Preseason Rankings
Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.0#338
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.6#190
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#325
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#331
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 6.1% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.3 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 13.4% 38.3% 12.6%
.500 or above in Conference 28.1% 47.3% 27.5%
Conference Champion 1.3% 4.3% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.4% 1.8% 4.5%
First Four1.6% 3.1% 1.5%
First Round2.1% 5.2% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Florida (Away) - 3.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 48 - 99 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 95   @ South Florida L 62-82 3%    
  Nov 08, 2025 146   Kennesaw St. L 70-79 20%    
  Nov 11, 2025 74   @ Central Florida L 65-87 3%    
  Dec 02, 2025 245   @ Jacksonville L 64-73 20%    
  Dec 17, 2025 245   Jacksonville L 67-70 38%    
  Dec 19, 2025 273   @ Tarleton St. L 62-70 25%    
  Dec 21, 2025 56   @ TCU L 56-80 2%    
  Dec 28, 2025 79   @ Georgia Tech L 61-82 4%    
  Jan 03, 2026 249   @ Bethune-Cookman L 67-76 21%    
  Jan 10, 2026 189   Southern L 66-72 30%    
  Jan 12, 2026 284   Grambling St. L 65-66 46%    
  Jan 17, 2026 364   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-71 78%    
  Jan 19, 2026 365   @ Mississippi Valley W 71-60 81%    
  Jan 24, 2026 323   Alcorn St. W 68-66 56%    
  Jan 28, 2026 238   Jackson St. L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 31, 2026 327   @ Alabama A&M L 72-76 37%    
  Feb 02, 2026 289   @ Alabama St. L 67-74 29%    
  Feb 07, 2026 290   Texas Southern L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 14, 2026 238   @ Jackson St. L 66-76 21%    
  Feb 16, 2026 323   @ Alcorn St. L 65-69 36%    
  Feb 19, 2026 327   Alabama A&M W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 19, 2026 289   Alabama St. L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 26, 2026 189   @ Southern L 63-75 16%    
  Feb 26, 2026 284   @ Grambling St. L 62-69 28%    
  Mar 05, 2026 249   Bethune-Cookman L 70-73 40%    
Projected Record 8 - 17 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.6 1.9 0.4 0.0 5.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.8 3.2 0.6 0.1 7.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.4 1.3 0.1 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.7 5.1 2.0 0.1 11.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.2 5.6 2.4 0.2 0.0 13.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.4 6.4 2.7 0.3 0.0 17.3 9th
10th 0.7 3.7 5.9 5.0 2.3 0.2 0.0 17.9 10th
11th 0.7 2.2 2.7 1.4 0.4 0.0 7.3 11th
12th 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.1 12th
Total 0.4 1.6 3.5 6.9 9.5 12.0 13.9 12.7 11.3 10.0 7.7 5.0 2.9 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 89.1% 0.2    0.2 0.1
14-4 59.4% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 28.1% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 12.5% 12.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.3% 27.3% 27.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.7% 22.9% 22.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.6% 18.8% 18.8% 17.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.3
12-6 2.9% 14.6% 14.6% 18.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.5
11-7 5.0% 9.0% 9.0% 18.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 4.5
10-8 7.7% 4.6% 4.6% 17.4 0.1 0.3 7.3
9-9 10.0% 4.2% 4.2% 17.0 0.0 0.4 9.6
8-10 11.3% 2.2% 2.2% 17.3 0.3 11.1
7-11 12.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 12.6
6-12 13.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.9
5-13 12.0% 12.0
4-14 9.5% 9.5
3-15 6.9% 6.9
2-16 3.5% 3.5
1-17 1.6% 1.6
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 17.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%