Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -1.5 187
Results Rating -2.5 207
Consistency 0.17 302
Pace 65.9 251
Improvement +8.3 4

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 184 C D- B- C- D+
Defense C- 199 C- C+ F+ A- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 277 C 59% 151 -1.4 239
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 181 C+ 39% 132 +1.3 110
Three Pointers 41% 170 C 33% 204 -0.1 182
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.5 263 C +0.2 158
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 183
Second Chance F+ 22.9% 347 C- 1.01 208 D- 0.23 338
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.2% 153
Other Turnovers B 6.2% 64
Turnovers B- 15.4% 99
Freethrows D+ 0.28 262 B 76% 53 C- 0.21 223
Total Offense C -0.7 184

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 37% 328 C+ 10.4% 155
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 308 B 3.3% 59
Three Pointers D 78% 301 B- 0.6% 103
Total D- 46% 341 B- 4.7% 82


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 95 C 58% 171 +1.7 234
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 203 C- 39% 231 -0.4 159
Three Pointers 38% 258 D+ 36% 279 -0.1 182
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 240 C- +1.2 228
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 234
Second Chance C+ 28.5% 111 C 1.05 210 C+ 0.30 145
Turnovers from Steals F 5.7% 361
Other Turnovers C+ 7.5% 130
Turnovers F+ 13.2% 345
Freethrows B+ 0.24 16 B- 71% 100 A- 0.17 13
Total Defense C- -0.7 199

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A 35% 5 D- 6.3% 343
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 44 D- 1.9% 329
Three Pointers D+ 86% 265 C- 0.7% 208
Total B+ 48% 34 D- 3.3% 341

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 199 18.0 282
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 197 0.13 58
Consistency 0.13 248 0.11 62
Improvement +3.9 27 +4.5 17

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Auto Bid
Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 187 187 186
Results Rating Rank 207 207 207
Conference Record 14 - 2 14 - 2 14 - 2
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed 16 16 15
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Four 1st Round 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four38% n/a n/a
First Round82% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 10 - 5
Quad 422 - 322 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 77 @Dayton L 71 - 77 13% -4  14% 0 - 1 C+ +5 B+ +8 C+ B+ D+ D+ -3 D+ D F+
