Abilene Christian
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.1 249
Results Rating -4.5 238
Consistency 0.16 222
Pace 68.6 173
Improvement +0.8 153

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 314 D D+ F+ B- C-
Defense C 146 F+ C+ A+ F D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 120 D 53% 297 -0.7 210
2 Pt. Jumpers 54% 37 C- 37% 203 +1.5 97
Three Pointers 34% 318 D+ 32% 277 -4.7 328
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 237 D -3.4 297
1st FG Attempt D 0.94 302
Second Chance C 30.6% 170 D- 0.91 337 D+ 0.28 255
Opponents' Steals F+ 12.0% 354
Other Turnovers D 8.5% 321
Turnovers F+ 20.5% 351
Freethrows B 0.34 60 C- 71% 244 B- 0.24 107
Total Offense D -5.8 314

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 51% 130 F 16.0% 357
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 42% 13 C 5.2% 204
Three Pointers C+ 85% 161 D+ 1.2% 281
Total C+ 58% 134 F 8.2% 357


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 13 D+ 62% 288 +6.5 354
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 243 C 39% 208 -0.6 137
Three Pointers 35% 340 F 41% 364 +0.6 218
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 324 F+ +5.4 353
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.15 354
Second Chance B 26.9% 65 D+ 1.08 268 C+ 0.29 121
Turnovers from Steals A 13.2% 7
Other Turnovers A- 9.0% 23
Turnovers A+ 22.2% 6
Freethrows F 0.44 365 C+ 72% 154 F 0.32 365
Total Defense C +0.7 146

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 144 D+ 8.3% 285
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 259 C 4.7% 179
Three Pointers C 83% 154 D 0.3% 306
Total C+ 54% 157 C- 4.8% 234

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.1 257 16.4 32
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 108 0.23 341
Consistency 0.14 276 0.10 30
Improvement -0.6 216 +1.4 119

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 249 249 249
Results Rating Rank 238 238 238
Conference Record 5 - 13 5 - 13 5 - 13
Conference Finish 6 6 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 33 - 83 - 15
Quad 48 - 411 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 257 Nebraska Omaha W 73 - 71 62% +4  76% 1 - 0 D+ -6 D -6 C C F C -0 F+ A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 14 106 @Stephen F. Austin L 66 - 76 13% -1  31% 1 - 1 C- -3 D+ -2 F+ D C+ C -1 D- B+ C-
 Tue, Nov 18 233 @Texas St. L 49 - 63 36% -11  1% 1 - 2 F+ -15 F -20 F B+ F B- +3 D A- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 335 Texas San Antonio W 61 - 50 75% +7  94% 2 - 2 C -1 F -12 F B- F A+ +13 A- C+ A+
