IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Buffalo
Mid-American
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.8	#337
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.7	#37
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.4	#320

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.4	#332

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.3	14.7	15.4

.500 or above	7.0%	11.8%	3.1%
.500 or above in Conference	8.9%	12.6%	5.8%
Conference Champion	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	38.2%	31.1%	43.9%

First Four	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
First Round	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Southern Miss (Home) - 44.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 8	1 - 11
Quad 4	7 - 9	8 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	276	Southern Miss	L	76-78	45%
Nov 07, 2025	306	Green Bay	W	78-77	51%
Nov 11, 2025	83	@ DePaul	L	65-85	3%
Nov 18, 2025	207	Vermont	L	65-70	33%
Nov 24, 2025	293	VMI	L	73-76	37%
Nov 26, 2025	286	Bucknell	L	72-76	38%
Nov 29, 2025	352	@ Canisius	L	72-73	46%
Dec 06, 2025	124	St. Bonaventure	L	64-74	19%
Dec 09, 2025	304	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	78-84	31%
Dec 14, 2025	158	@ East Carolina	L	65-79	12%
Dec 20, 2025	282	@ Western Michigan	L	72-79	28%
Dec 30, 2025	314	@ Northern Illinois	L	73-78	34%
Jan 03, 2026	247	Ball St.	L	73-76	39%
Jan 10, 2026	152	@ Ohio	L	72-86	11%
Jan 13, 2026	127	Kent St.	L	67-77	20%
Jan 17, 2026	125	@ Miami (OH)	L	69-85	9%
Jan 20, 2026	108	Akron	L	74-86	15%
Jan 24, 2026	170	Massachusetts	L	74-81	28%
Jan 27, 2026	212	@ Bowling Green	L	70-81	18%
Jan 31, 2026	152	Ohio	L	75-83	25%
Feb 03, 2026	125	Miami (OH)	L	72-82	21%
Feb 11, 2026	247	@ Ball St.	L	70-79	23%
Feb 17, 2026	314	Northern Illinois	W	76-75	53%
Feb 21, 2026	170	@ Massachusetts	L	71-84	15%
Feb 24, 2026	108	@ Akron	L	71-89	7%
Feb 28, 2026	299	Central Michigan	L	73-74	50%
Mar 03, 2026	292	Eastern Michigan	L	75-76	49%
Mar 06, 2026	196	@ Toledo	L	73-85	17%
Projected Record						8 - 20	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.3	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.4	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2							0.8	3rd
4th										0.0	0.3	0.7	0.1	0.0							1.2	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	1.2	0.4	0.0								2.2	5th
6th							0.0	0.0	0.6	1.4	0.6	0.1	0.0								2.9	6th
7th							0.1	0.8	2.2	1.3	0.2										4.5	7th
8th						0.0	0.8	2.8	2.0	0.3	0.0										6.0	8th
9th					0.0	0.9	3.6	3.2	0.7	0.1											8.5	9th
10th				0.1	1.2	4.4	4.7	1.3	0.1												11.8	10th
11th			0.2	1.8	5.3	5.3	1.9	0.1													14.6	11th
12th		0.6	3.4	7.5	6.1	2.4	0.2														20.2	12th
13th	3.4	7.4	8.6	5.5	1.6	0.1	0.0														26.7	13th

Total	3.4	8.0	12.2	14.9	14.1	13.2	11.4	8.2	5.7	3.7	2.4	1.5	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0				Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
15-3	45.8%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-4	58.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	18.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	5.5%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.3%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%																							0.0
16-2	0.0%																							0.0
15-3	0.1%		27.7%	27.7%		13.3													0.0		0.0			0.1
14-4	0.1%		5.2%	5.2%		13.0														0.0				0.1
13-5	0.4%		7.8%	7.8%		13.6													0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.4
12-6	0.6%		4.4%	4.4%		23.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.6
11-7	1.5%		2.4%	2.4%		14.8															0.0	0.0		1.4
10-8	2.4%		2.6%	2.6%		18.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	2.3
9-9	3.7%		2.1%	2.1%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	3.6
8-10	5.7%		0.2%	0.2%		15.0															0.0		0.0	5.7
7-11	8.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.2
6-12	11.4%																							11.4
5-13	13.2%																							13.2
4-14	14.1%																							14.1
3-15	14.9%																							14.9
2-16	12.2%																							12.2
1-17	8.0%																							8.0
0-18	3.4%																							3.4

Total	100%		0.3%	0.3%	0.0%	16.3													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	99.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.6%