 Tue, Nov 11 350 @Morgan St. W 81 - 79 83% +6  77% 1 - 1 D -9 D+ -3 A+ F F D- -7 D F F
 Sun, Nov 16 310 Wagner W 71 - 70 OT 84% -1  38% 2 - 1 D -11 F -15 F A- F B +4 B- C+ C+
 Wed, Nov 19 85 @George Washington L 52 - 89 15% -24  0% 2 - 2 F -27 F -22 F F D D -5 F A+ D
 Sat, Nov 29 360 Delaware St. W 71 - 57 95% +8  97% 3 - 2 D+ -7 D -5 C+ F C- C -1 C+ C F
 Wed, Dec 3 73 @Georgetown L 81 - 90 12% -11  0% 3 - 3 C+ +2 A+ +15 B B A+ F -13 F D+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 330 @Bucknell W 73 - 66 74% +1  53% 4 - 3 C -1 C +2 B F+ C- C- -2 C+ D F
 Tue, Dec 9 211 Buffalo L 79 - 83 67% +1  57% 4 - 4 D -10 C+ +2 B- C C+ F -12 F C+ D+
 Fri, Dec 12 340 Army L 60 - 63 90% -5  12% 4 - 5 F -19 F -20 F F B+ C+ +1 B B D-
 Sun, Dec 21 53 @South Florida L 69 - 94 8% -15  1% 4 - 6 D -11 D+ -3 D C C- D- -7 F+ F+ F+
 Mon, Dec 29 362 @Coppin St. W 93 - 59 90% +18  98% 5 - 6 A +18 A- +10 C- A+ B A- +7 C A- D-
 Thu, Jan 8 345 Maine W 69 - 62 91% +6  79% 6 - 6 1 - 0 D -9 D+ -4 D+ F A+ D -5 B F F
 Sat, Jan 10 349 New Hampshire W 75 - 74 92% -3  13% 7 - 6 2 - 0 F+ -16 C+ +2 B F A+ F -18 F F D
 Thu, Jan 15 354 @Bryant L 74 - 79 OT 83% -1  24% 7 - 7 2 - 1 F+ -17 D -5 C+ F D- F -12 F F C
 Mon, Jan 19 358 @Binghamton W 78 - 60 87% +9  81% 8 - 7 3 - 1 C+ +4 C+ +4 C+ D- A- B- +3 C C- F
 Thu, Jan 22 333 NJIT W 87 - 74 89% +14  98% 9 - 7 4 - 1 C- -2 B +7 B D A+ F+ -9 D- D F+
 Sat, Jan 24 315 Umass Lowell W 79 - 56 85% +12  98% 10 - 7 5 - 1 B +10 C +1 C- F+ C- A +10 A- A+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 234 @Vermont L 55 - 64 50% -2  22% 10 - 8 5 - 2 D -10 F -15 F D- B B +4 C- A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 31 323 @Albany W 68 - 65 71% -3  21% 11 - 8 6 - 2 C- -4 D -5 B- F C C+ +1 B- F C+
 Thu, Feb 5 358 Binghamton W 79 - 62 94% +11  99% 12 - 8 7 - 2 C- -3 C- -2 D- F A+ C+ +1 C+ A+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 345 @Maine W 78 - 62 80% +12  80% 13 - 8 8 - 2 B- +6 B- +5 D+ F+ A+ C+ +1 B+ C- F
 Sat, Feb 14 349 @New Hampshire W 85 - 63 82% +18  95% 14 - 8 9 - 2 B +11 B+ +8 A- F+ B+ B- +3 F+ A+ C+
 Thu, Feb 19 234 Vermont W 75 - 62 72% +10  96% 15 - 8 10 - 2 B- +6 C- -1 D- C- B- A- +7 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 323 Albany W 66 - 62 86% +1  55% 16 - 8 11 - 2 D -9 D -6 D+ F B+ C- -3 F A C
 Thu, Feb 26 354 Bryant W 70 - 58 93% +5  90% 17 - 8 12 - 2 D+ -6 D- -6 C- C+ F B- +2 C+ A- F
 Sat, Feb 28 315 @Umass Lowell W 84 - 60 69% +11  94% 18 - 8 13 - 2 A- +17 A- +11 A D- A+ A- +8 A+ C F
 Tue, Mar 3 333 @NJIT W 91 - 52 76% +20  95% 19 - 8 14 - 2 A+ +30 A +14 B+ A+ F A+ +16 A- A A
