Preseason Rankings
Bucknell
Patriot League
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#286
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.8#154
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#300
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#266
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.9% 12.5% 7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.4 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 37.1% 49.3% 24.8%
.500 or above in Conference 62.1% 70.5% 53.7%
Conference Champion 12.1% 15.7% 8.4%
Last Place in Conference 7.1% 4.5% 9.7%
First Four4.5% 4.6% 4.3%
First Round8.8% 11.7% 5.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware (Home) - 50.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 413 - 1015 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 236   Delaware W 76-75 50%    
  Nov 07, 2025 270   @ Mount St. Mary's L 67-71 35%    
  Nov 11, 2025 179   @ Princeton L 65-74 20%    
  Nov 14, 2025 182   Hofstra L 63-65 42%    
  Nov 17, 2025 80   @ Pittsburgh L 61-78 7%    
  Nov 20, 2025 8   @ St. John's L 58-87 1%    
  Nov 24, 2025 212   Bowling Green L 69-73 36%    
  Nov 26, 2025 337   Buffalo W 76-72 62%    
  Nov 30, 2025 165   Cornell L 76-79 38%    
  Dec 03, 2025 108   @ Akron L 69-83 11%    
  Dec 06, 2025 304   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-74 64%    
  Dec 09, 2025 309   @ Rider L 66-68 45%    
  Dec 20, 2025 34   Iowa L 65-86 4%    
  Dec 31, 2025 346   @ Holy Cross W 71-69 56%    
  Jan 03, 2026 302   Lehigh W 71-67 63%    
  Jan 07, 2026 230   @ Navy L 67-73 29%    
  Jan 10, 2026 316   Loyola Maryland W 71-66 65%    
  Jan 14, 2026 308   Lafayette W 69-65 64%    
  Jan 17, 2026 227   @ Colgate L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 21, 2026 353   Army W 75-66 77%    
  Jan 24, 2026 316   @ Loyola Maryland L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 26, 2026 308   @ Lafayette L 66-68 45%    
  Jan 31, 2026 280   Boston University W 66-64 58%    
  Feb 04, 2026 303   @ American L 64-66 44%    
  Feb 07, 2026 227   Colgate L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 09, 2026 230   Navy L 69-70 49%    
  Feb 14, 2026 280   @ Boston University L 63-67 39%    
  Feb 18, 2026 303   American W 67-63 63%    
  Feb 21, 2026 346   Holy Cross W 74-66 75%    
  Feb 25, 2026 353   @ Army W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 28, 2026 302   @ Lehigh L 68-70 43%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 2.3 3.1 2.9 2.1 0.9 0.2 12.1 1st
2nd 0.3 1.5 3.9 4.1 2.1 0.6 0.1 12.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.0 3.7 1.3 0.1 0.0 12.7 3rd
4th 0.2 2.6 5.3 3.1 0.8 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 5.2 3.1 0.6 0.0 11.3 5th
6th 0.3 2.3 5.0 3.0 0.4 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.0 2.6 0.5 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.4 1.9 0.4 8.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.4 1.2 0.2 6.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.3 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.1 3.2 5.1 7.0 8.6 10.4 11.6 11.4 10.3 9.1 7.7 5.3 3.5 2.2 0.9 0.2 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
16-2 95.4% 2.1    1.9 0.2
15-3 81.9% 2.9    2.2 0.6 0.0
14-4 58.5% 3.1    1.8 1.1 0.1
13-5 29.7% 2.3    0.8 1.0 0.4 0.0
12-6 6.4% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.1% 12.1 7.9 3.2 0.9 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 77.0% 77.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.9% 40.2% 40.2% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.2% 40.1% 40.1% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.3
15-3 3.5% 32.7% 32.7% 16.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 2.4
14-4 5.3% 26.3% 26.3% 18.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 3.9
13-5 7.7% 20.7% 20.7% 18.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 6.1
12-6 9.1% 14.6% 14.6% 18.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 7.8
11-7 10.3% 11.4% 11.4% 18.3 0.0 0.2 1.2 9.1
10-8 11.4% 6.9% 6.9% 17.4 0.0 0.8 10.6
9-9 11.6% 4.5% 4.5% 17.3 0.0 0.5 11.0
8-10 10.4% 2.8% 2.8% 16.4 0.3 10.1
7-11 8.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 8.5
6-12 7.0% 1.0% 1.0% 17.6 0.1 6.9
5-13 5.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.1
4-14 3.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.2
3-15 2.1% 2.1
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.9% 9.9% 0.0% 17.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.6 6.9 90.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%