New Hampshire
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -9.5 #319
Expected Predictive Rating -9.7 #322
Pace 68.5 #190
Improvement +3.0 #55

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #333 D D D D- B-
Defense #258 C C D+ D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #152 1.00 #339 -2.5 #268
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #286 0.70 #260 -2.2 #291
Three Pointers 45% #107 0.93 #282 -0.1 #182
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #317 -4.8 #317
Freethrows 0.25 #323 69% #294 0.17 #331
Second Chance 26.4% #294 0.98 #268 0.26 #304
Turnovers 18.5% #301
Total Offense -6.8 #333

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #29 1.17 #193 -3.9 #305
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #153 0.75 #166 -0.3 #204
Three Pointers 34% #347 0.99 #137 +4.2 #38
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #181 -0.1 #181
Freethrows 0.34 #300 75% #306 0.26 #315
Second Chance 31.4% #220 0.99 #106 0.31 #160
Turnovers 14.7% #289
Total Defense -2.7 #258

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.4% #90 0.7% #227
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -10.6% #335 -0.5% #174
Possession Length 17.8 #219 17.1 #141
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #218 0.14 #85
Improvement +3.6 #25 -0.5 #216

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.3% 8.2% 5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 5.4% 8.0% 1.6%
.500 or above in Conference 64.3% 76.2% 46.1%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.9% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.4% 2.4%
First Four6.7% 7.4% 5.6%
First Round3.6% 4.0% 3.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Home) - 60.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 411 - 1011 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 33 @Clemson L 38 - 88 2% -26  0 - 1 -33 -24 F D- D+ -9 C B F
 Sun, Nov 9 179 @Harvard L 75 - 86 15% +6  0 - 2 -9 +3 B- D F+ -12 F A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 87 @George Mason L 44 - 61 5% -7  0 - 3 -7 -23 F C+ F +14 A+ C B+
 Tue, Nov 18 67 @Providence L 66 - 98 4% -13  0 - 4 -21 -5 F+ A- F -16 F A D
 Wed, Nov 26 265 Brown L 47 - 59 47% -5  0 - 5 -21 -22 F F+ F +1 D A- C+
 Sun, Nov 30 271 @Fairfield L 68 - 72 27% -0  0 - 6 -7 -2 F+ F A- -5 D- C C+
 Wed, Dec 3 235 @Dartmouth L 68 - 69 22% +2  0 - 7 -2 -5 D- F+ C +3 C A B-
 Sat, Dec 6 278 Boston University W 88 - 82 OT 51% -6  1 - 7 -4 -1 C C- D+ -3 A- F D+
 Wed, Dec 17 334 Stonehill W 59 - 58 67% +1  2 - 7 -13 -15 F D- D +1 C+ B A+
 Sun, Dec 21 26 @Saint Louis L 79 - 93 1% -3  2 - 8 +4 +11 A+ F+ A- -6 B+ B- F
 Tue, Dec 30 13 @Nebraska L 55 - 86 1% -10  2 - 9 -9 -6 D+ C- F+ -4 A+ F C+
 Sat, Jan 3 199 Vermont L 61 - 80 35% -9  2 - 10 0 - 1 -25 -10 D+ D+ F -16 D- F D
 Thu, Jan 8 338 @NJIT L 76 - 80 45% +1  2 - 11 0 - 2 -12 -1 C D- F -12 C F F
 Sat, Jan 10 263 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 74 - 75 25% +3  2 - 12 0 - 3 -3 +7 B B- D- -11 F+ A+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 335 @Maine W 65 - 48 45% +12  3 - 12 1 - 3 +9 -0 C F A- +11 A+ A+ C-
 Thu, Jan 22 362 Binghamton W 88 - 82 3OT 82% -6  4 - 12 2 - 3 -13 -9 F D C- -6 C- F+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 309 Albany W 80 - 72 58% +3  5 - 12 3 - 3 -4 +7 A C- D- -10 F D+ A
 Thu, Jan 29 317 Umass Lowell W 75 - 72 60%
 Sat, Jan 31 344 @Bryant L 66 - 67 48%
 Sat, Feb 7 199 @Vermont L 64 - 74 18%
 Thu, Feb 12 338 NJIT W 73 - 68 67%
 Sat, Feb 14 263 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 71 - 72 47%
 Thu, Feb 19 317 @Umass Lowell L 72 - 75 39%
 Sat, Feb 21 335 Maine W 66 - 61 67%
 Thu, Feb 26 362 @Binghamton W 71 - 67 63%
 Sat, Feb 28 309 @Albany L 69 - 73 36%
 Tue, Mar 3 344 Bryant W 69 - 64 69%
Totals 10 - 17 8 - 8 -10 -7 D D D -3 C C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 0.8 0.2 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 5.1 4.3 0.8 0.0 11.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.1 10.1 7.6 1.3 0.0 21.2 3rd
4th 1.0 9.7 7.6 0.8 0.0 19.2 4th
5th 0.3 6.2 8.8 1.1 0.0 16.4 5th
6th 0.1 3.0 8.3 1.5 0.0 13.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 5.8 2.6 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.0 2.1 0.1 6.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 9th
Total 0.2 1.4 4.7 11.2 18.3 22.2 20.0 13.7 6.5 1.7 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 90.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1
12-4 48.2% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1
11-5 14.0% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0
10-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.2% 6.1% 6.1% 15.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 1.7% 17.2% 17.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3 1.4
11-5 6.5% 12.9% 12.9% 16.0 0.0 0.8 5.7
10-6 13.7% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 1.5 12.2
9-7 20.0% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 1.7 18.3
8-8 22.2% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 1.5 20.7
7-9 18.3% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.9 17.5
6-10 11.2% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.4 10.8
5-11 4.7% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 4.6
4-12 1.4% 1.4
3-13 0.2% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 16.0 92.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%