 Tue, Nov 25 151 William & Mary L 58 - 92 29% -12  1% 2 - 3 F -34 F -22 F F+ F F+ -10 F D B-
 Tue, Dec 2 273 @Pepperdine W 71 - 63 43% +8  88% 3 - 3 C+ +5 C+ +3 C C- B+ B- +3 D+ A C-
 Sat, Dec 6 184 New Mexico St. W 77 - 69 47% +5  82% 4 - 3 C+ +4 B +7 A+ B F C- -3 D+ B A
 Tue, Dec 16 3 @Arizona L 62 - 96 0% -21  0% 4 - 4 D+ -5 C- -2 C C+ F+ C -1 F D- A+
 Fri, Dec 19 23 @BYU L 67 - 85 2% -5  28% 4 - 5 C+ +2 D+ -3 D- A F B+ +5 D F A+
 Mon, Dec 22 317 @Texas Southern W 75 - 68 56% -2  30% 5 - 5 C +0 D+ -2 D+ C F B- +3 D- C+ B
 Thu, Jan 1 199 Utah Tech L 64 - 79 50% -14  12% 5 - 6 0 - 1 F -20 F -12 C+ F F F+ -9 F B- A+
 Sat, Jan 3 100 Utah Valley W 85 - 68 24% +5  74% 6 - 6 1 - 1 A +19 A +12 A D+ A+ A- +8 D+ C A+
 Thu, Jan 8 229 @Tarleton St. W 84 - 80 34% +7  98% 7 - 6 2 - 1 C+ +3 B +7 B A+ D- D+ -4 A F C
 Sat, Jan 10 169 @Texas Arlington L 72 - 82 23% -6  2% 7 - 7 2 - 2 D+ -7 B +7 A B- D+ F -15 F F C-
 Thu, Jan 15 115 California Baptist L 58 - 74 30% -13  12% 7 - 8 2 - 3 F+ -16 F+ -9 D+ F B+ F+ -8 D B- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 262 @Southern Utah L 52 - 74 40% -11  0% 7 - 9 2 - 4 F -25 F -26 F F F B- +2 D C- A
 Thu, Jan 29 199 Utah Tech L 70 - 76 50% -7  0% 7 - 10 2 - 5 D -11 F -13 D- B+ F B- +2 D+ F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 31 262 Southern Utah L 76 - 79 63% +4  84% 7 - 11 2 - 6 D- -12 D+ -2 B D C F+ -9 F F+ A+
 Thu, Feb 5 100 @Utah Valley L 55 - 68 11% -7  23% 7 - 12 2 - 7 C- -5 F -15 C+ F F A +10 B D- A+
 Sat, Feb 7 115 @California Baptist L 63 - 65 15% -4  5% 7 - 13 2 - 8 C+ +4 D -4 F+ D- D A- +8 C A+ C
 Thu, Feb 12 169 Texas Arlington W 67 - 63 43% +2  56% 8 - 13 3 - 8 C +1 D+ -3 F B C B- +3 F A- A+
 Sat, Feb 14 229 Tarleton St. W 73 - 59 57% -3  26% 9 - 13 4 - 8 B- +7 D+ -4 C B F A +11 D A+ A+
 Mon, Feb 16 229 @Tarleton St. L 62 - 65 OT 34% +1  63% 9 - 14 4 - 9 C- -4 F -16 F F F A+ +13 C- A+ A+
 Sat, Feb 21 262 Southern Utah W 87 - 83 63% -4  23% 10 - 14 5 - 9 C- -5 C +1 B F D- D -6 F C A+
 Thu, Feb 26 199 @Utah Tech L 81 - 85 28% -4  11% 10 - 15 5 - 10 C- -3 B- +4 C C+ A D- -7 F B C+
 Sat, Feb 28 100 @Utah Valley L 67 - 74 11% -2  29% 10 - 16 5 - 11 C +1 D+ -3 F A- F B +5 F A+ A
 Thu, Mar 5 115 @California Baptist L 48 - 87 15% -24  0% 10 - 17 5 - 12 F -33 F -23 F F F F+ -8 F F B
 Sat, Mar 7 169 Texas Arlington L 57 - 64 43% +4  74% 10 - 18 5 - 13 D -10 F -11 D F B+ C+ +1 B C+ A
