Albany
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -8.6 #309
Expected Predictive Rating -10.3 #327
Pace 66.6 #244
Improvement +3.1 #52

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #283 C- C- D- F+ C
Defense #303 C F D C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #168 1.16 #174 +0.1 #171
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #172 0.83 #77 +0.8 #138
Three Pointers 41% #187 0.91 #313 -2.5 #268
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #228 -1.6 #228
Freethrows 0.24 #338 66% #344 0.16 #351
Second Chance 31.8% #148 0.93 #326 0.30 #230
Turnovers 19.8% #344
Total Offense -4.1 #283

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #151 1.18 #202 -1.1 #217
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #256 0.69 #75 +1.5 #81
Three Pointers 42% #142 1.05 #233 -1.2 #236
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #203 -0.8 #205
Freethrows 0.31 #226 75% #300 0.23 #259
Second Chance 36.0% #343 1.24 #353 0.44 #358
Turnovers 13.9% #323
Total Defense -4.5 #303

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.0% #197 0.8% #244
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.1% #228 0.7% #194
Possession Length 19.0 #332 16.9 #104
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #159 0.16 #165
Improvement +1.3 #116 +1.8 #77

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.4% 10.1% 7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.6% 0.9% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 69.2% 78.0% 47.8%
Conference Champion 2.7% 3.5% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.3% 2.3%
First Four9.0% 9.6% 7.6%
First Round5.0% 5.6% 3.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Home) - 70.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 49 - 1010 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 94 @Marquette L 53 - 80 6% -13  0 - 1 -18 -20 F B+ F +4 C+ B+ A+
 Sat, Nov 8 170 @Massachusetts L 62 - 83 16% -7  0 - 2 -19 -12 F C F -5 A F C-
 Fri, Nov 14 111 @Rhode Island L 61 - 80 9% -6  0 - 3 -12 -3 F A+ F+ -10 A- F F
 Fri, Nov 21 173 @Siena L 63 - 73 16% -8  0 - 4 -8 +1 A+ F D+ -11 D F C+
 Fri, Nov 28 209 Colgate L 67 - 69 29% +2  0 - 5 -5 -2 B D- F -3 C- C D+
 Sat, Nov 29 198 Fordham L 68 - 88 27% -11  0 - 6 -22 -2 D- B- C+ -21 F F B
 Sat, Dec 6 168 @Columbia L 65 - 93 16% -9  0 - 7 -26 -6 D F C- -20 D- F D
 Wed, Dec 10 70 Yale L 82 - 93 7% -6  0 - 8 -3 +6 A F A+ -9 C B C-
 Sat, Dec 13 102 @Florida Atlantic L 79 - 105 7% -20  0 - 9 -18 -1 B- F+ C- -14 F B C-
 Wed, Dec 17 236 @Stony Brook W 71 - 55 24% +8  1 - 9 +15 +2 A+ F F+ +14 A+ A+ F
 Sun, Dec 21 176 Cornell L 75 - 83 34% +0  1 - 10 -12 +5 B- C- C- -19 D+ F F+
 Tue, Dec 30 78 @South Carolina L 67 - 96 5% -16  1 - 11 -18 +6 F A+ F -27 F F C-
 Sat, Jan 3 317 @Umass Lowell L 71 - 83 42% -10  1 - 12 0 - 1 -18 -2 F+ C+ D -17 C F F
 Sat, Jan 10 344 Bryant W 71 - 46 73% +13  2 - 12 1 - 1 +10 +9 A+ F C +7 A+ F+ F+
 Thu, Jan 15 362 Binghamton W 69 - 53 84% +5  3 - 12 2 - 1 -3 -5 D D+ F +4 A- C D
 Mon, Jan 19 199 Vermont W 75 - 68 38% +3  4 - 12 3 - 1 +1 -0 C+ F+ C- +2 C+ C A-
 Thu, Jan 22 335 @Maine L 49 - 52 48% +4  4 - 13 3 - 2 -11 -11 F D+ F+ -1 B B F
 Sat, Jan 24 319 @New Hampshire L 72 - 80 42% -3  4 - 14 3 - 3 -15 +4 A- C+ F -19 F F C-
 Thu, Jan 29 338 NJIT W 75 - 69 71%
 Sat, Jan 31 263 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 72 - 73 50%
 Thu, Feb 5 344 @Bryant W 68 - 67 51%
 Sat, Feb 7 317 Umass Lowell W 76 - 72 64%
 Sat, Feb 14 362 @Binghamton W 73 - 68 67%
 Thu, Feb 19 338 @NJIT L 71 - 72 49%
 Sat, Feb 21 263 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 70 - 76 29%
 Thu, Feb 26 335 Maine W 68 - 62 70%
 Sat, Feb 28 319 New Hampshire W 73 - 69 64%
 Tue, Mar 3 199 @Vermont L 66 - 75 20%
Totals 9 - 19 8 - 8 -9 -4 C- C- D- -4 C F D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.1 1.2 0.2 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 1.4 6.6 5.3 1.0 0.0 14.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.2 11.2 8.1 1.1 0.0 22.5 3rd
4th 1.0 9.7 7.9 0.9 0.0 19.5 4th
5th 0.3 5.8 8.5 1.1 15.6 5th
6th 0.1 2.8 7.7 1.6 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.6 2.2 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.5 0.1 4.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 9th
Total 0.1 1.0 3.8 9.2 16.8 22.0 21.6 15.7 7.5 2.2 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 91.8% 0.2    0.2 0.1
12-4 54.1% 1.2    0.6 0.6 0.1
11-5 14.8% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0
10-6 1.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 0.9 1.2 0.5 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.2% 40.8% 40.8% 15.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
12-4 2.2% 19.4% 19.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4 1.8
11-5 7.5% 17.9% 17.9% 16.0 1.3 6.2
10-6 15.7% 12.6% 12.6% 16.0 2.0 13.7
9-7 21.6% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 2.1 19.5
8-8 22.0% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 1.8 20.2
7-9 16.8% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 1.0 15.7
6-10 9.2% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.5 8.7
5-11 3.8% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 3.7
4-12 1.0% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.9
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 16.0 90.6 0.0%