Southern Utah
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.6 262
Results Rating -6.7 270
Consistency 0.16 224
Pace 74.4 35
Improvement +8.5 3

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 223 C C- D- D C
Defense D+ 280 D+ C F+ B C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 119 C+ 59% 140 +1.8 112
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 102 D 34% 315 -0.8 226
Three Pointers 38% 238 C 34% 194 -1.6 234
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 181 C -0.7 198
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 193
Second Chance C 29.5% 205 C- 1.00 230 C- 0.29 211
Opponents' Steals F+ 11.7% 347
Other Turnovers C- 7.6% 240
Turnovers D- 19.4% 330
Freethrows D- 0.26 329 C- 72% 222 D 0.18 317
Total Offense C- -2.1 223

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 44% 260 C 11.0% 182
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 182 D- 7.8% 330
Three Pointers C 83% 214 D+ 1.2% 290
Total C- 52% 254 D+ 6.6% 300


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 78 C 58% 183 +2.4 262
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 93 D 42% 303 +1.6 311
Three Pointers 34% 346 F+ 38% 352 -0.9 141
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 171 D +3.0 304
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 285
Second Chance C- 31.0% 218 C+ 0.99 122 C 0.31 183
Turnovers from Steals F+ 6.5% 350
Other Turnovers D+ 6.7% 259
Turnovers F+ 13.2% 346
Freethrows B 0.27 69 B- 71% 104 B 0.19 61
Total Defense D+ -3.5 280

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 123 C 11.3% 155
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 145 C 4.9% 167
Three Pointers B 78% 39 C+ 1.2% 97
Total B- 50% 74 C+ 6.3% 121

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 176 16.0 10
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 211 0.21 324
Consistency 0.13 227 0.14 315
Improvement +6.6 1 +1.9 100

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 262 262 262
Results Rating Rank 270 270 269
Conference Record 6 - 12 6 - 12 6 - 12
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 132 - 18
Quad 45 - 47 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 66 @Arizona St. L 64 - 81 6% -11  0% 0 - 1 C- -5 D- -8 F B D B- +3 F+ A B+
 Sat, Nov 8 134 UT Rio Grande Valley L 72 - 95 34% -11  4% 0 - 2 F -24 D- -7 D D B- F -16 F C- C-
 Sat, Nov 15 257 @Nebraska Omaha L 85 - 90 38% -3  11% 0 - 3 D+ -7 C+ +3 B F+ C+ F+ -10 F A+ D-