 Wed, Mar 11 229 Tarleton St. W 84 - 78 45% +9  90% 11 - 18 C+ +2 C+ +2 C- C B C -0 C+ B- D
 Thu, Mar 12 199 Utah Tech L 74 - 80 38% -10  1% 11 - 19 D+ -8 D -5 C D F+ D+ -3 F A+ A+
Totals 11 - 19 5 - 13 -5 D -6 F D C- C +1 D+ C- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D C- D+ D 41% 54% 34% C- D C D- D+ F+ B C- B- C D+ C F F+ 46% 19% 35% D F+ B D+ C+ A+ F C+ F
1.00 53% 37% 32% -3 0 0.94 31% 0.9 .28 20% .34 71% .24 1.08 62% 39% 41% +5 +1 1.15 27% 1.1 .29 22% .44 72% .25
Nov
6		 Nebraska Omaha D C C- C+ C 39% 17% 43% C C A- F C F A B A C C- F D+ F 37% 22% 41% C F+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F C- F
1.06 61% 38% 35% +2 0 1.07 38% 0.8 .31 20% .38 76% .29 1.03 60% 56% 35% +5 0 1.12 20% 0.4 .08 23% .59 74% .44
Nov
14		 Stephen F. Austin D+ C- F+ F D- 47% 35% 18% D- F+ C+ F D C+ A- A+ A+ C A+ F F D- 43% 17% 40% F D- A+ F B+ C- F A+ F
0.98 54% 33% 22% -7 -1 0.86 30% 0.8 .24 16% .34 84% .28 1.13 35% 50% 53% +4 +1 1.11 17% 1.5 .26 12% .44 58% .25
Nov
18		 Texas St. F F A+ F F 57% 14% 29% B+ F A C- B+ F A- F D B- A A F D+ 56% 26% 18% F D F A+ A- A+ F B F
0.77 21% 50% 25% -23 +2 0.60 40% 0.9 .35 25% .40 53% .21 1.00 45% 30% 71% +1 +1 1.05 41% 0.5 .21 30% .50 73% .36
Nov
24		 Texas San Antonio F F F C+ F 45% 16% 39% B- F A- D- B- F A C- A A+ B+ B- A+ A 51% 16% 32% F A- B C- C+ A+ F A+ F
0.98 30% 14% 35% -16 +1 0.73 45% 1.0 .45 24% .36 71% .26 0.81 47% 33% 17% -15 +2 0.76 26% 1.0 .26 23% .56 56% .31
Nov
25		 William & Mary F B- C+ F F 31% 23% 46% D- F B F F+ F B- F F F+ F F D+ F 55% 15% 30% D+ F B- F D B- F A F
0.78 63% 42% 21% -7 -1 0.87 35% 0.6 .20 28% .32 35% .11 1.23 85% 57% 36% +18 +2 1.43 24% 1.4 .33 19% .49 67% .33
Dec
2		 Pepperdine C+ C+ A- C+ B- 33% 24% 43% F C D+ C+ C- B+ A+ B- A+ B- F+ A+ D- C- 44% 17% 39% D- D+ A- A+ A C- F C F
1.15 60% 45% 35% +3 -1 1.07 30% 1.1 .33 13% .43 74% .32 1.02 67% 0% 38% -1 +1 1.02 23% 0.7 .15 18% .49 76% .37
Dec
6		 New Mexico St. B D A A+ A+ 36% 26% 38% C- A+ A D- B F A A A+ C- A D- F C- 41% 19% 41% F D+ F A+ B A F D- F
1.22 53% 45% 50% +9 -1 1.19 41% 1.0 .41 21% .46 83% .38 1.09 47% 43% 40% 0 0 1.03 42% 0.6 .26 19% .68 77% .53
Dec
16		 Arizona C- D- F A C 36% 36% 29% C+ C B- C- C+ F+ A+ F+ A+ C F F F F 51% 19% 30% F F B F D- A+ F D- F
0.84 44% 25% 38% -8 -2 0.82 26% 0.8 .21 22% .43 64% .28 1.30 86% 50% 46% +22 +1 1.49 37% 1.3 .47 26% .69 79% .55
Dec
19		 BYU D+ A+ F+ F C- 19% 52% 29% F D- A- B+ A F B- A+ A+ B+ F+ F C+ D- 30% 30% 41% B+ D A F F A+ F B- F
