IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.6	#225
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	59.9	#356
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.8	#281

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.1	#161

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.6%	8.1%	3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.5	13.5	14.2

.500 or above	54.2%	78.1%	49.8%
.500 or above in Conference	49.8%	65.4%	46.9%
Conference Champion	4.6%	8.9%	3.8%
Last Place in Conference	5.7%	2.3%	6.4%

First Four	0.3%	0.2%	0.3%
First Round	4.7%	8.3%	4.0%
Second Round	0.3%	0.6%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Away) - 15.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 3	3 - 6	3 - 9
Quad 4	13 - 6	16 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2025	110	@ Saint Joseph's	L	58-69	16%
Nov 11, 2025	227	@ Colgate	L	63-66	40%
Nov 15, 2025	64	Syracuse	L	60-73	12%
Nov 18, 2025	357	NJIT	W	69-55	88%
Nov 21, 2025	278	Penn	W	69-63	70%
Nov 23, 2025	195	Old Dominion	W	65-63	55%
Nov 25, 2025	358	@ Morgan St.	W	72-64	75%
Dec 03, 2025	303	@ American	W	61-60	55%
Dec 16, 2025	328	Howard	W	72-63	79%
Dec 19, 2025	270	Mount St. Mary's	W	66-61	68%
Dec 21, 2025	285	Maine	W	64-58	71%
Dec 29, 2025	123	@ College of Charleston	L	63-72	22%
Dec 31, 2025	120	@ UNC Wilmington	L	59-68	22%
Jan 03, 2026	182	Hofstra	W	59-58	54%
Jan 08, 2026	298	Stony Brook	W	66-59	73%
Jan 10, 2026	226	William & Mary	W	72-69	60%
Jan 15, 2026	210	@ Monmouth	L	63-67	38%
Jan 17, 2026	136	@ Towson	L	57-65	25%
Jan 17, 2026	218	Northeastern	W	66-63	59%
Jan 29, 2026	235	Hampton	W	64-61	61%
Jan 31, 2026	349	N.C. A&T	W	72-60	83%
Feb 05, 2026	200	@ Campbell	L	61-65	36%
Feb 07, 2026	224	@ Elon	L	61-64	40%
Feb 12, 2026	210	Monmouth	W	66-64	57%
Feb 16, 2026	298	@ Stony Brook	W	63-62	54%
Feb 19, 2026	218	@ Northeastern	L	63-66	39%
Feb 21, 2026	136	Towson	L	60-62	43%
Feb 26, 2026	200	Campbell	W	64-62	57%
Mar 03, 2026	182	@ Hofstra	L	56-61	34%
Projected Record						15 - 14	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.8	1.2	1.3	0.9	0.3	0.1		4.6	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	1.5	2.2	1.7	0.5	0.0	0.0			6.4	2nd
3rd											0.3	1.9	3.3	1.9	0.4						7.8	3rd
4th										0.2	2.0	3.7	2.0	0.3	0.0						8.3	4th
5th									0.1	1.6	4.5	2.4	0.2	0.0							8.7	5th
6th								0.1	1.4	4.1	3.3	0.5	0.0								9.3	6th
7th							0.0	0.7	4.0	4.1	0.8	0.0									9.6	7th
8th						0.0	0.5	3.1	4.8	1.2	0.0										9.6	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	2.5	4.5	1.9	0.1											9.3	9th
10th				0.0	0.3	2.3	3.8	2.1	0.2												8.6	10th
11th			0.0	0.3	2.1	3.4	2.1	0.3	0.0												8.3	11th
12th		0.1	0.7	1.6	2.4	1.3	0.3	0.0													6.3	12th
13th	0.1	0.5	1.0	0.9	0.5	0.1															3.1	13th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.7	2.8	5.2	7.5	9.1	10.7	12.4	11.3	10.9	8.8	7.2	5.2	3.3	1.8	0.9	0.3	0.1			Total

Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	97.6%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	94.6%	0.9		0.7	0.2	0.0
15-3	70.3%	1.3		0.8	0.4	0.0
14-4	37.3%	1.2		0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0
13-5	14.5%	0.8		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.6%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.6%	4.6		2.4	1.5	0.6	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		39.4%	39.4%		10.3										0.0		0.0	0.0					0.0
17-1	0.3%		35.8%	35.8%		11.7											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2
16-2	0.9%		35.9%	35.9%		12.3												0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.6
15-3	1.8%		23.3%	23.3%		12.7												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.4
14-4	3.3%		22.0%	22.0%		13.6													0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	2.6
13-5	5.2%		13.1%	13.1%		13.7													0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	4.5
12-6	7.2%		10.0%	10.0%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	6.5
11-7	8.8%		6.6%	6.6%		16.3														0.0	0.2	0.2	0.2	8.3
10-8	10.9%		4.7%	4.7%		15.9														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	10.4
9-9	11.3%		1.4%	1.4%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	11.1
8-10	12.4%		1.2%	1.2%		16.2															0.0	0.1	0.1	12.2
7-11	10.7%		1.0%	1.0%		21.0																0.0	0.1	10.6
6-12	9.1%		0.4%	0.4%		15.6																0.0	0.0	9.1
5-13	7.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.5
4-14	5.2%																							5.2
3-15	2.8%																							2.8
2-16	1.7%																							1.7
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		4.6%	4.6%	0.0%	14.5										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	1.2	1.1	0.7	95.4		0.0%