Maine
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.1 #335
Expected Predictive Rating -14.3 #351
Pace 62.9 #329
Improvement -0.4 #205

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #363 D- D- F D+ C-
Defense #175 C D C+ C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #193 1.08 #276 -1.8 #248
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #124 0.71 #240 +0.4 #155
Three Pointers 39% #220 0.84 #350 -4.4 #320
1st FG Attempt 0.90 #334 -5.8 #335
Freethrows 0.30 #208 65% #358 0.19 #278
Second Chance 20.1% #361 1.12 #88 0.22 #347
Turnovers 20.7% #357
Total Offense -10.8 #363

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #80 1.25 #293 -4.2 #318
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #143 0.71 #106 +0.0 #182
Three Pointers 36% #309 0.93 #69 +4.2 #36
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #180 +0.1 #177
Freethrows 0.31 #198 69% #54 0.21 #159
Second Chance 37.4% #354 1.00 #115 0.37 #305
Turnovers 17.1% #141
Total Defense -0.3 #175

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.7% #233 0.3% #192
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -10.7% #336 -0.3% #180
Possession Length 18.4 #284 17.9 #277
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #235 0.15 #133
Improvement -0.5 #207 +0.1 #188

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 4.5% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 38.2% 51.9% 21.6%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 1.4% 5.6%
First Four3.8% 4.5% 2.9%
First Round1.7% 2.2% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Home) - 54.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 70 - 10
Quad 48 - 139 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 65 @George Washington L 47 - 67 3% -7  0 - 1 -8 -20 F F F+ +11 A D A+
 Sat, Nov 8 236 @Stony Brook L 60 - 71 18% -6  0 - 2 -12 -14 F F C +1 B- B+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 120 @Rutgers L 60 - 72 7% -11  0 - 3 -6 -5 B+ F F -3 D- F A+
 Sun, Nov 16 178 Quinnipiac L 64 - 70 26% +2  0 - 4 -10 -10 C F C -1 A+ F+ B-
 Wed, Nov 19 205 @Merrimack L 65 - 72 15% -3  0 - 5 -7 +2 D A- F -10 C F C
 Sun, Nov 23 265 Brown L 53 - 58 41% -8  0 - 6 -14 -16 C F F +2 A- F A-
 Fri, Nov 28 220 @American L 61 - 74 16% -12  0 - 7 -14 -8 C D- F -6 D A- F
 Sat, Nov 29 261 Longwood L 61 - 65 29% -3  0 - 8 -9 -9 F B+ F -1 F B A+
 Sun, Nov 30 173 Siena L 60 - 64 17% -8  0 - 9 -5 -3 B- C- D -2 C- B+ C
 Wed, Dec 3 214 @Ohio L 57 - 79 15% -12  0 - 10 -22 -12 F D+ F -12 C- F C+
 Sat, Dec 6 91 @Miami (OH) L 61 - 93 4% -21  0 - 11 -23 -11 D+ C F -11 C+ F A+
 Wed, Dec 10 278 @Boston University W 69 - 59 24% +7  1 - 11 +6 -1 A- F F +8 A+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 341 Canisius L 43 - 70 64% -16  1 - 12 -42 -31 F C F -14 F F+ B+
 Sun, Dec 21 201 @Drexel L 56 - 74 14% -9  1 - 13 -18 -2 D B+ F -20 F D+ A-
 Sat, Jan 3 344 Bryant L 51 - 56 64% -5  1 - 14 0 - 1 -20 -26 F D- F +6 A- C- B+
 Thu, Jan 8 263 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62 - 69 21% -6  1 - 15 0 - 2 -9 -8 F C D+ -2 C+ B D-
 Sat, Jan 10 338 @NJIT W 74 - 70 39% +3  2 - 15 1 - 2 -4 +6 A+ D F -10 C C- F
 Thu, Jan 15 199 @Vermont L 62 - 67 14% +1  2 - 16 1 - 3 -5 -4 F D+ A+ -2 C C+ D
 Mon, Jan 19 319 New Hampshire L 48 - 65 55% -12  2 - 17 1 - 4 -30 -24 F F F -7 D+ C+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 309 Albany W 52 - 49 52% -4  3 - 17 2 - 4 -9 -15 F F B +7 A+ C- C+
 Sat, Jan 24 362 Binghamton W 79 - 63 78% +7  4 - 17 3 - 4 -3 +8 A D C+ -9 F C- A
 Sat, Jan 31 317 Umass Lowell W 68 - 67 55%
 Thu, Feb 5 199 Vermont L 61 - 67 30%
 Sat, Feb 7 344 @Bryant L 60 - 62 41%
 Thu, Feb 12 263 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 64 - 67 41%
 Sat, Feb 14 338 NJIT W 66 - 63 62%
 Sat, Feb 21 319 @New Hampshire L 61 - 66 33%
 Thu, Feb 26 309 @Albany L 62 - 68 30%
 Sat, Feb 28 362 @Binghamton W 64 - 62 57%
 Tue, Mar 3 317 Umass Lowell W 68 - 67 54%
Totals 8 - 22 7 - 9 -11 -11 D- D- F +0 C D C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 2.1 0.9 0.1 4.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.7 6.1 2.6 0.2 0.0 10.6 3rd
4th 1.0 7.9 4.6 0.3 13.7 4th
5th 0.4 7.2 8.0 0.7 16.3 5th
6th 0.3 5.1 11.3 1.7 0.0 18.5 6th
7th 0.3 4.0 10.9 3.9 0.0 19.1 7th
8th 0.6 3.9 7.9 4.0 0.2 16.5 8th
9th 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.9 9th
Total 0.9 4.7 12.4 20.3 23.6 19.3 12.2 5.1 1.3 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 64.3% 0.1    0.1 0.1
11-5 18.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
10-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.2% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2
11-5 1.3% 10.2% 10.2% 16.0 0.1 1.2
10-6 5.1% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.4 4.7
9-7 12.2% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.8 11.5
8-8 19.3% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.8 18.5
7-9 23.6% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.8 22.7
6-10 20.3% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.5 19.8
5-11 12.4% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 12.2
4-12 4.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 4.6
3-13 0.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 16.0 96.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%