0.94 89% 28% 21% -5 -5 0.81 33% 1.3 .42 22% .27 93% .25 1.19 73% 64% 33% +12 -2 1.22 30% 2.3 .70 25% .75 73% .54
Dec
22		 Texas Southern D+ A+ F F D+ 41% 20% 39% C- D+ D A- C F A+ A+ A+ B- F A+ A- D 57% 20% 24% F D- A+ F C+ B D- B- D
1.08 74% 22% 28% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.3 .36 22% .50 81% .40 0.98 73% 11% 27% +1 +1 1.07 15% 1.8 .26 20% .34 68% .23
Jan
1		 Utah Tech F A+ F F C+ 46% 22% 33% C- C+ C- F F F A+ D A F+ F F F F 37% 11% 52% D F B- B B- A+ C F D-
0.96 86% 20% 20% +2 0 1.07 31% 0.7 .21 27% .39 68% .27 1.19 71% 60% 46% +16 +1 1.37 26% 0.8 .22 23% .23 92% .21
Jan
3		 Utah Valley A C A+ A+ A+ 51% 29% 20% C- A C D- D+ A+ F A+ D- A- C B- F+ D+ 49% 7% 44% D D+ A- F C A+ D F D-
1.23 57% 56% 45% +8 0 1.18 30% 0.9 .27 14% .22 92% .20 0.98 60% 33% 39% +4 +2 1.15 31% 1.3 .38 32% .34 75% .25
Jan
8		 Tarleton St. B C- A+ A- B 43% 23% 34% C B B+ A+ A+ D- A C- A- D+ B+ A- A+ A+ 67% 22% 11% F A D F F C F F F
1.16 58% 60% 40% +8 0 1.18 40% 1.6 .64 25% .48 73% .35 1.10 48% 30% 0% -14 +2 0.78 35% 1.7 .61 19% .50 93% .46
Jan
10		 Texas Arlington B D+ B+ A+ A+ 28% 46% 26% F A D+ A+ B- D+ A+ D- A+ F C F+ F F 52% 26% 21% C+ F F F F C- F F F
1.09 55% 44% 50% +8 -4 1.10 25% 1.4 .36 18% .59 66% .39 1.24 55% 45% 44% +3 0 1.10 46% 1.4 .63 20% .55 86% .47
Jan
15		 California Baptist F+ D- D C D 52% 27% 20% C+ D+ F+ F F B+ A+ D A F+ D+ A+ F D 54% 19% 27% D D C+ B B- D+ F F F
0.91 48% 33% 33% -7 0 0.89 19% 0.3 .05 13% .45 68% .30 1.16 58% 11% 46% 0 +1 1.04 36% 0.8 .30 16% .39 86% .33
Jan
17		 Southern Utah F F F F F 55% 14% 31% A F B F F F A+ B+ A+ B- D A+ D D 45% 12% 43% F D D- B C- A C C C
0.73 30% 29% 20% -23 +2 0.59 35% 0.4 .16 21% .44 76% .34 1.04 65% 17% 36% +2 +2 1.10 34% 0.9 .31 24% .26 71% .18
Jan
29		 Utah Tech F D- F C- F+ 48% 14% 38% B D- C- A+ B+ F D+ F F B- D+ A+ F C- 45% 17% 38% D D+ D+ F F+ A+ F A- F
0.95 54% 14% 32% -7 +2 0.92 30% 1.5 .43 20% .26 53% .14 1.03 63% 14% 44% +4 +1 1.12 31% 1.1 .34 28% .57 67% .38
Jan
31		 Southern Utah D+ A+ D A- A- 30% 32% 38% F B F A- D C F+ F F F+ F F F F 53% 32% 16% B- F F C F+ A+ F F F
1.11 81% 35% 40% +10 -2 1.17 22% 1.1 .25 13% .20 50% .10 1.16 85% 50% 50% +22 0 1.45 38% 1.0 .38 32% .45 86% .39
Feb
5		 Utah Valley F F F A+ B- 34% 27% 39% D- C+ C F F F D F F A C- A+ A+ A- 62% 11% 28% F+ B C F D- A+ F A+ D+
0.80 40% 25% 53% +1 -1 1.02 30% 0.5 .15 29% .31 47% .14 0.99 62% 20% 23% -4 +3 1.00 37% 1.3 .47 29% .43 52% .23
Feb
7		 California Baptist D F B+ F F 49% 22% 29% B- F+ B+ F D- D A+ D+ A+ A- A+ A+ F C+ 51% 15% 33% D- C A A+ A+ C F C+ F
