Preseason Rankings
Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.7#323
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.1#313
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#326
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#302
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 9.2% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.3 15.2 15.7
.500 or above 12.5% 37.5% 11.7%
.500 or above in Conference 64.6% 82.0% 64.1%
Conference Champion 9.2% 23.1% 8.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.2% 1.0%
First Four3.0% 1.5% 3.1%
First Round3.8% 10.3% 3.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida St. (Away) - 3.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 20 - 20 - 8
Quad 31 - 41 - 12
Quad 410 - 911 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2025 75   @ Florida St. L 59-79 3%    
  Nov 06, 2025 167   @ South Alabama L 56-68 13%    
  Nov 08, 2025 87   @ Minnesota L 53-72 4%    
  Nov 11, 2025 40   @ Maryland L 56-81 1%    
  Nov 13, 2025 328   @ Howard L 69-72 40%    
  Nov 18, 2025 53   @ LSU L 57-80 2%    
  Nov 23, 2025 47   @ Oklahoma L 58-82 2%    
  Nov 28, 2025 173   Indiana St. L 69-78 23%    
  Nov 29, 2025 144   @ Louisiana Tech L 56-70 12%    
  Dec 03, 2025 20   @ Iowa St. L 53-82 1%    
  Dec 19, 2025 24   @ Baylor L 52-80 1%    
  Dec 29, 2025 30   @ Mississippi L 54-81 1%    
  Dec 31, 2025 189   Southern L 64-69 33%    
  Jan 03, 2026 238   @ Jackson St. L 64-72 24%    
  Jan 10, 2026 327   @ Alabama A&M L 69-72 41%    
  Jan 12, 2026 289   @ Alabama St. L 65-70 32%    
  Jan 17, 2026 290   Texas Southern W 68-67 52%    
  Jan 19, 2026 340   Prairie View W 72-67 65%    
  Jan 24, 2026 338   @ Florida A&M L 66-68 44%    
  Jan 26, 2026 249   @ Bethune-Cookman L 64-72 25%    
  Jan 31, 2026 189   Southern L 64-69 34%    
  Feb 02, 2026 284   Grambling St. W 63-62 50%    
  Feb 07, 2026 364   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 77-66 81%    
  Feb 09, 2026 365   @ Mississippi Valley W 69-57 84%    
  Feb 14, 2026 249   Bethune-Cookman L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 16, 2026 338   Florida A&M W 69-65 64%    
  Feb 21, 2026 238   Jackson St. L 67-69 41%    
  Feb 26, 2026 290   @ Texas Southern L 65-70 32%    
  Feb 28, 2026 340   @ Prairie View L 69-70 45%    
  Mar 03, 2026 365   Mississippi Valley W 72-54 93%    
  Mar 05, 2026 364   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-63 91%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 10 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.0 2.4 2.0 1.1 0.4 9.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.6 2.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.5 2.4 0.5 0.1 11.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.6 5.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.4 5.4 2.3 0.3 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.2 2.5 0.3 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.6 5.2 2.7 0.2 11.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.6 2.3 0.2 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.2 1.8 0.2 7.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 5.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.5 4.5 6.5 8.7 11.3 12.1 12.3 11.2 9.6 7.4 4.8 3.5 2.3 1.1 0.4 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
17-1 98.7% 1.1    1.0 0.1
16-2 90.3% 2.0    1.6 0.5 0.0
15-3 66.9% 2.4    1.6 0.7 0.1
14-4 41.9% 2.0    0.8 0.9 0.3
13-5 14.2% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1
12-6 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.2% 9.2 5.5 2.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 31.5% 31.5% 16.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-1 1.1% 34.3% 34.3% 16.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.7
16-2 2.3% 22.2% 22.2% 17.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.8
15-3 3.5% 17.9% 17.9% 17.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 2.9
14-4 4.8% 14.4% 14.4% 18.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 4.1
13-5 7.4% 9.5% 9.5% 16.9 0.0 0.7 6.7
12-6 9.6% 6.6% 6.6% 17.0 0.0 0.6 8.9
11-7 11.2% 3.5% 3.5% 16.3 0.4 10.8
10-8 12.3% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 11.9
9-9 12.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 11.9
8-10 11.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.2
7-11 8.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.7
6-12 6.5% 6.5
5-13 4.5% 4.5
4-14 2.5% 2.5
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 17.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 4.0 95.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%