Preseason Rankings
Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#284
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace61.7#336
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#321
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#216
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.9% 22.0% 8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.2 14.0 15.4
.500 or above 40.6% 89.7% 40.3%
.500 or above in Conference 56.5% 86.2% 56.3%
Conference Champion 4.3% 11.4% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.0% 0.6%
First Four3.8% 2.3% 3.8%
First Round8.0% 20.8% 8.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa St. (Away) - 0.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 412 - 814 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2025 20   @ Iowa St. L 52-78 1%    
  Nov 09, 2025 328   @ Howard W 69-68 51%    
  Nov 13, 2025 276   Southern Miss W 69-67 58%    
  Nov 18, 2025 180   @ San Diego L 66-75 22%    
  Nov 21, 2025 174   @ California Baptist L 59-68 22%    
  Nov 24, 2025 256   @ UC Riverside L 63-68 33%    
  Dec 02, 2025 115   @ Tulane L 59-72 12%    
  Dec 08, 2025 276   @ Southern Miss L 66-70 38%    
  Dec 18, 2025 260   Norfolk St. L 63-65 44%    
  Dec 19, 2025 235   Hampton L 62-65 40%    
  Dec 23, 2025 27   @ Ohio St. L 55-80 2%    
  Jan 03, 2026 340   Prairie View W 71-64 73%    
  Jan 05, 2026 290   Texas Southern W 67-64 61%    
  Jan 10, 2026 249   @ Bethune-Cookman L 64-69 33%    
  Jan 12, 2026 338   @ Florida A&M W 66-65 54%    
  Jan 17, 2026 189   Southern L 63-65 44%    
  Jan 24, 2026 365   Mississippi Valley W 72-51 96%    
  Jan 26, 2026 364   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-60 95%    
  Jan 31, 2026 238   @ Jackson St. L 63-69 32%    
  Feb 02, 2026 323   @ Alcorn St. L 62-63 50%    
  Feb 07, 2026 289   Alabama St. W 67-64 61%    
  Feb 09, 2026 327   Alabama A&M W 71-65 69%    
  Feb 14, 2026 290   @ Texas Southern L 64-67 41%    
  Feb 21, 2026 189   Southern L 63-65 44%    
  Feb 26, 2026 249   Bethune-Cookman W 67-66 53%    
  Feb 26, 2026 338   Florida A&M W 69-62 72%    
  Mar 03, 2026 327   @ Alabama A&M L 68-69 50%    
  Mar 05, 2026 289   @ Alabama St. L 64-67 41%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.1 0.4 4.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.6 3.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.3 4.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 10.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.7 4.9 1.7 0.2 11.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.4 5.7 2.0 0.1 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.5 5.8 2.3 0.2 12.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.2 5.5 2.8 0.3 12.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.0 4.7 2.6 0.3 11.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 3.9 2.0 0.2 9.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 2.2 2.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.5 6.0 8.7 10.7 12.5 13.0 12.5 11.1 9.0 5.8 3.4 1.4 0.4 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 96.6% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 78.7% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 48.6% 1.7    0.6 0.9 0.2
13-5 15.8% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 2.0 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.4% 52.7% 52.7% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.4% 46.4% 46.4% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7
14-4 3.4% 32.9% 32.9% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 2.3
13-5 5.8% 28.7% 28.7% 17.6 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 4.1
12-6 9.0% 16.2% 16.2% 17.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 7.5
11-7 11.1% 12.8% 12.8% 18.5 0.0 0.3 1.3 9.7
10-8 12.5% 8.9% 8.9% 18.6 0.0 0.2 1.1 11.4
9-9 13.0% 5.4% 5.4% 17.6 0.0 0.7 12.3
8-10 12.5% 3.6% 3.6% 16.7 0.0 0.4 12.0
7-11 10.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 10.5
6-12 8.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.6
5-13 6.0% 6.0
4-14 3.5% 3.5
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 17.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.4 6.0 91.1 0.0%