IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Delaware
Conference USA
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.2	#236
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.7	#35
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.5	#180

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.7	#297

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.9%	2.7%	1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.9	13.2	14.4

.500 or above	23.2%	32.9%	13.6%
.500 or above in Conference	22.7%	29.4%	16.0%
Conference Champion	1.8%	2.7%	1.0%
Last Place in Conference	27.9%	21.9%	33.8%

First Four	0.2%	0.1%	0.3%
First Round	1.9%	2.7%	1.0%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Bucknell (Away) - 49.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 6
Quad 3	4 - 9	4 - 15
Quad 4	8 - 5	12 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	286	@ Bucknell	L	75-76	50%
Nov 11, 2025	9	@ BYU	L	66-92	1%
Nov 18, 2025	295	St. Peter's	W	71-65	71%
Nov 24, 2025	138	Southern Illinois	L	73-79	29%
Nov 25, 2025	232	UNC Greensboro	L	70-71	48%
Dec 01, 2025	208	Iona	W	77-75	55%
Dec 06, 2025	341	@ Delaware St.	W	81-77	64%
Dec 10, 2025	85	@ George Washington	L	70-84	12%
Dec 13, 2025	176	Cal St. Northridge	L	81-82	50%
Dec 16, 2025	309	Rider	W	76-69	74%
Dec 29, 2025	114	Missouri St.	L	68-73	35%
Jan 02, 2026	154	Jacksonville St.	L	71-72	46%
Jan 04, 2026	146	Kennesaw St.	L	79-81	43%
Jan 08, 2026	199	@ Sam Houston St.	L	74-79	34%
Jan 10, 2026	144	@ Louisiana Tech	L	67-75	25%
Jan 15, 2026	160	UTEP	L	75-76	47%
Jan 17, 2026	139	New Mexico St.	L	70-73	41%
Jan 24, 2026	100	@ Liberty	L	67-79	15%
Jan 28, 2026	139	@ New Mexico St.	L	67-76	24%
Jan 31, 2026	160	@ UTEP	L	72-79	29%
Feb 04, 2026	100	Liberty	L	70-76	30%
Feb 07, 2026	151	Middle Tennessee	L	75-77	44%
Feb 12, 2026	209	@ Florida International	L	74-78	36%
Feb 14, 2026	114	@ Missouri St.	L	65-76	20%
Feb 18, 2026	161	Western Kentucky	L	80-81	48%
Feb 21, 2026	151	@ Middle Tennessee	L	72-80	26%
Feb 26, 2026	154	@ Jacksonville St.	L	68-75	28%
Feb 28, 2026	146	@ Kennesaw St.	L	76-84	25%
Mar 05, 2026	199	Sam Houston St.	W	77-76	53%
Mar 07, 2026	144	Louisiana Tech	L	70-72	43%
Projected Record						11 - 19	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.1	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0			1.8	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0					2.2	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.4	1.1	1.3	0.5	0.2	0.0						3.5	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	1.2	1.7	0.7	0.1	0.0							4.1	4th
5th									0.0	0.3	1.8	2.4	0.9	0.1									5.4	5th
6th									0.3	1.7	2.8	1.0	0.1										5.9	6th
7th							0.0	0.3	1.9	3.6	1.6	0.1	0.0										7.4	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	2.0	4.1	2.1	0.2												8.8	8th
9th					0.0	0.6	2.4	4.6	3.0	0.5	0.0												11.2	9th
10th				0.2	1.0	3.4	4.7	3.3	0.6	0.0													13.2	10th
11th		0.0	0.7	2.3	4.6	5.4	2.9	0.7	0.1														16.7	11th
12th	0.9	2.9	4.7	5.1	4.2	1.7	0.3	0.0															19.8	12th

Total	0.9	2.9	5.3	7.5	9.8	11.1	10.7	11.0	9.9	8.2	6.8	5.1	4.1	2.8	1.7	1.1	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0				Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-3	91.2%	0.3		0.2	0.1
16-4	75.0%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.0
15-5	38.4%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.0
14-6	21.8%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-7	3.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.8%	1.8		1.0	0.6	0.2	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%																							0.0
18-2	0.1%		42.9%	42.9%		11.3												0.0	0.0					0.1
17-3	0.3%		21.8%	21.8%		11.8												0.0	0.1					0.3
16-4	0.7%		20.7%	20.7%		12.1												0.0	0.1	0.0				0.5
15-5	1.1%		17.0%	17.0%		12.4												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.9
14-6	1.7%		12.1%	12.1%		12.9												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			1.5
13-7	2.8%		11.7%	11.7%		13.0												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		2.5
12-8	4.1%		7.4%	7.4%		13.4													0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		3.8
11-9	5.1%		2.8%	2.8%		13.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0		4.9
10-10	6.8%		1.5%	1.5%		17.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	6.7
9-11	8.2%		1.4%	1.4%		17.0															0.0	0.1	0.0	8.1
8-12	9.9%		1.1%	1.1%		15.5															0.0	0.0	0.1	9.8
7-13	11.0%		1.0%	1.0%		16.9																0.0	0.1	10.9
6-14	10.7%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	10.6
5-15	11.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.1
4-16	9.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.8
3-17	7.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.5
2-18	5.3%																							5.3
1-19	2.9%																							2.9
0-20	0.9%																							0.9

Total	100%		1.9%	1.9%	0.0%	13.9												0.1	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.3	98.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%