IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Florida International
Conference USA
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.8	#209
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.5	#111
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.4	#243

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.3	#178

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.9%	5.5%	2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.3	12.5	13.2

.500 or above	27.1%	56.3%	24.7%
.500 or above in Conference	31.8%	52.6%	30.1%
Conference Champion	2.9%	7.1%	2.6%
Last Place in Conference	19.8%	8.9%	20.6%

First Four	0.2%	0.1%	0.2%
First Round	2.9%	5.6%	2.7%
Second Round	0.3%	0.8%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska (Away) - 7.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 3	4 - 8	5 - 14
Quad 4	7 - 4	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2025	59	@ Nebraska	L	65-80	7%
Nov 13, 2025	53	@ LSU	L	64-80	7%
Nov 24, 2025	132	James Madison	L	69-71	43%
Nov 26, 2025	177	Nebraska Omaha	W	74-73	55%
Dec 03, 2025	175	Florida Gulf Coast	W	69-68	56%
Dec 06, 2025	245	Jacksonville	W	72-67	67%
Dec 16, 2025	55	@ Miami (FL)	L	65-81	9%
Dec 20, 2025	297	LIU Brooklyn	W	70-62	75%
Dec 28, 2025	100	Liberty	L	66-71	33%
Jan 02, 2026	139	New Mexico St.	L	66-67	46%
Jan 04, 2026	160	UTEP	W	71-70	52%
Jan 07, 2026	154	@ Jacksonville St.	L	64-70	31%
Jan 10, 2026	114	@ Missouri St.	L	61-70	23%
Jan 14, 2026	146	@ Kennesaw St.	L	72-79	28%
Jan 17, 2026	199	Sam Houston St.	W	73-71	59%
Jan 22, 2026	160	@ UTEP	L	68-73	32%
Jan 24, 2026	139	@ New Mexico St.	L	63-70	27%
Jan 28, 2026	154	Jacksonville St.	W	68-67	50%
Feb 04, 2026	151	@ Middle Tennessee	L	68-74	30%
Feb 07, 2026	161	@ Western Kentucky	L	73-78	34%
Feb 12, 2026	236	Delaware	W	78-74	64%
Feb 14, 2026	144	Louisiana Tech	L	66-67	47%
Feb 19, 2026	100	@ Liberty	L	63-74	19%
Feb 21, 2026	114	Missouri St.	L	64-67	40%
Feb 26, 2026	199	@ Sam Houston St.	L	70-74	38%
Feb 28, 2026	144	@ Louisiana Tech	L	63-70	29%
Mar 05, 2026	151	Middle Tennessee	L	71-72	49%
Mar 07, 2026	161	Western Kentucky	W	76-75	52%
Projected Record						11 - 17	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.7	0.5	0.3	0.0	0.0		2.9	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.9	1.3	0.8	0.2	0.1					3.7	2nd
3rd												0.4	1.6	1.7	1.0	0.2	0.0						4.9	3rd
4th										0.0	0.5	2.1	2.2	1.0	0.2	0.0							6.0	4th
5th									0.0	0.3	2.1	3.0	1.3	0.1	0.0								6.9	5th
6th									0.3	2.2	3.4	1.4	0.2										7.4	6th
7th							0.0	0.4	2.2	3.8	2.1	0.3											8.7	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	2.3	4.4	2.6	0.3	0.0											10.1	8th
9th					0.0	0.6	2.4	4.4	2.8	0.6	0.0												11.0	9th
10th			0.0	0.1	0.8	3.1	4.3	2.9	0.6	0.0													11.7	10th
11th		0.0	0.5	1.8	3.7	4.0	2.3	0.7	0.0														13.0	11th
12th	0.6	1.6	3.0	3.7	3.0	1.3	0.4	0.0															13.7	12th

Total	0.6	1.7	3.5	5.6	7.6	9.0	9.7	10.7	10.4	9.5	8.5	7.2	5.5	3.9	3.0	1.8	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0			Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
17-3	83.5%	0.5		0.5	0.1	0.0
16-4	73.6%	0.7		0.5	0.2	0.0
15-5	41.7%	0.8		0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0
14-6	13.8%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	3.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0					0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.9%	2.9		1.8	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																0.0
19-1	0.0%		57.6%	43.4%	14.1%	10.8											0.0	0.0						0.0		25.0%
18-2	0.3%		39.5%	37.2%	2.3%	11.1										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.2		3.7%
17-3	0.6%		35.5%	35.5%		11.6												0.1	0.1	0.0				0.4
16-4	1.0%		17.6%	17.6%		11.8												0.1	0.1	0.0				0.8
15-5	1.8%		20.1%	20.1%		12.2												0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			1.5
14-6	3.0%		11.7%	11.7%		12.6												0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		2.6
13-7	3.9%		8.5%	8.5%		13.0												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		3.6
12-8	5.5%		8.6%	8.6%		13.6													0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	5.0
11-9	7.2%		3.7%	3.7%		14.1													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	6.9
10-10	8.5%		2.4%	2.4%		14.6													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	8.3
9-11	9.5%		1.8%	1.8%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.1	9.3
8-12	10.4%		0.5%	0.5%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	10.3
7-13	10.7%		0.8%	0.8%		20.0																	0.1	10.6
6-14	9.7%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	9.7
5-15	9.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.0
4-16	7.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.5
3-17	5.6%																							5.6
2-18	3.5%																							3.5
1-19	1.7%																							1.7
0-20	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		2.9%	2.9%	0.0%	13.3										0.0	0.0	0.4	0.8	0.7	0.5	0.3	0.3	97.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%