0.93 42% 45% 21% -12 +1 0.80 33% 0.5 .16 18% .47 69% .32 0.96 35% 17% 54% -5 +2 0.95 30% 0.3 .10 18% .61 71% .43
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Texas Arlington D+ F F F F 40% 27% 33% C F B B- B C C B C+ B- F F F F 63% 23% 14% D F A+ F A- A+ F A F
1.00 47% 23% 25% -13 -1 0.75 33% 1.1 .38 16% .36 75% .27 0.94 68% 50% 40% +10 +1 1.26 19% 1.3 .24 33% .51 65% .33
Feb
14		 Tarleton St. D+ C+ D- B C 33% 15% 53% C+ C A+ F+ B F A+ A A+ A C F C D 48% 24% 29% D- D A A+ A+ A+ F A+ B-
1.04 62% 33% 38% +4 0 1.10 45% 0.9 .42 31% .64 81% .52 0.84 55% 50% 33% +1 0 1.05 23% 0.7 .17 30% .41 55% .22
Feb
16		 Tarleton St. F B+ D- F F 38% 32% 30% D- F B+ F F F B+ F D- A+ F+ D A+ D+ 35% 35% 30% A- C- A+ A+ A+ A+ F C F
0.82 67% 33% 14% -7 -1 0.85 39% 0.6 .22 26% .45 56% .25 0.86 64% 43% 25% 0 -2 0.98 10% 0.7 .07 25% .62 74% .46
Feb
21		 Southern Utah C A A F B- 62% 12% 26% A+ B D- F F D- A+ C+ A+ D D+ B- F F 52% 20% 28% D- F F A+ C A+ F C- F
1.16 71% 50% 23% +5 +3 1.18 24% 0.6 .14 16% .52 73% .38 1.11 63% 33% 69% +16 +1 1.37 38% 0.8 .29 32% .43 73% .31
Feb
26		 Utah Tech B- A+ F F C 42% 23% 35% D+ C F A+ C+ A D+ A+ C+ D- F F F+ F 51% 14% 35% F F A+ F B C+ D+ C D+
1.16 79% 23% 25% +1 0 1.04 19% 1.8 .35 10% .25 88% .22 1.22 73% 71% 39% +15 +2 1.35 17% 1.3 .21 17% .26 73% .19
Feb
28		 Utah Valley D+ F D D F 48% 14% 38% B F C A+ A- F A+ A+ A+ B F B- F F 50% 14% 36% C F A+ A+ A+ A F A F
0.97 40% 33% 31% -11 +1 0.83 30% 1.4 .42 26% .57 83% .47 1.07 71% 33% 47% +13 +2 1.31 19% 0.8 .15 25% .48 60% .29
Mar
5		 California Baptist F F A+ D- F 36% 28% 36% D F F F F F A+ F A F+ F D F+ F 57% 15% 28% F+ F A F F B F A+ F
0.66 21% 55% 29% -11 -1 0.77 17% 0.5 .09 29% .58 53% .31 1.20 65% 43% 38% +7 +2 1.20 30% 1.8 .53 19% .56 55% .31
Mar
7		 Texas Arlington F D A+ F F+ 49% 19% 32% A- D F F F B+ D- B+ D+ C+ A A+ F A- 67% 16% 16% F B C+ C+ C+ A F F F
0.87 52% 56% 13% -9 +1 0.85 18% 0.7 .12 14% .30 76% .23 0.98 41% 0% 57% -12 +3 0.84 34% 0.9 .31 24% .59 83% .49
Mar
11		 Tarleton St. C+ D A+ F B- 27% 39% 34% F C- F A+ C B A+ C A+ C A+ C F C- 31% 47% 22% A+ C+ B- B- B- D F B F
1.10 55% 63% 29% +6 -3 1.07 21% 1.7 .36 20% .73 73% .54 1.02 40% 39% 45% -1 -4 0.92 30% 0.9 .27 17% .55 71% .39
Mar
12		 Utah Tech D C+ A+ F B- 38% 32% 30% F C C F+ D F+ A+ F A- D+ C- F F F 47% 22% 31% C F B A+ A+ A+ F F F
1.05 63% 50% 27% +2 -1 1.04 31% 0.9 .28 18% .40 65% .26 1.14 62% 60% 50% +14 0 1.31 25% 0.5 .13 23% .46 84% .39



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%