Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
100 Utah Valley 59.3%   13   22 - 7 14 - 4 +5.2      +2.4 111 +2.9 94 70.7 115 +6.0 94 +4.9 1
115 California Baptist 40.7%   24 - 8 13 - 5 +3.1      -1.3 202 +4.4 63 65.3 265 +5.8 96 +3.9 2
170 Texas Arlington 0.0%   16 - 14 9 - 9 -0.4      -4.9 296 +4.5 61 63.9 303 +0.4 149 -1.5 4
200 Utah Tech 0.0%   16 - 15 11 - 7 -2.1      +0.8 144 -2.8 256 66.8 224 +0.1 156 +1.7 3
229 Tarleton St. 0.0%   10 - 18 5 - 13 -4.0      -4.2 285 +0.2 168 72.4 72 -4.6 241 -6.7 7
249 Abilene Christian 0.0%   11 - 19 5 - 13 -5.1      -5.8 314 +0.7 146 68.6 174 -4.5 238 -6.7 6
264 Southern Utah 0.0%   7 - 22 6 - 12 -5.6      -2.1 225 -3.5 280 74.4 35 -6.7 270 -4.7 5


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Mar 11 249 Abilene Christian 84 229 Tarleton St. 78   
Thu, Mar 12 264 Southern Utah 63 170 Texas Arlington 69   
Thu, Mar 12 249 Abilene Christian 74 200 Utah Tech 80   
Fri, Mar 13 170 Texas Arlington 65 100 Utah Valley 67   
Fri, Mar 13 115 California Baptist 86 200 Utah Tech 72   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Mar 15 115 California Baptist 70 100 Utah Valley 72 58%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th
Utah Valley 1.0 100.0
California Baptist 2.0 100.0
Utah Tech 3.0 100.0
Texas Arlington 4.0 100.0
Southern Utah 5.0 100.0
Abilene Christian 6.0 100.0
Tarleton St. 6.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Utah Valley 14 - 4 23 - 7 100.0
California Baptist 13 - 5 24 - 9 100.0
Utah Tech 11 - 7 16 - 15 100.0
Texas Arlington 9 - 9 16 - 14 100.0
Southern Utah 6 - 12 7 - 22 100.0
Abilene Christian 5 - 13 11 - 19 100.0
Tarleton St. 5 - 13 10 - 18 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Utah Valley 100.0% 100.0
California Baptist
Utah Tech
Texas Arlington
Southern Utah
Abilene Christian
Tarleton St.


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Utah Valley 59.3% 59.3% 0.0% 13   0.3 26.3 30.3 2.5 40.7 0.0%
California Baptist 40.7% 40.7% 0.0% 0.0 13.2 25.2 2.3 59.3 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Utah Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tarleton St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Abilene Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 8.1% 0.1 91.9 8.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Utah Valley 59.3% 0.0% 59.3% 5.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
California Baptist 40.7% 0.0% 40.7% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tarleton St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Abilene Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%