Preseason Rankings
Albany
America East
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#296
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.4#172
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#265
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#307
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.0% 21.7% 10.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.1 14.6 15.5
.500 or above 28.1% 61.8% 27.5%
.500 or above in Conference 63.3% 82.4% 62.9%
Conference Champion 12.7% 29.6% 12.4%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 2.6% 7.4%
First Four5.8% 6.0% 5.8%
First Round9.3% 22.1% 9.1%
Second Round0.1% 1.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marquette (Away) - 1.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 62 - 9
Quad 411 - 812 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 43   @ Marquette L 60-83 2%    
  Nov 08, 2025 170   @ Massachusetts L 69-79 19%    
  Nov 14, 2025 143   @ Rhode Island L 70-81 15%    
  Nov 21, 2025 213   @ Siena L 68-76 25%    
  Nov 28, 2025 227   Colgate L 70-74 37%    
  Nov 29, 2025 163   Fordham L 72-79 27%    
  Dec 06, 2025 267   @ Columbia L 75-80 34%    
  Dec 10, 2025 97   Yale L 66-79 14%    
  Dec 13, 2025 140   @ Florida Atlantic L 69-81 15%    
  Dec 17, 2025 298   @ Stony Brook L 68-71 41%    
  Dec 21, 2025 165   Cornell L 77-81 37%    
  Dec 30, 2025 71   @ South Carolina L 59-78 6%    
  Jan 03, 2026 301   @ Umass Lowell L 73-76 41%    
  Jan 10, 2026 248   Bryant W 78-77 51%    
  Jan 15, 2026 334   Binghamton W 72-66 69%    
  Jan 19, 2026 207   Vermont L 64-66 44%    
  Jan 22, 2026 285   @ Maine L 66-69 39%    
  Jan 24, 2026 356   @ New Hampshire W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 29, 2026 357   NJIT W 73-63 78%    
  Jan 31, 2026 304   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 80-76 62%    
  Feb 05, 2026 248   @ Bryant L 74-80 32%    
  Feb 07, 2026 301   Umass Lowell W 76-73 61%    
  Feb 14, 2026 334   @ Binghamton L 69-70 50%    
  Feb 19, 2026 357   @ NJIT W 70-66 62%    
  Feb 21, 2026 304   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 77-79 42%    
  Feb 26, 2026 285   Maine W 69-66 59%    
  Feb 28, 2026 356   New Hampshire W 76-67 77%    
  Mar 03, 2026 207   @ Vermont L 61-69 26%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.2 3.7 2.6 1.3 0.4 12.7 1st
2nd 0.6 2.8 5.3 3.8 1.3 0.1 13.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.1 6.2 3.1 0.5 0.0 14.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.6 6.3 2.2 0.2 0.0 14.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.4 5.3 1.8 0.2 12.6 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 4.1 4.8 1.3 0.1 11.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.3 3.6 0.9 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.4 1.4 2.7 2.1 0.6 0.0 7.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.2 9th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.1 4.9 6.6 9.3 10.8 11.9 12.8 11.6 9.9 7.5 5.0 2.8 1.3 0.4 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
15-1 100.0% 1.3    1.3 0.1
14-2 94.9% 2.6    2.1 0.5
13-3 74.2% 3.7    2.4 1.3 0.1
12-4 42.0% 3.2    1.4 1.4 0.3 0.0
11-5 12.8% 1.3    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 12.7% 12.7 7.8 3.8 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.4% 69.7% 69.7% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
15-1 1.3% 45.4% 45.4% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.7
14-2 2.8% 36.7% 36.7% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.8
13-3 5.0% 32.1% 32.1% 17.6 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 3.4
12-4 7.5% 23.7% 23.7% 18.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 5.7
11-5 9.9% 18.7% 18.7% 18.2 0.0 0.4 1.7 8.0
10-6 11.6% 11.3% 11.3% 17.5 0.0 0.1 1.3 10.3
9-7 12.8% 8.9% 8.9% 17.2 0.1 1.1 11.7
8-8 11.9% 5.3% 5.3% 16.2 0.0 0.6 11.3
7-9 10.8% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.4 10.4
6-10 9.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 9.1
5-11 6.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 6.5
4-12 4.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.9
3-13 3.1% 3.1
2-14 1.5% 1.5
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 11.0% 11.0% 0.0% 17.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.5 8.0 89.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%