Preseason Rankings
Horizon
2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
184 Youngstown St. 15.4%   15   0 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 12 12 - 8 -1.7      -1.4 216 -0.3 175 72.0 70 0.0 1 0.0 1
193 Purdue Fort Wayne 13.4%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 13 12 - 8 -2.1      -0.8 192 -1.3 213 74.1 49 0.0 1 0.0 1
201 Oakland 13.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 16 12 - 8 -2.4      -0.5 183 -1.9 238 60.9 347 0.0 1 0.0 1
203 Robert Morris 12.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 11 11 - 8 -2.5      -1.6 222 -0.9 193 69.4 137 0.0 1 0.0 1
206 Wright St. 12.4%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 14 12 - 8 -2.6      +0.4 151 -3.0 275 68.4 175 0.0 1 0.0 1
216 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 10.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 16 11 - 9 -3.1      -1.3 214 -1.8 231 70.9 102 0.0 1 0.0 1
223 Cleveland St. 10.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 15 11 - 9 -3.5      -2.6 246 -0.9 197 64.4 286 0.0 1 0.0 1
266 Northern Kentucky 5.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 15 10 - 10 -5.7      -3.7 280 -2.0 239 65.3 257 0.0 1 0.0 1
306 Green Bay 2.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 18 8 - 12 -8.2      -3.2 267 -5.0 325 71.7 78 0.0 1 0.0 1
310 Detroit Mercy 2.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 17 7 - 12 -8.4      -4.7 306 -3.7 296 67.3 206 0.0 1 0.0 1
359 IU Indianapolis 0.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 5 - 24 4 - 16 -14.9      -5.8 328 -9.0 363 63.3 304 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Youngstown St. 4.1 20.6 16.2 12.9 11.1 10.2 8.6 7.1 5.7 4.2 2.4 0.9
Purdue Fort Wayne 4.3 18.7 15.1 12.3 11.5 10.6 9.1 6.9 6.5 5.0 3.0 1.1
Oakland 4.4 17.6 14.0 12.4 11.7 10.6 9.2 8.0 6.7 5.1 3.5 1.1
Robert Morris 4.9 11.8 12.4 11.9 11.5 11.6 11.2 9.3 8.1 6.6 4.2 1.6
Wright St. 4.5 16.3 14.0 12.4 11.7 10.6 9.7 8.0 7.0 5.4 3.7 1.3
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 4.8 14.3 12.9 11.6 11.6 10.8 10.0 9.0 7.9 6.0 4.3 1.6
Cleveland St. 4.9 12.7 12.0 11.9 11.4 11.0 9.9 9.3 8.2 6.8 4.9 1.7
Northern Kentucky 6.0 6.8 7.6 8.8 9.6 9.8 11.0 11.2 11.6 10.8 8.7 4.1
Green Bay 7.3 2.7 3.8 5.4 6.0 8.1 8.9 11.5 13.4 14.9 16.1 9.4
Detroit Mercy 7.6 1.6 2.9 4.3 5.6 7.1 9.5 10.9 13.6 16.5 17.8 10.2
IU Indianapolis 9.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.4 3.4 6.2 11.0 21.5 52.7




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Youngstown St. 12 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.7 4.1 5.5 7.5 8.6 9.8 10.6 10.9 10.5 9.2 7.4 5.1 3.0 1.6 0.4
Purdue Fort Wayne 12 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.1 3.1 4.7 5.8 8.1 8.7 9.9 11.1 10.5 9.9 8.6 6.7 4.6 2.8 1.1 0.3
Oakland 12 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.1 3.6 4.9 6.1 8.1 9.7 10.1 10.7 9.9 9.8 8.2 6.2 4.3 2.4 1.2 0.3
Robert Morris 11 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.8 2.6 4.4 6.1 7.9 9.2 10.5 10.8 11.0 10.1 8.5 7.0 4.2 2.8 1.2 0.3
Wright St. 12 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.3 3.6 5.1 6.4 8.4 9.4 10.2 11.2 10.3 9.3 7.9 6.0 4.0 1.9 1.1 0.3
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 11 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.9 4.2 5.6 7.5 8.6 10.1 10.5 10.5 9.7 8.8 7.1 5.3 3.6 1.7 0.7 0.2
Cleveland St. 11 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.9 3.1 4.7 6.2 7.4 9.0 10.3 10.4 10.6 9.6 8.4 6.5 4.8 3.2 1.5 0.8 0.1
Northern Kentucky 10 - 10 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.3 3.8 5.6 7.6 8.9 9.9 10.9 10.2 9.3 8.6 7.2 5.5 3.8 2.5 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
Green Bay 8 - 12 0.4 1.3 3.2 5.2 7.4 9.3 10.2 11.3 10.5 9.8 8.6 7.3 5.3 4.2 2.6 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Detroit Mercy 7 - 13 0.4 1.6 3.3 6.0 8.2 10.0 11.4 11.3 11.2 9.7 8.3 6.6 4.9 3.2 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
IU Indianapolis 4 - 16 6.8 13.0 15.5 15.7 13.3 11.3 8.2 6.1 4.0 2.6 1.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Youngstown St. 20.6% 14.0 5.1 1.2 0.3 0.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 18.7% 12.7 4.7 1.2 0.2 0.0
Oakland 17.6% 11.8 4.5 1.2 0.2 0.0
Robert Morris 11.8% 7.4 3.3 0.8 0.2 0.0
Wright St. 16.3% 10.6 4.4 1.1 0.2 0.1
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 14.3% 9.3 3.8 0.9 0.2 0.0
Cleveland St. 12.7% 8.4 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.0
Northern Kentucky 6.8% 4.1 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
Green Bay 2.7% 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Detroit Mercy 1.6% 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0
IU Indianapolis 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Youngstown St. 15.4% 15.4% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.1 3.9 3.9 3.0 84.6 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 13.4% 13.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.9 3.5 3.3 2.5 86.6 0.0%
Oakland 13.6% 13.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.7 3.7 3.2 2.7 86.4 0.0%
Robert Morris 12.9% 12.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.3 3.8 3.2 2.5 87.1 0.0%
Wright St. 12.4% 12.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.2 3.3 3.5 2.6 87.6 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.0 2.7 3.0 2.5 89.1 0.0%
Cleveland St. 10.6% 10.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 2.7 3.0 2.8 89.4 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.1 94.2 0.0%
Green Bay 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.2 97.3 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 97.7 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Youngstown St. 15.4% 1.5% 15.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 13.4% 1.2% 13.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 13.6% 1.7% 13.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 12.9% 1.0% 13.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 12.4% 1.3% 12.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 10.9% 1.3% 10.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 10.6% 1.5% 10.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 5.8% 1.2% 5.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 2.7% 0.8% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 2.3% 0.7% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 95.7% 1.0 4.3 91.5 4.3
2nd Round 4.8% 0.0 95.2 4.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0