Texas Arlington
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.1#177
Expected Predictive Rating+2.6#134
Pace66.0#275
Improvement+0.3#167

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#247
First Shot-5.2#319
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#56
Layup/Dunks+2.5#96
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#264
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#331
Freethrows-0.4#209
Improvement+0.5#134

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#111
First Shot+0.0#171
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#70
Layups/Dunks-3.0#285
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#321
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#20
Freethrows-0.3#201
Improvement-0.2#192
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.4% 13.4% 8.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.5 14.0
.500 or above 68.5% 85.7% 64.9%
.500 or above in Conference 64.5% 74.0% 62.5%
Conference Champion 7.5% 10.9% 6.7%
Last Place in Conference 4.9% 3.0% 5.3%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round9.3% 13.4% 8.4%
Second Round0.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stanford (Away) - 17.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 56 - 10
Quad 410 - 316 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 74 @New Mexico L 56-74 14%     0 - 1 -7.3 -13.1 +6.4
  Sat, Nov 15 250 Missouri St. W 67-49 75%     1 - 1 +9.9 -7.8 +18.2
  Tue, Nov 18 276 @Evansville W 84-76 57%     2 - 1 +5.0 +13.3 -8.2
  Fri, Nov 21 226 Campbell L 67-71 60%     2 - 2 -7.7 -10.6 +3.1
  Sat, Nov 22 214 @Weber St. W 74-73 47%     3 - 2 +0.7 +5.4 -4.6
  Sat, Nov 29 140 Stephen F. Austin W 66-61 52%     4 - 2 +3.4 +2.2 +1.9
  Tue, Dec 2 153 @Arkansas St. L 63-83 33%     4 - 3 -16.6 -10.6 -5.3
  Thu, Dec 11 208 @UT Rio Grande Valley W 58-50 46%     5 - 3 +7.9 -0.7 +10.3
  Wed, Dec 17 93 @Stanford L 67-77 18%    
  Mon, Dec 22 300 @Oral Roberts W 75-71 64%    
  Mon, Dec 29 199 Tarleton St. W 72-68 66%    
  Thu, Jan 1 127 California Baptist L 67-68 48%    
  Sat, Jan 3 318 @Southern Utah W 73-68 68%    
  Sat, Jan 10 221 Abilene Christian W 67-62 69%    
  Thu, Jan 15 262 @Utah Tech W 68-67 56%    
  Sat, Jan 17 84 @Utah Valley L 63-74 16%    
  Wed, Jan 21 199 Tarleton St. W 72-68 66%    
  Thu, Jan 29 318 Southern Utah W 76-65 84%    
  Sat, Jan 31 127 California Baptist L 67-68 48%    
  Thu, Feb 5 262 @Utah Tech W 68-67 55%    
  Sat, Feb 7 84 @Utah Valley L 63-74 16%    
  Thu, Feb 12 221 @Abilene Christian L 64-65 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 318 Southern Utah W 76-65 84%    
  Thu, Feb 19 262 Utah Tech W 71-64 75%    
  Sat, Feb 21 84 Utah Valley L 66-71 33%    
  Thu, Feb 26 127 @California Baptist L 65-71 28%    
  Thu, Mar 5 199 @Tarleton St. L 69-71 44%    
  Sat, Mar 7 221 @Abilene Christian L 64-65 48%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.8 1.7 2.2 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 7.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.8 6.4 4.7 1.8 0.4 0.0 20.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 5.5 9.0 6.8 2.9 0.5 0.0 26.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.9 7.0 3.3 0.6 0.0 20.9 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 3.2 5.3 3.7 1.1 0.1 14.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.6 2.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.6 7th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 4.0 6.5 9.5 12.3 14.0 14.3 12.3 10.1 6.9 4.0 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 96.7% 0.8    0.7 0.1
15-3 82.0% 1.6    1.2 0.4
14-4 54.3% 2.2    1.2 0.9 0.1
13-5 25.2% 1.7    0.7 0.9 0.2
12-6 7.6% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
11-7 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.5% 7.5 4.2 2.7 0.5 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 53.2% 53.2% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.8% 41.9% 41.9% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 2.0% 30.3% 30.3% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.4
14-4 4.0% 29.0% 29.0% 13.2 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 2.8
13-5 6.9% 21.7% 21.7% 13.4 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 5.4
12-6 10.1% 15.5% 15.5% 13.8 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 8.5
11-7 12.3% 12.4% 12.4% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.0 10.8
10-8 14.3% 7.4% 7.4% 14.4 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 13.2
9-9 14.0% 5.3% 5.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 13.2
8-10 12.3% 3.7% 3.7% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 11.8
7-11 9.5% 2.7% 2.7% 15.8 0.0 0.2 9.3
6-12 6.5% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.4
5-13 4.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 4.0
4-14 1.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.9
3-15 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 13.9 0.1 0.8 2.7 3.2 2.0 0.6 90.6 0.0%