 Mon, Nov 17 12 @Gonzaga L 50 - 122 1% -34  0% 0 - 4 F -50 F -21 F F+ F F -19 F F D-
 Wed, Nov 19 132 @Washington St. L 74 - 98 16% -12  14% 0 - 5 F -19 D+ -3 B+ F F F -15 D+ F F
 Fri, Nov 28 161 @Robert Morris L 54 - 61 20% -11  0% 0 - 6 C- -4 F -16 F C- F A+ +11 A+ C+ D-
 Sat, Nov 29 309 Stetson W 70 - 68 64% -3  30% 1 - 6 D+ -7 F -11 D D- F B +4 C- D+ B+
 Sat, Dec 6 149 @Oregon St. L 70 - 81 19% -11  0% 1 - 7 D+ -7 D+ -4 D+ A- F+ D+ -4 F B C+
 Sat, Dec 13 50 @Washington L 69 - 105 4% -18  0% 1 - 8 F -22 C- -1 A- F C F -20 F C+ F
 Thu, Dec 18 316 @Northern Arizona L 57 - 65 54% -0  47% 1 - 9 D- -15 F -20 F F F B +4 B D+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 199 @Utah Tech L 66 - 80 27% -2  42% 1 - 10 0 - 1 D- -13 F -13 D- D- F C -0 C- C- C
 Sat, Jan 3 169 Texas Arlington L 77 - 86 42% -1  46% 1 - 11 0 - 2 D- -12 C +2 B D+ D- F -14 F A- D
 Thu, Jan 8 100 @Utah Valley L 72 - 89 10% -10  0% 1 - 12 0 - 3 D -9 C- -2 C- C C+ D -6 F+ D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 115 @California Baptist L 55 - 58 14% -6  0% 1 - 13 0 - 4 C+ +3 D -6 F A+ F A +9 A+ D- F
 Thu, Jan 15 229 Tarleton St. W 106 - 105 OT 55% +5  93% 2 - 13 1 - 4 D+ -6 B- +5 B B+ B- F -11 F+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 17 249 Abilene Christian W 74 - 52 60% +11  96% 3 - 13 2 - 4 B+ +14 D+ -4 D+ C+ D+ A+ +17 A+ A C+
 Wed, Jan 21 100 Utah Valley W 84 - 70 23% +4  81% 4 - 13 3 - 4 A- +16 B+ +9 A A F A- +7 A+ B- F
 Sat, Jan 24 199 @Utah Tech L 91 - 102 27% -8  8% 4 - 14 3 - 5 D -10 A- +11 B C+ B+ F -21 F+ F F
 Thu, Jan 29 169 @Texas Arlington L 61 - 80 22% -14  0% 4 - 15 3 - 6 F+ -16 F+ -9 F F C- D- -8 D- D+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 249 @Abilene Christian W 79 - 76 37% -4  7% 5 - 15 4 - 6 C +1 B+ +8 A+ B+ F D- -7 F B- F
 Sat, Feb 7 229 Tarleton St. L 59 - 62 55% -1  30% 5 - 16 4 - 7 D -10 F -17 F D F B+ +7 C+ B+ A-
 Thu, Feb 12 115 California Baptist L 66 - 83 29% -8  4% 5 - 17 4 - 8 F+ -17 D+ -4 B- F+ A- F -13 D- F F
 Sat, Feb 14 169 @Texas Arlington W 78 - 73 22% +3  87% 6 - 17 5 - 8 B- +8 B+ +9 A+ C+ F C -1 D+ A- F
 Thu, Feb 19 229 @Tarleton St. L 74 - 78 33% -1  34% 6 - 18 5 - 9 D+ -5 B- +4 D+ C- C- F+ -9 F B- F
 Sat, Feb 21 249 @Abilene Christian L 83 - 87 37% +4  73% 6 - 19 5 - 10 D+ -6 B- +4 A+ C F F -10 F A+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 199 Utah Tech W 81 - 67 48% +4  61% 7 - 19 6 - 10 B +9 B +6 C A B- B +4 C A+ C
 Thu, Mar 5 100 Utah Valley L 88 - 92 23% -11  0% 7 - 20 6 - 11 C- -2 A +12 A+ B+ C F -14 D C F
