Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#294
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#287
Pace60.2#355
Improvement-2.1#279

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#318
First Shot-5.4#323
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#182
Layup/Dunks-5.0#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#135
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#110
Freethrows-3.0#339
Improvement-1.7#270

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#241
First Shot-2.7#260
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#165
Layups/Dunks+0.5#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#285
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#270
Freethrows+0.0#183
Improvement-0.4#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 7.6% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 11.5% 20.1% 3.9%
.500 or above in Conference 45.1% 68.7% 24.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 0.7% 6.0%
First Four5.9% 6.8% 5.1%
First Round3.3% 4.1% 2.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colgate (Home) - 47.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 31 - 31 - 4
Quad 413 - 1314 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 208   Northeastern L 72-80 39%     0 - 1 -12.9 +1.7 -15.2
  Nov 08, 2024 312   @ San Diego L 60-74 44%     0 - 2 -20.3 -7.3 -14.7
  Nov 11, 2024 26   @ UCLA L 40-71 2%     0 - 3 -13.4 -24.6 +12.2
  Nov 16, 2024 243   Dartmouth W 78-50 48%     1 - 3 +20.9 +5.4 +16.4
  Nov 19, 2024 349   Wagner L 58-60 76%     1 - 4 -17.2 -10.5 -7.0
  Nov 23, 2024 281   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 75-71 37%     2 - 4 -0.3 -4.7 +4.3
  Nov 24, 2024 296   Howard W 69-62 50%     3 - 4 -0.8 -5.5 +5.3
  Dec 01, 2024 271   Sacred Heart L 65-73 54%     3 - 5 -16.7 -12.6 -4.2
  Dec 07, 2024 276   Albany W 80-74 OT 54%     4 - 5 -2.8 +3.3 -6.0
  Dec 13, 2024 195   @ Merrimack L 61-64 21%     4 - 6 -2.3 +6.4 -9.4
  Dec 21, 2024 218   @ Umass Lowell L 71-83 25%     4 - 7 -12.6 +3.6 -17.5
  Dec 29, 2024 191   @ Maine W 59-56 21%     5 - 7 +3.7 -2.4 +6.6
  Jan 02, 2025 290   @ Lafayette L 46-60 38%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -18.6 -18.2 -2.9
  Jan 05, 2025 288   Army W 71-63 57%     6 - 8 1 - 1 -1.5 -1.1 +0.2
  Jan 08, 2025 248   American W 60-54 49%     7 - 8 2 - 1 -1.4 -5.4 +5.1
  Jan 11, 2025 232   @ Colgate L 50-87 27%     7 - 9 2 - 2 -38.4 -22.2 -18.3
  Jan 15, 2025 273   Lehigh W 63-58 54%     8 - 9 3 - 2 -3.7 -2.0 -0.9
  Jan 18, 2025 288   @ Army L 62-68 38%     8 - 10 3 - 3 -10.6 -1.8 -9.9
  Jan 22, 2025 286   @ Navy L 47-62 38%     8 - 11 3 - 4 -19.5 -19.9 -2.1
  Jan 25, 2025 239   Bucknell W 85-82 OT 47%     9 - 11 4 - 4 -4.0 +13.1 -17.0
  Jan 27, 2025 317   Holy Cross W 69-59 65%     10 - 11 5 - 4 -1.7 -5.3 +4.5
  Feb 01, 2025 319   @ Loyola Maryland L 67-69 48%     10 - 12 5 - 5 -9.1 -7.9 -1.3
  Feb 05, 2025 286   Navy W 87-65 57%     11 - 12 6 - 5 +12.5 +23.0 -7.2
  Feb 08, 2025 317   @ Holy Cross L 52-72 46%     11 - 13 6 - 6 -26.7 -19.8 -9.1
  Feb 12, 2025 239   @ Bucknell L 60-76 29%     11 - 14 6 - 7 -18.1 -8.3 -10.9
  Feb 15, 2025 232   Colgate L 66-67 47%    
  Feb 19, 2025 319   Loyola Maryland W 67-63 68%    
  Feb 22, 2025 248   @ American L 61-66 29%    
  Feb 26, 2025 273   @ Lehigh L 64-68 34%    
  Mar 01, 2025 290   Lafayette W 64-62 58%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.5 1.0 3.8 3rd
4th 0.1 4.4 6.3 0.5 11.2 4th
5th 0.2 10.0 19.7 4.3 0.0 34.2 5th
6th 3.5 16.4 4.9 0.1 24.9 6th
7th 0.3 9.6 5.2 0.1 15.1 7th
8th 1.5 4.7 0.2 6.4 8th
9th 2.3 0.6 2.9 9th
10th 0.5 0.5 10th
Total 4.6 18.5 31.8 29.3 13.4 2.5 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 4.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 2.5% 11.4% 11.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.2
10-8 13.4% 9.2% 9.2% 16.0 0.0 1.2 12.1
9-9 29.3% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 2.5 26.8
8-10 31.8% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 1.8 30.0
7-11 18.5% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.5 18.0
6-12 4.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 4.5
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 6.4 93.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 15.9 14.3 85.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6%
Lose Out 2.7%