Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#285
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#267
Pace66.5#263
Improvement+0.2#174

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#236
First Shot-0.3#183
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#311
Layup/Dunks+0.6#151
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#84
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#171
Freethrows-3.2#332
Improvement+0.9#100

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#320
First Shot-5.3#335
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#121
Layups/Dunks-5.1#331
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#328
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#230
Freethrows+3.5#18
Improvement-0.7#243
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.4% 19.3% 14.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 66.0% 85.7% 64.7%
.500 or above in Conference 78.2% 85.8% 77.6%
Conference Champion 17.2% 23.6% 16.8%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 1.7% 3.4%
First Four10.0% 9.1% 10.1%
First Round9.2% 15.0% 8.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Florida (Away) - 6.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 10 - 5
Quad 415 - 815 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 72 @Dayton L 71-77 6%     0 - 1 +4.9 +8.7 -4.2
  Tue, Nov 11 359 @Morgan St. W 81-79 68%     1 - 1 -9.6 -0.5 -9.1
  Sun, Nov 16 301 Wagner W 71-70 OT 65%     2 - 1 -9.8 -11.4 +1.5
  Wed, Nov 19 81 @George Washington L 52-89 6%     2 - 2 -26.7 -19.5 -6.6
  Sat, Nov 29 348 Delaware St. W 71-57 78%     3 - 2 -1.1 -2.2 +1.9
  Wed, Dec 3 101 @Georgetown L 81-90 9%     3 - 3 -1.1 +14.9 -16.4
  Sat, Dec 6 302 @Bucknell W 73-66 43%     4 - 3 +2.1 +5.6 -2.8
  Tue, Dec 9 209 Buffalo L 79-83 47%     4 - 4 -10.1 +5.0 -15.3
  Fri, Dec 12 332 Army L 60-63 74%     4 - 5 -16.5 -15.4 -1.2
  Sun, Dec 21 86 @South Florida L 70-86 6%    
  Mon, Dec 29 364 @Coppin St. W 76-68 78%    
  Thu, Jan 8 336 Maine W 69-62 74%    
  Sat, Jan 10 335 New Hampshire W 74-67 74%    
  Thu, Jan 15 297 @Bryant L 69-71 42%    
  Mon, Jan 19 356 @Binghamton W 73-69 66%    
  Thu, Jan 22 352 NJIT W 75-66 80%    
  Sat, Jan 24 304 Umass Lowell W 77-73 64%    
  Thu, Jan 29 185 @Vermont L 68-76 23%    
  Sat, Jan 31 329 @Albany W 74-73 51%    
  Thu, Feb 5 356 Binghamton W 76-66 83%    
  Thu, Feb 12 336 @Maine W 66-65 54%    
  Sat, Feb 14 335 @New Hampshire W 71-70 53%    
  Thu, Feb 19 185 Vermont L 71-73 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 329 Albany W 77-71 71%    
  Thu, Feb 26 297 Bryant W 72-68 62%    
  Sat, Feb 28 304 @Umass Lowell L 74-76 43%    
  Tue, Mar 3 352 @NJIT W 72-69 61%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.8 5.0 3.1 1.1 0.2 17.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 6.1 8.4 4.9 1.6 0.1 22.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 6.7 7.4 2.8 0.4 0.0 18.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.4 5.8 1.5 0.1 13.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.0 4.8 1.1 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.8 1.0 0.0 7.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.4 0.8 0.0 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.5 0.6 0.0 3.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.5 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.6 6.0 9.6 12.6 15.1 15.4 13.9 10.1 6.6 3.3 1.1 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 1.1    1.0 0.0
14-2 95.7% 3.1    2.8 0.4
13-3 75.6% 5.0    3.5 1.4 0.1
12-4 47.6% 4.8    2.3 2.1 0.4 0.0
11-5 18.3% 2.5    0.6 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.2% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 17.2% 17.2 10.5 5.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 43.8% 43.8% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 1.1% 41.8% 41.8% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6
14-2 3.3% 33.5% 33.5% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 2.2
13-3 6.6% 29.7% 29.7% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.6
12-4 10.1% 23.2% 23.2% 15.9 0.2 2.2 7.7
11-5 13.9% 18.2% 18.2% 16.0 0.1 2.5 11.4
10-6 15.4% 14.6% 14.6% 16.0 0.0 2.2 13.2
9-7 15.1% 11.2% 11.2% 16.0 0.0 1.7 13.4
8-8 12.6% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 1.0 11.5
7-9 9.6% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.6 9.0
6-10 6.0% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.3 5.7
5-11 3.6% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.1 3.4
4-12 1.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 1.8
3-13 0.6% 0.6
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 14.4% 14.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 13.1 85.6 0.0%