Preseason Rankings
Central Michigan
Mid-American
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#299
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.4#204
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#297
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#284
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.9% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 11.7% 19.7% 6.1%
.500 or above in Conference 27.0% 35.2% 21.2%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.7% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 16.2% 11.0% 19.9%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round1.2% 1.9% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Appalachian St. (Home) - 41.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 62 - 12
Quad 48 - 79 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 204   Appalachian St. L 62-64 42%    
  Nov 08, 2025 107   @ Bradley L 60-75 8%    
  Nov 13, 2025 167   South Alabama L 61-68 26%    
  Nov 14, 2025 361   Coppin St. W 72-64 77%    
  Nov 20, 2025 266   Northern Kentucky W 68-67 53%    
  Nov 22, 2025 43   @ Marquette L 58-81 2%    
  Dec 02, 2025 94   @ Loyola Chicago L 61-77 8%    
  Dec 07, 2025 70   @ Saint Louis L 61-80 5%    
  Dec 13, 2025 298   @ Stony Brook L 66-69 39%    
  Dec 20, 2025 314   @ Northern Illinois L 71-73 43%    
  Dec 22, 2025 26   @ Wisconsin L 58-84 1%    
  Dec 30, 2025 152   Ohio L 72-77 33%    
  Jan 03, 2026 196   Toledo L 74-76 42%    
  Jan 06, 2026 108   @ Akron L 68-83 10%    
  Jan 10, 2026 127   Kent St. L 65-72 28%    
  Jan 13, 2026 125   @ Miami (OH) L 66-79 14%    
  Jan 20, 2026 247   Ball St. L 70-71 50%    
  Jan 24, 2026 282   @ Western Michigan L 69-73 38%    
  Jan 27, 2026 292   Eastern Michigan W 73-70 59%    
  Jan 31, 2026 212   Bowling Green L 70-72 45%    
  Feb 03, 2026 170   @ Massachusetts L 68-78 21%    
  Feb 14, 2026 314   Northern Illinois W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 17, 2026 292   @ Eastern Michigan L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 21, 2026 282   Western Michigan W 72-70 58%    
  Feb 24, 2026 127   @ Kent St. L 62-75 15%    
  Feb 28, 2026 337   @ Buffalo W 74-73 50%    
  Mar 03, 2026 108   Akron L 71-80 24%    
  Mar 06, 2026 247   @ Ball St. L 67-73 31%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.8 1.4 0.7 0.1 3.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 2.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.4 1.7 0.2 5.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.2 2.3 0.4 0.0 7.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.9 2.8 0.7 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 4.2 4.0 1.1 0.1 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 3.9 4.6 1.4 0.1 11.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 3.9 5.0 1.6 0.1 11.5 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 4.0 5.5 1.9 0.1 0.0 12.7 11th
12th 0.3 1.6 4.1 4.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 12.0 12th
13th 0.8 2.4 3.1 2.5 1.0 0.1 10.0 13th
Total 0.8 2.6 4.8 7.8 10.2 12.2 12.1 11.9 10.6 8.7 6.7 5.0 3.2 1.9 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 83.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 58.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 33.2% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 33.3% 33.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 11.3% 11.3% 13.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 22.2% 22.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 0.9% 12.7% 12.7% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
13-5 1.9% 11.3% 11.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
12-6 3.2% 4.3% 4.3% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.1
11-7 5.0% 4.2% 4.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.8
10-8 6.7% 2.4% 2.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.5
9-9 8.7% 2.2% 2.2% 19.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 8.5
8-10 10.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.5
7-11 11.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.9
6-12 12.1% 12.1
5-13 12.2% 12.2
4-14 10.2% 10.2
3-15 7.8% 7.8
2-16 4.8% 4.8
1-17 2.6% 2.6
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%