D A+ F A+ D+
1.15 54% 50% 20% -11 +1 0.83 43% 1.3 .55 12% .22 71% .15 0.85 41% 0% 31% -12 +1 0.81 39% 0.8 .32 28% .41 64% .26
Dec
22		 Towson F F A+ F F 35% 10% 55% B+ F C D+ C- F F A+ F C- F F D+ F 31% 19% 50% D- F C- A+ A+ C B+ A+ A-
0.72 44% 60% 18% -16 +1 0.73 26% 0.9 .24 25% .02 100% .02 1.11 81% 50% 35% +10 0 1.21 37% 0.2 .09 17% .22 58% .13
Dec
29		 Merrimack C C+ A B- A- 30% 21% 49% D+ B+ D+ D D C- C- C C- F D+ B F F 35% 6% 59% D+ F B- F+ C- D F+ A C-
1.09 57% 50% 35% +3 -1 1.06 37% 0.9 .34 20% .32 71% .23 1.21 59% 33% 41% +7 +2 1.18 22% 1.1 .25 14% .40 70% .28
Jan
2		 Niagara D C- F F F 44% 14% 42% B+ F A+ F C+ F A+ B+ A+ D D- D+ F F 37% 12% 51% C- F B- A+ B+ D- C- B+ C
1.05 58% 17% 22% -10 +1 0.84 46% 0.8 .37 24% .41 83% .34 1.10 63% 40% 45% +11 +1 1.26 19% 0.6 .12 15% .24 67% .16
Jan
4		 Canisius C+ A+ C D- C 27% 11% 61% C C F A+ D+ D A+ A+ A+ F F B- A+ F+ 35% 23% 43% C- F+ B F F D- F F F
1.14 83% 40% 30% +3 0 1.09 21% 1.3 .29 18% .50 86% .43 1.20 79% 33% 24% 0 0 1.00 23% 1.8 .42 16% .64 84% .54
Jan
9		 Marist B C F A- B 37% 11% 52% A- B+ B B B+ D- A A+ A+ F F F B+ F 40% 21% 38% D- F F F F F+ C- A C+
1.13 59% 20% 38% +1 +1 1.07 34% 1.1 .38 22% .44 86% .38 1.20 74% 50% 28% +5 0 1.13 33% 1.4 .48 14% .26 71% .18
Jan
11		 Quinnipiac F A- F C+ D+ 26% 20% 54% D D C- D D+ F C F D- D F+ B- F F+ 37% 35% 28% A- D B A+ A F B B+ B+
0.93 67% 0% 36% -3 -1 0.93 31% 0.9 .28 23% .28 57% .16 1.08 65% 32% 40% +3 -2 1.04 28% 0.8 .22 11% .24 64% .16
Jan
14		 Siena A+ F B C F+ 27% 24% 49% D+ F+ C A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ C+ D F B- A C+ 33% 22% 45% D C+ C F D F A+ F A
1.27 31% 43% 34% -6 -1 0.88 32% 1.6 .51 7% .21 100% .21 1.19 70% 38% 26% -1 -1 0.98 30% 1.2 .35 4% .16 90% .14
Jan
19		 Rider A A+ F A+ A+ 41% 13% 46% C- A+ F F F B A+ C+ A D- D+ C+ F F 47% 22% 31% F F A+ C+ A- F C+ B B-
1.36 78% 29% 58% +24 +1 1.52 14% 0.8 .10 12% .38 69% .26 1.10 57% 36% 40% +2 0 1.06 22% 0.9 .20 10% .25 65% .16
Jan
22		 Canisius F F F A+ C- 39% 6% 56% A- C F F F D+ F F F C- A+ F F F 45% 9% 45% F F A- A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+
1.00 48% 0% 43% +2 +2 1.09 19% 0.6 .11 17% .21 50% .11 0.96 36% 60% 48% +2 +2 1.09 21% 0.3 .05 16% .12 57% .07
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Niagara D- A- B B- B- 25% 22% 53% D B- F F F B- C- F D- D F B- F F 51% 13% 36% D- F C+ F F B A A+ A+
1.08 69% 45% 37% +7 -1 1.14 13% 0.5 .06 14% .28 69% .19 1.06 71% 33% 41% +10 +2 1.26 21% 2.0 .42 21% .13 14% .02
Jan
30		 Quinnipiac A+ C A+ A A 29% 11% 60% C A F A- D- A+ A+ A A+ F D F B- D- 32% 12% 56% D- D- D F F+ F F C- F+
1.30 56% 50% 42% +8 +1 1.20 20% 1.2 .23 9% .45 81% .36 1.20 61% 57% 31% +1 +1 1.05 35% 1.2 .43 12% .36 71% .26
Feb
1		 Merrimack F+ F+ B+ D- C 33% 33% 35% F+ C- F A- F F B A+ A+ D- C A+ A+ A- 46% 12% 42% D+ B+ F F F F C+ F+ C-
0.91 46% 46% 29% -4 -2 0.90 19% 1.2 .23 25% .38 89% .33 1.18 57% 17% 24% -10 +2 0.86 36% 1.3 .46 8% .32 84% .27
Feb
5		 Fairfield B- D- C- B- D+ 30% 15% 56% D- D+ C- A+ A+ A A+ F+ B+ F F F F F 43% 11% 45% F F B- F F C C- D- D+
1.22 50% 38% 37% 0 0 1.02 30% 1.6 .49 11% .40 68% .27 1.29 70% 50% 42% +12 +2 1.28 31% 1.4 .45 15% .27 75% .20
Feb
7		 Manhattan F C+ F F F 30% 20% 50% D+ F F A+ F C- C- A+ C+ D+ C D+ C- D 39% 21% 40% D+ D A B- A- F D+ F F+
0.96 63% 27% 26% -7 -1 0.87 21% 1.4 .28 15% .23 86% .20 1.13 55% 42% 35% 0 0 1.02 19% 1.0 .19 11% .32 90% .29
Feb
13		 St. Peter's B+ F F+ A+ A 31% 17% 52% D+ A- F A+ C- B A+ B+ A+ D B A+ B+ B+ 48% 17% 35% F B D- F F F B+ A- A-
1.22 46% 29% 50% +7 0 1.17 24% 1.5 .36 17% .55 79% .43 1.11 48% 22% 28% -11 +1 0.83 40% 1.4 .55 11% .28 69% .19
Feb
15		 Rider C+ B F+ B- C 29% 12% 59% D C- C+ B- B- D A+ A+ A+ F+ C- B- F F 34% 44% 22% A- F C- B- C F A D A-
1.25 64% 33% 38% +5 0 1.12 35% 1.1 .38 16% .40 87% .34 1.09 55% 35% 54% +4 -3 1.03 33% 0.8 .28 10% .18 73% .13



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 4th
5th 0.3 3.0 3.3 5th
6th 0.1 14.7 2.2 17.0 6th
7th 8.7 11.7 20.4 7th
8th 0.3 21.7 1.3 23.4 8th
9th 10.3 14.8 0.0 25.2 9th
10th 9.6 1.1 10.7 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 20.2 46.5 28.1 5.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 5.2% 4.9% 4.9% 15.7 0.1 0.2 5.0
10-10 28.1% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.7 27.4
9-11 46.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.6 45.8
8-12 20.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.3 19.9
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 16.0 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 15.7 27.5 72.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.0%
Lose Out 10.9%