IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Minnesota
Big Ten
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+6.0	#87
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	59.5	#358
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.9	#98

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.1	#91

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	1.7%	1.8%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.9%	10.4%	1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	9.8%	10.2%	1.9%
Average Seed	8.5	8.4	8.8

.500 or above	33.5%	34.8%	9.7%
.500 or above in Conference	11.9%	12.3%	4.2%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	24.6%	23.4%	45.5%

First Four	2.2%	2.3%	0.4%
First Round	8.7%	9.1%	1.9%
Second Round	4.4%	4.6%	0.7%
Sweet Sixteen	1.1%	1.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Gardner-Webb (Home) - 94.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 7	1 - 7
Quad 1b	1 - 4	2 - 11
Quad 2	3 - 4	5 - 16
Quad 3	2 - 1	7 - 17
Quad 4	6 - 0	14 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	307	Gardner-Webb	W	76-59	95%
Nov 08, 2025	323	Alcorn St.	W	72-53	96%
Nov 12, 2025	37	@ Missouri	L	64-74	17%
Nov 15, 2025	306	Green Bay	W	77-60	94%
Nov 18, 2025	351	Chicago St.	W	78-56	97%
Nov 22, 2025	77	San Francisco	L	66-67	45%
Nov 27, 2025	99	Stanford	W	65-64	52%
Dec 03, 2025	33	Indiana	L	64-69	34%
Dec 10, 2025	2	@ Purdue	L	56-77	4%
Dec 14, 2025	290	Texas Southern	W	74-58	92%
Dec 21, 2025	200	Campbell	W	70-59	84%
Dec 29, 2025	350	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	78-57	97%
Jan 03, 2026	72	@ Northwestern	L	61-66	34%
Jan 06, 2026	34	Iowa	L	68-73	35%
Jan 09, 2026	29	USC	L	65-70	33%
Jan 13, 2026	26	Wisconsin	L	64-70	31%
Jan 17, 2026	15	@ Illinois	L	65-79	11%
Jan 20, 2026	27	@ Ohio St.	L	62-74	16%
Jan 24, 2026	59	Nebraska	L	66-67	49%
Jan 28, 2026	26	@ Wisconsin	L	61-73	15%
Feb 01, 2026	90	@ Penn St.	L	67-70	42%
Feb 04, 2026	21	Michigan St.	L	62-69	28%
Feb 08, 2026	40	Maryland	L	65-69	38%
Feb 14, 2026	48	@ Washington	L	64-72	25%
Feb 17, 2026	28	@ Oregon	L	61-72	17%
Feb 21, 2026	82	Rutgers	W	68-66	58%
Feb 24, 2026	6	@ Michigan	L	60-77	8%
Feb 28, 2026	13	UCLA	L	59-68	24%
Mar 04, 2026	33	@ Indiana	L	61-72	19%
Mar 07, 2026	72	Northwestern	W	64-63	54%
Projected Record						13 - 17	6 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1	1st
2nd															0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.3	2nd
3rd													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0						0.4	3rd
4th												0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0						0.7	4th
5th												0.2	0.5	0.5	0.1								1.2	5th
6th											0.1	0.7	0.7	0.1									1.7	6th
7th										0.0	0.4	1.0	0.5	0.0									1.9	7th
8th										0.3	1.3	0.9	0.2										2.6	8th
9th									0.1	1.3	1.7	0.4	0.0										3.5	9th
10th								0.1	0.9	2.3	0.8	0.0											4.1	10th
11th							0.1	0.6	2.7	1.9	0.3	0.0											5.5	11th
12th							0.4	2.5	3.1	0.5	0.0												6.5	12th
13th					0.0	0.3	1.8	4.1	1.5	0.1													7.8	13th
14th					0.1	1.6	4.1	2.8	0.4														9.1	14th
15th				0.1	1.4	4.2	3.6	0.9	0.0														10.3	15th
16th			0.2	2.0	5.1	4.2	1.4	0.1															13.0	16th
17th		0.4	2.8	5.5	4.7	1.8	0.2																15.4	17th
18th	1.7	4.0	5.2	3.4	1.2	0.1	0.0																15.6	18th

Total	1.7	4.5	8.2	10.9	12.5	12.2	11.6	11.1	8.8	6.6	4.5	3.1	2.1	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
17-3	43.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-4	25.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0
15-5	5.2%	0.0			0.0		0.0
14-6	1.3%	0.0						0.0
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%									0.0
19-1	0.0%		100.0%	50.0%	50.0%	1.0		0.0																		100.0%
18-2	0.0%		100.0%		100.0%	3.0			0.0		0.0															100.0%
17-3	0.1%		100.0%	15.0%	85.0%	2.0		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
16-4	0.1%		100.0%	10.0%	90.0%	3.9		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
15-5	0.3%		100.0%	10.4%	89.6%	4.9			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0										100.0%
14-6	0.6%		97.5%	2.5%	95.0%	6.0				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0		97.4%
13-7	1.1%		96.1%	1.9%	94.2%	7.2				0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1							0.0		96.0%
12-8	2.1%		87.3%	0.3%	87.0%	7.9					0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0						0.3		87.3%
11-9	3.1%		74.5%	1.1%	73.4%	8.7						0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.5	0.2						0.8		74.2%
10-10	4.5%		46.4%	0.3%	46.1%	9.5					0.0		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.9	0.4	0.0					2.4		46.2%
9-11	6.6%		17.0%	0.2%	16.8%	10.0							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.0					5.4		16.8%
8-12	8.8%		5.1%	0.2%	4.9%	10.6									0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0					8.4		4.9%
7-13	11.1%		0.5%		0.5%	10.9											0.0	0.0						11.0		0.5%
6-14	11.6%																							11.6
5-15	12.2%																							12.2
4-16	12.5%																							12.5
3-17	10.9%																							10.9
2-18	8.2%																							8.2
1-19	4.5%																							4.5
0-20	1.7%																							1.7

Total	100%		9.9%	0.2%	9.8%	8.5		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.8	1.1	1.6	2.0	2.3	1.3	0.0					90.1		9.8%