Umass Lowell
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#304
Expected Predictive Rating-14.0#344
Pace73.0#83
Improvement+2.2#51

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#282
First Shot-3.8#284
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#200
Layup/Dunks-1.1#221
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#156
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#245
Freethrows-1.1#255
Improvement-1.6#303

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#295
First Shot-2.7#262
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#265
Layups/Dunks-3.2#293
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#188
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#153
Freethrows-0.4#205
Improvement+3.8#2
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.9% 12.6% 9.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 14.0% 20.7% 7.3%
.500 or above in Conference 66.6% 71.7% 61.5%
Conference Champion 10.8% 13.2% 8.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 4.7% 8.0%
First Four9.8% 11.0% 8.6%
First Round6.3% 7.5% 4.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Home) - 50.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 411 - 1011 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 6 @Connecticut L 47-110 1%     0 - 1 -39.4 -16.9 -18.4
  Mon, Nov 10 337 New Haven L 67-73 72%     0 - 2 -19.8 -8.9 -11.0
  Thu, Nov 13 138 @Columbia L 72-86 13%     0 - 3 -9.5 +1.9 -11.5
  Sun, Nov 16 51 @Wake Forest L 75-109 3%     0 - 4 -20.2 +3.2 -20.7
  Wed, Nov 19 117 @Bradley L 77-87 10%     0 - 5 -3.8 +11.6 -15.7
  Sat, Nov 22 292 @St. Peter's L 66-68 36%     0 - 6 -6.2 -8.3 +2.1
  Wed, Nov 26 340 @Stonehill W 75-64 51%     1 - 6 +2.7 +2.0 +0.9
  Sat, Dec 6 152 @Massachusetts L 60-80 14%     1 - 7 -16.5 -15.0 +0.2
  Sat, Dec 13 168 @Quinnipiac L 71-75 17%     1 - 8 -1.8 -3.8 +2.3
  Tue, Dec 16 254 Sacred Heart W 79-78 50%    
  Sun, Dec 21 288 @Boston University L 71-75 36%    
  Mon, Dec 29 23 @Iowa L 59-85 1%    
  Sat, Jan 3 329 Albany W 79-74 68%    
  Thu, Jan 8 297 @Bryant L 71-74 37%    
  Sat, Jan 10 356 @Binghamton W 74-71 61%    
  Thu, Jan 15 352 NJIT W 77-69 78%    
  Thu, Jan 22 185 Vermont L 73-76 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 285 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 73-77 36%    
  Thu, Jan 29 335 @New Hampshire L 72-73 49%    
  Sat, Jan 31 336 @Maine L 67-68 50%    
  Thu, Feb 5 352 @NJIT W 74-72 57%    
  Sat, Feb 7 329 @Albany L 76-77 47%    
  Thu, Feb 12 297 Bryant W 74-71 60%    
  Thu, Feb 19 335 New Hampshire W 76-70 70%    
  Sat, Feb 21 356 Binghamton W 77-68 79%    
  Thu, Feb 26 185 @Vermont L 70-79 21%    
  Sat, Feb 28 285 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 76-74 57%    
  Tue, Mar 3 336 @Maine L 67-68 50%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.3 2.9 1.6 0.4 0.1 10.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 5.1 6.7 3.4 0.8 0.1 17.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 6.4 6.5 2.0 0.2 0.0 16.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 6.4 6.2 1.4 0.1 15.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.1 5.4 1.1 0.1 12.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.9 4.8 1.1 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.9 1.0 0.0 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.4 0.9 0.0 5.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.3 9th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.4 5.9 9.6 12.2 14.3 15.2 13.5 10.9 6.8 3.7 1.7 0.4 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 95.4% 1.6    1.4 0.2
13-3 78.6% 2.9    2.0 0.9 0.0
12-4 47.7% 3.3    1.6 1.4 0.3 0.0
11-5 19.1% 2.1    0.5 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.2% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 10.8% 10.8 5.9 3.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 36.4% 36.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.4% 40.6% 40.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
14-2 1.7% 31.4% 31.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1
13-3 3.7% 27.7% 27.7% 16.0 0.0 1.0 2.7
12-4 6.8% 22.5% 22.5% 16.0 0.0 1.5 5.3
11-5 10.9% 18.2% 18.2% 16.0 0.0 2.0 8.9
10-6 13.5% 13.4% 13.4% 16.0 1.8 11.7
9-7 15.2% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 1.5 13.7
8-8 14.3% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 1.0 13.3
7-9 12.2% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.7 11.5
6-10 9.6% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.4 9.2
5-11 5.9% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 5.8
4-12 3.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 3.4
3-13 1.6% 1.6
2-14 0.6% 0.6
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16
Total 100% 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.6 89.1 0.0%