 Sat, Mar 7 349 New Hampshire W 84 - 69 92% +12  99% 20 - 8 C- -2 B+ +9 A- D+ A- F+ -10 F B- D-
 Tue, Mar 10 315 Umass Lowell W 91 - 69 85% +12  96% 21 - 8 B +9 A +12 A- B A- C- -2 A+ F D+
 Sat, Mar 14 234 Vermont W 74 - 59 72% +2  48% 22 - 8 B- +8 C+ +2 C- D+ C- A- +7 A- D D-
Totals 22 - 8 14 - 2 -1 C -1 C- C D+ C- -1 C B C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C C+ C C 35% 38% 41% D+ C F+ C- D- B- D+ B C- C- C C- D+ C- 42% 20% 38% C- C- C+ C C+ F+ B+ B- A-
1.08 59% 39% 33% 0 -1 1.01 23% 1.0 .23 15% .28 76% .21 1.10 58% 39% 36% +1 0 1.05 28% 1.0 .30 13% .24 71% .20
Nov
8		 Dayton B+ D C+ A- B- 28% 26% 46% D+ C+ B+ B B+ D+ F A+ F+ D+ F D+ B+ D- 39% 24% 37% A D+ B+ F D F+ C- D D+
1.07 50% 38% 39% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.1 .38 23% .20 80% .16 1.17 78% 36% 29% +5 0 1.11 23% 1.7 .38 14% .42 79% .33
Nov
11		 Morgan St. D+ A+ A A+ A+ 45% 5% 50% B A+ F F F F B- D- C D- A A+ F D+ 45% 22% 33% F+ D F+ F+ F F A+ D+ A+
1.13 75% 50% 41% +13 +3 1.34 24% 1.0 .24 25% .45 67% .30 1.10 42% 23% 47% -4 0 0.95 34% 1.0 .34 13% .21 77% .16
Nov
16		 Wagner F D+ C F F 35% 27% 38% F F C+ A+ A- F A+ D A+ B A- F A+ B+ 50% 24% 26% D- B- B+ D- C+ C+ C+ A+ B
0.94 53% 38% 17% -11 -1 0.77 32% 1.3 .42 24% .55 69% .38 0.92 44% 54% 21% -8 0 0.87 27% 1.2 .32 20% .26 63% .16
Nov
19		 George Washington F B- F F F 39% 20% 41% C F F D+ F D B- F C- D D A+ F F 47% 7% 47% C- F A+ A+ A+ D A+ A- A+
0.73 63% 0% 20% -14 0 0.73 15% 1.0 .15 20% .32 61% .19 1.25 67% 25% 48% +13 +2 1.33 26% 0.8 .19 15% .20 67% .13
Nov
29		 Delaware St. D B F A- C+ 47% 13% 40% B- C+ D F F C- F D- F C C A- B C 35% 52% 13% A+ C+ C C- C F A+ F A
1.07 68% 14% 38% +4 +2 1.13 27% 0.7 .18 18% .17 67% .11 0.86 53% 29% 29% -8 -4 0.78 25% 0.8 .20 14% .16 78% .12
Dec
3		 Georgetown A+ B- A+ C B+ 34% 29% 38% C- B C+ A B A+ C- A+ B- F F A+ F F 42% 18% 40% D- F A+ F D+ F A+ B+ A+
1.21 58% 50% 33% +3 -1 1.05 30% 1.2 .36 10% .27 81% .22 1.34 71% 20% 48% +11 +1 1.25 24% 1.7 .41 9% .16 70% .11
Dec
6		 Bucknell C B- B+ A+ B+ 37% 28% 35% D+ B F C- F+ C- D B+ C- C- C- A+ B+ C+ 38% 20% 42% C+ C+ F B+ D F D B+ C-
1.13 65% 46% 44% +10 -1 1.20 23% 1.0 .23 19% .29 80% .23 1.02 58% 20% 29% -7 0 0.88 35% 0.9 .33 14% .31 71% .22
Dec
9		 Buffalo C+ C+ A+ C+ B 30% 23% 47% F+ B- D- A- C C+ F A+ F F F+ F F F 50% 21% 29% C- F D- A+ C+ D+ C+ F D-
1.19 63% 67% 36% +9 -1 1.19 27% 1.1 .31 17% .14 100% .14 1.25 67% 60% 43% +13 +1 1.29 31% 0.9 .27 15% .32 89% .28
Dec
12		 Army F B F+ F F 28% 25% 47% D- F F F F B+ F F F C+ A+ A+ D- A- 55% 4% 40% F B B B+ B D- F F F
