IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Fordham
Atlantic 10
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.6	#163
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.9	#60
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.1	#131

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.7	#224

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.4%	1.5%	0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	11.5	11.5	12.5

.500 or above	56.3%	58.1%	25.6%
.500 or above in Conference	28.8%	29.7%	12.9%
Conference Champion	1.7%	1.7%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	17.4%	16.4%	33.2%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	1.4%	1.5%	0.3%
Second Round	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Home) - 94.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 3	4 - 5	5 - 12
Quad 4	10 - 2	15 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	357	NJIT	W	80-63	94%
Nov 11, 2025	335	Wagner	W	69-56	89%
Nov 14, 2025	208	@ Iona	L	75-76	47%
Nov 20, 2025	297	LIU Brooklyn	W	74-64	82%
Nov 29, 2025	296	Albany	W	79-72	73%
Nov 30, 2025	227	Colgate	W	76-73	62%
Dec 06, 2025	346	Holy Cross	W	81-67	90%
Dec 10, 2025	350	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	84-69	90%
Dec 13, 2025	252	Manhattan	W	81-74	74%
Dec 22, 2025	363	New Haven	W	84-63	96%
Dec 31, 2025	65	@ Dayton	L	66-79	14%
Jan 04, 2026	131	Richmond	W	71-70	52%
Jan 07, 2026	101	George Mason	L	68-71	41%
Jan 10, 2026	124	@ St. Bonaventure	L	67-73	32%
Jan 14, 2026	70	@ Saint Louis	L	69-81	16%
Jan 17, 2026	116	Duquesne	L	71-72	48%
Jan 21, 2026	145	@ Davidson	L	71-75	36%
Jan 28, 2026	187	La Salle	W	78-74	64%
Jan 31, 2026	85	@ George Washington	L	70-80	20%
Feb 03, 2026	60	Virginia Commonwealth	L	68-75	29%
Feb 07, 2026	124	St. Bonaventure	W	71-70	52%
Feb 10, 2026	110	@ Saint Joseph's	L	70-78	27%
Feb 14, 2026	143	@ Rhode Island	L	76-81	35%
Feb 18, 2026	94	Loyola Chicago	L	72-75	40%
Feb 21, 2026	145	Davidson	W	74-72	55%
Feb 28, 2026	60	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	65-78	15%
Mar 04, 2026	187	@ La Salle	L	75-77	45%
Mar 07, 2026	143	Rhode Island	W	79-78	54%
Projected Record						15 - 13	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0		1.7	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.9	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0				2.6	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.3	1.6	0.6	0.1	0.0					4.0	3rd
4th										0.2	1.7	1.9	0.8	0.2	0.0						4.8	4th
5th									0.1	1.3	2.8	1.4	0.2	0.0							5.9	5th
6th								0.0	1.1	3.4	1.9	0.3	0.0								6.8	6th
7th							0.0	0.8	3.6	2.9	0.4	0.0									7.6	7th
8th							0.4	2.9	4.0	0.9	0.1										8.2	8th
9th						0.2	2.2	4.5	1.7	0.1											8.7	9th
10th					0.1	1.3	4.7	2.9	0.2	0.0											9.3	10th
11th				0.0	1.2	4.0	3.6	0.6	0.0												9.4	11th
12th			0.0	1.0	3.5	3.9	1.1	0.0													9.6	12th
13th		0.1	1.4	3.6	3.8	1.3	0.1														10.3	13th
14th	0.8	2.4	3.8	2.8	1.1	0.1															11.1	14th

Total	0.8	2.5	5.2	7.5	9.7	10.9	12.1	11.7	10.8	8.8	7.2	5.1	3.7	2.1	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	93.8%	0.2		0.2	0.0	0.0
15-3	78.0%	0.5		0.3	0.1	0.0
14-4	44.8%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	16.2%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.3%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.7%	1.7		0.8	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	50.0%	50.0%	8.0							0.0				0.0									100.0%
17-1	0.0%		80.3%	60.6%	19.7%	8.8							0.0			0.0	0.0							0.0		50.0%
16-2	0.2%		47.2%	34.9%	12.4%	9.5							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1		19.0%
15-3	0.6%		25.4%	24.2%	1.2%	10.6								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0					0.4		1.6%
14-4	1.1%		11.7%	11.1%	0.6%	11.1										0.0		0.1	0.0					1.0		0.7%
13-5	2.1%		12.1%	12.1%		11.5											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0				1.8
12-6	3.7%		5.8%	5.8%		12.0												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			3.4
11-7	5.1%		5.1%	5.1%		11.9												0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0			4.8
10-8	7.2%		1.7%	1.7%		12.4												0.0	0.1	0.1				7.1
9-9	8.8%		0.9%	0.9%		12.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			8.7
8-10	10.8%		0.3%	0.3%		13.4														0.0	0.0			10.7
7-11	11.7%		0.2%	0.2%		13.8													0.0		0.0	0.0		11.7
6-12	12.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.1
5-13	10.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.9
4-14	9.7%																							9.7
3-15	7.5%																							7.5
2-16	5.2%																							5.2
1-17	2.5%																							2.5
0-18	0.8%																							0.8

Total	100%		1.4%	1.4%	0.1%	11.5							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	98.6		0.1%