Maine
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.8#336
Expected Predictive Rating-17.1#358
Pace64.1#317
Improvement-4.0#353

Offense
Total Offense-10.0#363
First Shot-5.1#314
After Offensive Rebound-5.0#360
Layup/Dunks-0.6#203
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#146
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#283
Freethrows-1.8#292
Improvement-1.5#299

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#192
First Shot+1.7#114
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#320
Layups/Dunks-4.1#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#160
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#31
Freethrows+0.6#142
Improvement-2.5#334
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 5.5% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.8% 2.3% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 45.5% 52.7% 43.4%
Conference Champion 3.9% 5.4% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 12.6% 9.2% 13.7%
First Four4.5% 5.4% 4.2%
First Round2.0% 2.7% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Away) - 22.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 49 - 149 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 81 @George Washington L 47-67 4%     0 - 1 -9.7 -21.5 +10.9
  Sat, Nov 8 197 @Stony Brook L 60-71 15%     0 - 2 -10.4 -12.6 +2.1
  Mon, Nov 10 133 @Rutgers L 60-72 8%     0 - 3 -7.3 -4.3 -4.1
  Sun, Nov 16 168 Quinnipiac L 64-70 25%     0 - 4 -9.8 -9.0 -0.8
  Wed, Nov 19 273 @Merrimack L 65-72 23%     0 - 5 -9.9 +0.1 -10.9
  Sun, Nov 23 219 Brown L 53-58 34%     0 - 6 -11.4 -15.9 +4.1
  Fri, Nov 28 248 @American L 61-74 20%     0 - 7 -14.9 -8.8 -6.8
  Sat, Nov 29 310 Longwood L 61-65 41%     0 - 8 -12.3 -11.3 -1.4
  Sun, Nov 30 164 Siena L 60-64 16%     0 - 9 -4.3 -1.9 -3.0
  Wed, Dec 3 175 @Ohio L 57-79 12%     0 - 10 -20.0 -12.3 -9.2
  Sat, Dec 6 106 @Miami (OH) L 61-93 6%     0 - 11 -25.1 -10.7 -13.9
  Wed, Dec 10 288 @Boston University W 69-59 26%     1 - 11 +6.0 -1.0 +8.3
  Sat, Dec 13 339 Canisius L 43-70 63%     1 - 12 -41.1 -30.8 -12.6
  Sun, Dec 21 271 @Drexel L 59-67 23%    
  Sat, Jan 3 297 Bryant L 63-64 48%    
  Thu, Jan 8 285 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62-69 26%    
  Sat, Jan 10 352 @NJIT L 63-64 47%    
  Thu, Jan 15 185 @Vermont L 60-72 13%    
  Mon, Jan 19 335 New Hampshire W 66-63 61%    
  Thu, Jan 22 329 Albany W 68-66 59%    
  Sat, Jan 24 356 Binghamton W 67-61 72%    
  Sat, Jan 31 304 Umass Lowell W 68-67 50%    
  Thu, Feb 5 185 Vermont L 63-69 29%    
  Sat, Feb 7 297 @Bryant L 61-67 29%    
  Thu, Feb 12 285 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 65-66 46%    
  Sat, Feb 14 352 NJIT W 66-61 68%    
  Sat, Feb 21 335 @New Hampshire L 63-66 40%    
  Thu, Feb 26 329 @Albany L 65-69 37%    
  Sat, Feb 28 356 @Binghamton W 65-64 51%    
  Tue, Mar 3 304 Umass Lowell W 68-67 50%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.9 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 3.2 3.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 9.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 5.0 4.2 1.0 0.0 11.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 6.2 5.1 1.0 0.0 13.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 6.7 5.9 1.2 0.0 15.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 5.9 6.4 1.3 0.0 14.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 5.3 6.0 1.5 0.0 14.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.9 4.2 1.3 0.1 10.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.4 2.1 0.7 0.0 7.0 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.6 7.2 11.2 14.4 16.0 14.9 12.4 8.8 5.5 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 93.8% 0.3    0.3 0.0
13-3 75.8% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
12-4 48.5% 1.3    0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
11-5 21.3% 1.2    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 1.8 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 23.8% 23.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.3% 15.5% 15.5% 16.0 0.1 0.3
13-3 1.0% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 0.1 0.9
12-4 2.6% 13.5% 13.5% 16.0 0.4 2.3
11-5 5.5% 12.0% 12.0% 16.0 0.7 4.8
10-6 8.8% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.7 8.1
9-7 12.4% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.8 11.6
8-8 14.9% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.7 14.2
7-9 16.0% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.6 15.4
6-10 14.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 14.1
5-11 11.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 11.0
4-12 7.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.2
3-13 3.6% 3.6
2-14 1.5% 1.5
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 16.0 4.5 95.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%