0.91 67% 31% 28% -4 -1 0.92 20% 0.8 .15 12% .28 38% .10 0.95 38% 0% 37% -11 +3 0.87 26% 0.8 .21 15% .36 80% .29
Dec
21		 South Florida D+ C- B F D+ 35% 35% 30% D- D D- A C C- D A- C- D- C- A+ F F+ 54% 4% 42% D- F+ B+ F F+ F+ A B- A
0.94 53% 42% 25% -4 -2 0.89 24% 1.1 .26 21% .28 75% .21 1.29 58% 0% 42% +4 +3 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 11% .28 72% .20
Dec
29		 Coppin St. A- F C+ A+ D+ 43% 10% 47% B C- C A+ A+ B C+ F F+ A- D A+ C+ C+ 38% 19% 42% D- C A+ F A- D- B+ C+ B+
1.29 45% 40% 46% +3 +2 1.12 35% 1.9 .68 14% .37 57% .21 0.82 60% 0% 32% -8 0 0.87 15% 1.2 .18 19% .26 67% .17
Jan
8		 Maine D+ B- F A D+ 51% 29% 20% C- D+ D- F F A+ A+ B+ A+ D A F A+ B 42% 25% 33% C+ B F F F F A+ A+ A+
1.07 64% 14% 40% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.6 .18 12% .41 74% .30 0.96 45% 62% 18% -7 0 0.87 25% 1.3 .33 14% .20 55% .11
Jan
10		 New Hampshire C+ C+ B+ A+ B+ 43% 21% 36% C B F F F A+ D B+ D+ F F+ F C+ F 62% 6% 32% F F F F F D B+ A+ A+
1.19 61% 45% 42% +7 0 1.17 11% 0.7 .07 6% .27 81% .22 1.18 65% 67% 31% +4 +4 1.18 35% 1.1 .39 16% .21 45% .09
Jan
15		 Bryant D B- F B+ B- 31% 14% 55% D+ C+ F F F D- B A+ A F F C+ D- F 52% 10% 38% F F F D- F C B A+ A-
1.08 63% 29% 39% +4 0 1.12 16% 0.8 .13 16% .35 85% .30 1.15 70% 33% 36% +7 +2 1.21 38% 1.1 .41 22% .22 67% .15
Jan
19		 Binghamton C+ B- B+ B+ B- 47% 25% 28% D+ C+ F A+ D- A- F B F B- D+ A C C 41% 29% 31% B- C C D+ C- F A A+ A+
1.23 64% 46% 40% +7 0 1.17 15% 1.8 .26 8% .21 75% .15 0.95 60% 29% 33% -2 -1 0.96 19% 0.9 .17 13% .27 47% .13
Jan
22		 NJIT B A+ A F B+ 36% 26% 38% D- B F A+ D A+ A+ B+ A+ F+ F+ A D F+ 42% 26% 32% D+ D- F B- D F+ F A+ C+
1.24 78% 46% 26% +5 -1 1.10 19% 1.5 .29 9% .47 77% .36 1.06 64% 29% 35% 0 -1 1.02 35% 0.8 .28 14% .38 52% .20
Jan
24		 Umass Lowell C B- D+ C- C- 50% 21% 29% C C- F C F+ C- A A+ A+ A A F A+ A 40% 19% 42% C A- A- A+ A+ F A+ D+ A+
1.19 62% 36% 33% +1 +1 1.06 22% 1.2 .26 14% .35 95% .33 0.84 43% 70% 18% -10 0 0.83 26% 0.7 .18 14% .16 67% .10
Jan
29		 Vermont F C F F F 26% 21% 53% C- F F A+ D- B B+ D+ B B A+ F D C- 27% 13% 60% C+ C- A A+ A+ D+ F A+ D
0.86 58% 20% 20% -15 -1 0.70 14% 1.4 .19 11% .37 71% .26 1.00 42% 67% 37% +2 0 1.07 15% 0.6 .09 14% .40 59% .24
Jan
31		 Albany D D- A+ A+ C+ 54% 12% 34% A- B- F F F C A+ A- A+ C+ C A B B- 39% 14% 47% D+ B- D F F C+ A- A+ A
1.07 50% 60% 43% +3 +2 1.12 19% 0.0 .00 14% .50 81% .41 1.03 58% 29% 30% -4 +1 0.96 35% 1.2 .41 21% .16 50% .08
Feb
5		 Binghamton C- F+ B B- D- 42% 16% 42% C D- F+ F F A+ D+ B- C- C+ A F A+ C 28% 32% 40% A C+ A+ A+ A+ F B F C+