 Sat, Mar 7 115 California Baptist L 75 - 82 29% -10  0% 7 - 21 6 - 12 D+ -7 C+ +3 C- B B F+ -9 F F C
 Thu, Mar 12 169 Texas Arlington L 63 - 69 31% -4  14% 7 - 22 D+ -6 F+ -9 D D D- B- +3 A+ C F
Totals 7 - 22 6 - 12 -6 C- -2 D- C C D+ -3 C C- D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C+ D C C 41% 44% 38% C C C C- C- D- D- C- D D+ C D F+ D 43% 23% 34% C D+ C- C+ C F+ B B- B
1.06 59% 34% 34% -1 0 1.01 29% 1.0 .29 19% .26 72% .18 1.14 58% 42% 38% +3 0 1.08 31% 1.0 .31 13% .27 71% .18
Nov
4		 Arizona St. D- C F F F 46% 17% 37% B+ F B C+ B D F A+ F B- D- B F F+ 44% 17% 39% D+ F+ C A+ A B+ B- A- B
0.88 56% 20% 14% -16 +1 0.73 36% 1.0 .36 22% .14 100% .14 1.11 67% 33% 43% +8 +1 1.20 31% 0.8 .26 19% .34 70% .24
Nov
8		 UT Rio Grande Valley D- B F D D+ 31% 27% 42% D- D D+ D D B- D F F+ F C+ A+ F F 47% 12% 42% F F F A+ C- C- A+ A+ A+
0.98 65% 27% 30% -3 -1 0.93 28% 0.8 .21 15% .31 63% .19 1.30 57% 14% 64% +16 +2 1.37 44% 0.6 .28 16% .08 60% .05
Nov
15		 Nebraska Omaha C+ A A+ D- B 45% 14% 41% B B C- F F+ C+ D+ D+ D+ F+ C- D+ F F 44% 22% 35% D+ F C A+ A+ D- F F F
1.14 73% 50% 29% +5 +1 1.16 28% 0.7 .21 13% .26 71% .19 1.21 58% 42% 53% +11 0 1.24 25% 0.3 .06 13% .39 80% .31
Nov
17		 Gonzaga F C+ F F F 29% 29% 43% C F D+ F F+ F D+ D+ D+ F F+ F F F 36% 42% 22% A+ F C+ F F D- C+ F C-
0.61 56% 25% 17% -15 -2 0.68 20% 0.6 .11 28% .26 67% .17 1.49 74% 63% 57% +24 -3 1.44 35% 1.6 .54 11% .27 80% .22
Nov
19		 Washington St. D+ B B- A A- 31% 31% 38% D- B+ F F F F C- C C- F F+ F C D 36% 24% 40% B D+ D- F F F B- A- B
1.03 63% 44% 40% +7 -2 1.12 17% 0.8 .13 19% .28 75% .21 1.36 71% 57% 35% +10 -1 1.21 34% 1.9 .66 10% .25 69% .17
Nov
28		 Robert Morris F C- F F F 47% 22% 31% C F D A- C- F D F F A+ A+ F A+ A 27% 31% 41% A A+ B- C C+ D- B- A+ A-
0.84 57% 10% 21% -13 0 0.78 25% 1.1 .28 23% .32 63% .20 0.94 43% 56% 19% -8 -2 0.82 33% 1.1 .36 15% .22 50% .11
Nov
29		 Stetson F A F F D- 52% 20% 28% B- D F A D- F C+ A+ A- B D+ F A D+ 36% 28% 36% B C- D- B- D+ B+ A F B+
1.01 73% 20% 21% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.3 .28 19% .30 88% .27 0.98 61% 50% 28% +1 -1 1.02 30% 1.0 .30 22% .18 80% .15
Dec
6		 Oregon St. D+ D+ A+ F F+ 57% 8% 35% A D+ D- A+ A- F+ F F F D+ F B F F 40% 24% 36% B- F B- B+ B C+ B D+ B-
1.00 52% 50% 22% -9 +3 0.90 26% 1.7 .43 18% .24 64% .16 1.15 70% 33% 44% +9 0 1.20 24% 1.1 .28 18% .33 79% .26
Dec
13		 Washington C- A+ A- D- A 28% 35% 37% D A- D+ F F C F F F F D F F F 35% 27% 38% C F C- B- C+ F D D+ D-
