IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+9.9	#55
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.5	#171
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+7.1	#39

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.9	#96

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.6%	0.7%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	2.8%	2.9%	0.3%
Top 6 Seed	6.6%	6.9%	0.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid	27.5%	28.5%	8.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	25.7%	26.6%	8.2%
Average Seed	8.1	8.0	8.8

.500 or above	82.1%	83.5%	54.4%
.500 or above in Conference	59.9%	61.2%	36.2%
Conference Champion	3.3%	3.5%	0.6%
Last Place in Conference	4.0%	3.7%	9.5%

First Four	5.4%	5.5%	1.9%
First Round	24.6%	25.5%	7.5%
Second Round	13.8%	14.3%	3.6%
Sweet Sixteen	4.4%	4.6%	1.4%
Elite Eight	1.6%	1.7%	0.9%
Final Four	0.6%	0.6%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville (Home) - 95.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 5	1 - 5
Quad 1b	2 - 3	3 - 8
Quad 2	4 - 3	6 - 11
Quad 3	4 - 1	11 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 0	19 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	245	Jacksonville	W	80-63	95%
Nov 06, 2025	249	Bethune-Cookman	W	83-65	95%
Nov 10, 2025	348	Stetson	W	87-62	99%
Nov 16, 2025	5	Florida	L	71-83	15%
Nov 20, 2025	224	Elon	W	79-63	93%
Nov 23, 2025	341	Delaware St.	W	88-64	98%
Nov 27, 2025	9	BYU	L	72-81	23%
Dec 02, 2025	30	@ Mississippi	L	70-77	27%
Dec 06, 2025	276	Southern Miss	W	85-66	95%
Dec 13, 2025	347	Louisiana Monroe	W	85-60	99%
Dec 16, 2025	209	Florida International	W	81-65	91%
Dec 21, 2025	330	North Florida	W	93-70	97%
Dec 30, 2025	80	Pittsburgh	W	76-70	69%
Jan 07, 2026	67	@ Wake Forest	L	71-73	44%
Jan 10, 2026	79	Georgia Tech	W	77-71	69%
Jan 13, 2026	63	@ Notre Dame	L	69-71	42%
Jan 17, 2026	42	@ Clemson	L	67-72	33%
Jan 20, 2026	75	Florida St.	W	78-72	68%
Jan 24, 2026	64	@ Syracuse	L	75-77	43%
Jan 28, 2026	99	Stanford	W	75-67	74%
Jan 31, 2026	91	California	W	78-71	72%
Feb 07, 2026	96	@ Boston College	W	74-72	55%
Feb 10, 2026	23	North Carolina	L	77-79	43%
Feb 14, 2026	31	@ North Carolina St.	L	68-75	28%
Feb 17, 2026	76	Virginia Tech	W	74-68	68%
Feb 21, 2026	44	@ Virginia	L	64-69	34%
Feb 24, 2026	75	@ Florida St.	L	75-76	49%
Feb 28, 2026	96	Boston College	W	77-69	73%
Mar 04, 2026	46	@ SMU	L	73-78	34%
Mar 07, 2026	10	Louisville	L	74-79	32%
Projected Record						19 - 11	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.6	1.0	0.9	0.5	0.1		3.3	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	1.4	2.4	1.5	0.5	0.1			6.3	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	1.7	3.0	1.9	0.3	0.0				7.0	3rd
4th											0.1	1.4	3.3	2.0	0.2						7.1	4th
5th										0.0	0.9	3.6	2.6	0.4	0.0						7.5	5th
6th										0.3	2.9	3.3	0.9	0.0							7.4	6th
7th									0.1	1.7	4.3	1.7	0.1								7.8	7th
8th									0.4	3.6	2.7	0.3									7.0	8th
9th								0.1	2.0	3.9	0.8	0.0									6.9	9th
10th							0.0	0.9	3.8	1.6	0.1										6.5	10th
11th							0.2	2.1	3.1	0.4	0.0										5.8	11th
12th						0.1	1.1	3.4	1.0	0.0											5.5	12th
13th						0.3	2.5	2.0	0.2												5.0	13th
14th					0.1	1.5	2.6	0.6													4.8	14th
15th				0.0	0.6	1.9	1.1	0.1													3.7	15th
16th			0.0	0.4	1.7	1.1	0.2	0.0													3.5	16th
17th		0.0	0.3	1.1	1.2	0.3	0.0														2.9	17th
18th	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.7	0.3	0.0															2.1	18th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.0	2.3	3.8	5.2	7.8	9.2	10.5	11.6	12.0	10.4	8.9	6.9	5.1	2.8	1.5	0.6	0.1			Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-1	88.4%	0.5		0.4	0.2	0.0
16-2	63.3%	0.9		0.5	0.4	0.0
15-3	35.0%	1.0		0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0
14-4	11.9%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	1.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.4%	0.0		0.0			0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.3%	3.3		1.5	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		100.0%	44.5%	55.5%	2.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0															100.0%
17-1	0.6%		100.0%	22.3%	77.7%	2.9		0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0													100.0%
16-2	1.5%		100.0%	20.4%	79.6%	4.3		0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0									100.0%
15-3	2.8%		96.5%	12.2%	84.2%	5.8		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.6	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1							0.1		96.0%
14-4	5.1%		94.0%	10.0%	84.0%	7.2			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.8	1.0	1.0	0.7	0.4	0.1						0.3		93.3%
13-5	6.9%		76.8%	5.7%	71.0%	8.3				0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.8	1.0	1.2	1.1	0.3	0.0					1.6		75.3%
12-6	8.9%		57.4%	3.5%	54.0%	9.1						0.0	0.2	0.4	0.9	1.3	1.5	0.7	0.0					3.8		55.9%
11-7	10.4%		36.5%	1.8%	34.7%	9.6						0.0	0.1	0.1	0.5	0.7	1.6	0.8	0.0					6.6		35.3%
10-8	12.0%		19.7%	1.1%	18.6%	10.0								0.0	0.2	0.4	1.0	0.7	0.0					9.6		18.8%
9-9	11.6%		7.8%	0.3%	7.5%	10.2								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0					10.7		7.5%
8-10	10.5%		2.5%	0.1%	2.4%	10.7										0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0					10.2		2.4%
7-11	9.2%		0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	11.0												0.0						9.1		0.1%
6-12	7.8%																							7.8
5-13	5.2%																							5.2
4-14	3.8%																							3.8
3-15	2.3%																							2.3
2-16	1.0%																							1.0
1-17	0.4%																							0.4
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		27.5%	2.4%	25.1%	8.1		0.2	0.4	0.8	1.3	1.5	2.3	2.8	4.0	4.7	6.1	3.2	0.1					72.5		25.7%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	100.0%	2.5		50.0	50.0