1.19 50% 44% 38% 0 +1 1.04 25% 0.8 .20 5% .30 74% .22 0.94 43% 63% 25% -2 -2 0.94 6% 0.0 .00 12% .31 83% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Maine B- C- A+ F D+ 42% 29% 29% D D+ D D- F+ A+ B A+ A+ C+ A A B+ A- 42% 15% 44% D- B+ B+ F C- F F D F
1.15 59% 53% 20% -1 -1 0.98 31% 0.9 .29 9% .36 86% .31 0.92 45% 29% 29% -10 +1 0.83 14% 1.4 .19 15% .43 68% .29
Feb
14		 New Hampshire B+ A- A+ A- A 31% 25% 44% D- A- F C- F+ B+ C A B- B- F A+ B- F 33% 13% 54% C F+ C A+ A+ C+ F C+ F+
1.24 69% 54% 39% +11 -1 1.21 21% 1.0 .21 12% .31 84% .26 0.92 75% 17% 31% 0 +1 1.04 24% 0.1 .03 19% .36 65% .23
Feb
19		 Vermont C- C+ F B+ D- 27% 27% 47% D D- C- C- C- B- A+ A- A+ A- A+ A+ D+ A+ 34% 17% 48% C A+ A C B+ F A+ F A
1.11 62% 8% 39% -4 -2 0.92 26% 1.0 .26 12% .42 80% .34 0.92 40% 10% 36% -10 0 0.83 17% 1.0 .17 10% .17 80% .13
Feb
21		 Albany D D F A- D+ 44% 17% 38% C+ D+ D F F B+ F+ B- D- C- C+ F F F 53% 13% 34% F F A+ D+ A C A+ F A+
1.11 52% 22% 40% -2 +1 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 12% .25 77% .19 1.04 56% 67% 44% +8 +2 1.21 20% 1.0 .20 20% .08 75% .06
Feb
26		 Bryant D- B A+ F C- 45% 14% 40% C C- C+ C C+ F A- A+ A+ B- A+ D- D- C+ 43% 11% 47% D C+ A+ C- A- F F A- F+
1.11 63% 50% 29% +1 +1 1.07 37% 1.0 .37 19% .37 89% .33 0.92 35% 40% 36% -8 +2 0.89 17% 1.0 .17 16% .38 70% .26
Feb
28		 Umass Lowell A- A A+ F A+ 49% 34% 17% F+ A F A D- A+ C- D C- A- A A+ A+ A+ 48% 14% 38% F+ A+ B+ F C F A+ C+ A
1.28 69% 67% 22% +12 -1 1.25 20% 1.4 .28 6% .26 69% .18 0.92 44% 13% 24% -16 +2 0.73 27% 1.3 .34 9% .19 64% .12
Mar
3		 NJIT A D B A+ A 29% 23% 48% D- B+ A+ B+ A+ F D B+ C- A+ A- F A+ A 28% 26% 47% B- A- C- A+ A A C- C C-
1.30 53% 42% 44% +7 -1 1.13 47% 1.2 .56 20% .30 76% .23 0.74 46% 50% 18% -11 -1 0.77 27% 0.4 .10 23% .31 71% .22
Mar
7		 New Hampshire B+ B- B+ A+ A+ 22% 22% 55% F+ A- F A+ D+ A- C- A+ A- F+ D D D F 40% 10% 50% D F B C B- D- D+ A+ B
1.29 64% 45% 44% +12 -1 1.22 15% 1.8 .26 11% .31 94% .29 1.06 60% 40% 36% +2 +1 1.10 21% 0.9 .18 15% .29 50% .15
Mar
10		 Umass Lowell A B+ A A A 44% 23% 33% D+ A- B- B B A- A C A C- A+ C+ D- A+ 33% 31% 37% A+ A+ F F F D+ A+ F C+
1.34 65% 50% 41% +9 0 1.21 35% 1.3 .45 9% .36 73% .26 1.02 18% 38% 37% -12 -2 0.75 40% 1.2 .49 18% .20 91% .18
Mar
14		 Vermont C+ F A+ C+ C- 31% 20% 49% C+ C- C F+ D+ C- A+ A+ A+ A- B F A+ A 39% 14% 47% D A- C- D- D D- A+ A+ A+
1.16 43% 56% 36% +1 0 1.02 27% 0.9 .23 14% .47 85% .40 0.92 55% 71% 21% -6 +1 0.92 25% 1.1 .28 12% .18 40% .07



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.7 2.4 26.1 71.5
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.7