0.97 75% 45% 29% +4 -3 1.05 23% 0.4 .10 15% .17 50% .08 1.47 67% 50% 48% +14 -1 1.28 37% 1.1 .40 3% .33 78% .26
Dec
18		 Northern Arizona F F F+ A F 54% 21% 25% C+ F F F F F D- D- F+ B A- B F B 51% 31% 18% C B C- D D+ F D B- D+
0.88 46% 30% 42% -5 +1 0.94 24% 0.8 .18 23% .24 67% .16 1.00 48% 33% 44% -4 0 0.94 24% 1.1 .27 12% .30 65% .19
Dec
29		 Utah Tech F F B+ D F 51% 14% 35% B D- D+ F+ D- F A F B- C B- A+ F C 53% 11% 36% F C- F A C- C C+ A+ B+
0.92 48% 43% 29% -7 +2 0.92 28% 0.9 .26 21% .37 62% .23 1.11 55% 17% 45% +2 +2 1.11 38% 0.7 .28 17% .22 62% .13
Jan
3		 Texas Arlington C A F F B- 47% 22% 31% B+ B D C+ D+ D- C B+ B- F B- F+ F F 41% 22% 37% B- F A+ D+ A- D F+ D F
1.06 71% 27% 25% -1 +1 1.02 24% 1.1 .26 19% .36 76% .27 1.18 50% 45% 56% +10 0 1.22 24% 1.0 .24 18% .42 76% .32
Jan
8		 Utah Valley C- F F A+ C- 40% 19% 42% C C- D A C C+ D+ F F+ D D- B+ F F 52% 19% 30% B- F+ F B+ D+ C+ B- B+ B
0.99 43% 20% 45% -2 0 0.98 26% 1.2 .31 19% .32 58% .19 1.22 68% 30% 44% +8 +1 1.20 46% 0.9 .43 21% .28 63% .17
Jan
10		 California Baptist D F F F F 42% 18% 40% B- F A A+ A+ F F B- D- A A+ A+ A+ A+ 39% 27% 35% A- A+ F C- D- F D- A+ C+
0.90 42% 13% 22% -18 +1 0.67 36% 1.3 .46 20% .25 75% .18 0.95 37% 23% 18% -21 -1 0.59 44% 1.0 .42 10% .35 58% .20
Jan
15		 Tarleton St. B- B+ D- B+ B- 40% 11% 49% B+ B D+ A+ B+ B- A+ C A+ F B B F D- 61% 18% 21% F F+ B F F D+ D- C D-
1.17 67% 33% 38% +6 +1 1.17 30% 1.5 .45 20% .58 74% .43 1.16 50% 33% 57% +2 +2 1.09 28% 1.5 .44 18% .38 75% .28
Jan
17		 Abilene Christian D+ B F C D 45% 12% 43% B- D+ A- F+ C+ D+ F C F A+ A+ A A+ A+ 55% 14% 31% F A+ D- A+ A C+ F D- F
1.04 65% 17% 36% +2 +2 1.10 34% 0.9 .31 24% .26 71% .18 0.73 30% 29% 20% -23 +2 0.59 35% 0.4 .16 21% .44 76% .34
Jan
21		 Utah Valley B+ C+ F A+ A+ 36% 23% 40% D+ A A B- A F C+ A+ B+ A- A A+ A+ A+ 48% 13% 39% C A+ C B+ B- F D+ A C+
1.19 59% 27% 53% +9 -1 1.19 39% 1.1 .43 24% .35 84% .30 0.99 48% 14% 23% -14 +2 0.77 37% 0.9 .35 14% .33 60% .20
Jan
24		 Utah Tech A- A+ F D+ B 50% 24% 26% C- B C- A- C+ B+ A+ A A+ F C- D- F F+ 52% 18% 31% D- F+ F+ F F F D- C- D-
1.26 76% 25% 31% +5 0 1.12 30% 1.2 .37 12% .47 80% .38 1.41 63% 45% 42% +7 +1 1.19 34% 1.3 .46 4% .29 75% .22
Jan
29		 Texas Arlington F+ F B F+ D- 27% 43% 31% F F F+ F F C- A F+ B D- C- A+ F D- 53% 18% 29% D D- F A+ D+ D- D+ C D+
0.87 31% 43% 27% -9 -4 0.78 20% 0.8 .15 17% .45 65% .29 1.14 56% 22% 40% -1 +1 1.02 51% 0.7 .37 17% .38 73% .27
Jan
31		 Abilene Christian B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 32% 16% D A+ A D B+ F C+ A+ A D- F C+ F F 30% 32% 38% A F A+ F B- F A+ A+ A+
1.16 85% 50% 50% +22 0 1.45 38% 1.0 .38 32% .45 86% .39 1.11 81% 35% 40% +10 -2 1.17 22% 1.1 .25 13% .20 50% .10
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Tarleton St. F F F B F 33% 23% 44% D+ F B F D F F A+ F B+ A F C C+ 50% 32% 18% C- C+ B+ B B+ A- A+ A A+
0.86 38% 27% 38% -7 -1 0.88 38% 0.8 .30 28% .16 88% .14 0.90 44% 50% 33% -3 -1 0.94 27% 0.9 .24 23% .23 67% .15
Feb
12		 California Baptist D+ C+ F A B- 46% 24% 30% C+ B- D F F+ A- C+ F D- F A- F F+ F 40% 29% 31% A D- C F F F A+ D A+
0.98 57% 25% 40% -1 0 1.00 22% 0.6 .14 12% .34 55% .18 1.23 43% 59% 39% +3 -1 1.05 37% 1.4 .51 12% .13 75% .10
Feb
14		 Texas Arlington B+ B A+ A A+ 36% 29% 36% C- A+ A- F C+ F A- C- B+ C A+ F D- D 45% 26% 30% B D+ A- B+ A- F F B F
1.12 63% 69% 38% +12 -1 1.24 36% 0.9 .32 23% .43 70% .30 1.05 38% 58% 36% -3 0 0.96 29% 0.8 .24 13% .48 69% .33
Feb
19		 Tarleton St. B- F F A+ D+ 35% 21% 44% C- D+ A- F C- C- A+ B A+ F+ F C- A+ F 62% 27% 11% F F D A B- F B- A+ B+
1.11 33% 22% 53% 0 0 1.02 42% 0.8 .33 22% .52 78% .40 1.17 71% 40% 17% +5 +1 1.15 35% 0.8 .26 15% .30 65% .19
Feb
21		 Abilene Christian B- C+ D A+ A+ 52% 20% 28% C+ A+ A F C F C- C+ C- F F F A+ F 62% 12% 26% F F A- A+ A+ F F D+ F
1.11 63% 33% 69% +16 +1 1.37 38% 0.8 .29 32% .43 73% .31 1.16 71% 50% 23% +5 +3 1.18 24% 0.6 .14 16% .52 73% .38
Feb
28		 Utah Tech B B- A+ D- C+ 34% 24% 42% D- C A B- A B- A+ D+ A B A B F D+ 37% 29% 33% A C A+ A+ A+ C C+ F C-
1.22 65% 50% 29% +2 -1 1.04 43% 1.1 .49 14% .40 70% .28 1.01 47% 33% 53% +4 -1 1.08 13% 0.5 .07 17% .22 83% .18
Mar
5		 Utah Valley A A+ C+ A+ A+ 51% 11% 38% A- A+ D- A+ B+ C A+ F B F D F D F+ 49% 21% 30% B D C+ C- C F F D+ F
1.23 74% 40% 47% +16 +2 1.38 24% 1.7 .40 20% .47 59% .28 1.29 65% 45% 38% +7 +1 1.17 35% 1.1 .39 10% .48 71% .34
Mar
7		 California Baptist C+ A- C+ F D+ 45% 20% 35% B- C- D+ A+ B B A+ A A+ F+ F F A- F 38% 35% 27% A+ F B+ F F C C- B+ C
1.07 64% 40% 18% -6 +1 0.92 23% 1.4 .31 13% .43 81% .34 1.17 70% 50% 29% +7 -2 1.12 32% 1.5 .48 17% .31 67% .21
Mar
12		 Texas Arlington F+ C A+ F D- 35% 16% 49% B D C- F+ D D- F C- F B- A+ A+ A+ A+ 56% 17% 27% D- A+ F+ A- C F D+ F+ D-
0.88 58% 56% 19% -9 0 0.85 27% 0.9 .24 20% .17 70% .12 0.97 38% 22% 21% -19 +2 0.67 41% 0.8 .33 14% .37 78% .29



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%