IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.6	#182
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	60.8	#350
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.6	#277

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.9	#118

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.2%	13.0%	6.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.6	12.8	13.6

.500 or above	49.1%	74.5%	45.4%
.500 or above in Conference	63.0%	78.6%	60.8%
Conference Champion	8.7%	16.5%	7.5%
Last Place in Conference	3.2%	1.2%	3.5%

First Four	0.4%	0.1%	0.4%
First Round	7.2%	13.1%	6.3%
Second Round	0.6%	1.3%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Central Florida (Away) - 12.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 3	4 - 6	5 - 11
Quad 4	11 - 5	15 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	74	@ Central Florida	L	63-75	13%
Nov 07, 2025	208	@ Iona	L	64-66	43%
Nov 14, 2025	286	@ Bucknell	W	65-63	58%
Nov 19, 2025	133	@ Temple	L	64-70	28%
Nov 28, 2025	187	La Salle	W	66-65	51%
Nov 29, 2025	258	Merrimack	W	61-57	63%
Nov 30, 2025	278	@ Penn	W	67-65	56%
Dec 03, 2025	267	@ Columbia	W	70-69	54%
Dec 07, 2025	80	@ Pittsburgh	L	59-70	17%
Dec 13, 2025	64	@ Syracuse	L	60-74	12%
Dec 21, 2025	221	Quinnipiac	W	70-65	65%
Dec 29, 2025	200	Campbell	W	64-60	63%
Jan 03, 2026	225	@ Drexel	L	58-59	46%
Jan 08, 2026	136	@ Towson	L	58-64	29%
Jan 10, 2026	210	Monmouth	W	67-63	65%
Jan 15, 2026	298	@ Stony Brook	W	64-61	60%
Jan 17, 2026	224	Elon	W	65-60	65%
Jan 22, 2026	349	@ N.C. A&T	W	70-62	74%
Jan 24, 2026	226	@ William & Mary	L	69-70	47%
Jan 29, 2026	123	College of Charleston	L	67-68	47%
Jan 31, 2026	210	@ Monmouth	L	64-66	44%
Feb 05, 2026	218	Northeastern	W	67-62	65%
Feb 07, 2026	136	Towson	L	60-61	48%
Feb 12, 2026	123	@ College of Charleston	L	64-71	28%
Feb 14, 2026	120	@ UNC Wilmington	L	60-67	27%
Feb 19, 2026	235	Hampton	W	64-59	67%
Feb 21, 2026	218	@ Northeastern	L	64-65	45%
Feb 28, 2026	298	Stony Brook	W	67-58	77%
Mar 03, 2026	225	Drexel	W	61-56	66%
Projected Record						14 - 15	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.9	2.2	2.6	1.7	0.8	0.2		8.7	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	2.0	3.6	2.9	1.1	0.1				10.1	2nd
3rd											0.2	2.2	4.4	2.7	0.5	0.0					10.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	2.1	4.6	2.7	0.6	0.0						10.2	4th
5th									0.1	1.6	4.5	3.0	0.5								9.8	5th
6th								0.1	1.0	4.4	3.2	0.5	0.0								9.2	6th
7th							0.0	0.6	3.5	3.8	0.9	0.1									9.0	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	2.4	3.9	1.2	0.0										7.9	8th
9th						0.2	1.9	3.7	1.8	0.1											7.7	9th
10th				0.0	0.2	1.5	2.9	1.8	0.3												6.7	10th
11th				0.3	1.2	2.1	1.6	0.2	0.0												5.4	11th
12th		0.1	0.3	0.9	1.3	0.9	0.2	0.0													3.6	12th
13th	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.0															1.5	13th

Total	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.6	3.0	4.8	7.0	8.8	10.7	11.4	11.1	10.7	9.9	7.8	5.6	3.7	1.9	0.8	0.2			Total

Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	100.0%	0.8		0.7	0.0
16-2	92.5%	1.7		1.4	0.3	0.0
15-3	69.8%	2.6		1.7	0.9	0.1
14-4	39.0%	2.2		0.9	0.9	0.4	0.0
13-5	11.7%	0.9		0.2	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.4%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	8.7%	8.7		5.1	2.6	0.8	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		31.3%	31.3%		10.6					0.0							0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1
17-1	0.8%		48.3%	48.3%		11.7										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.4
16-2	1.9%		32.3%	32.3%		12.0												0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0			1.3
15-3	3.7%		25.1%	25.1%		12.6												0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0		2.8
14-4	5.6%		22.4%	22.4%		13.0												0.0	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	4.4
13-5	7.8%		16.4%	16.4%		13.7												0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0	6.5
12-6	9.9%		11.2%	11.2%		14.0													0.0	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.0	8.8
11-7	10.7%		5.7%	5.7%		15.0												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	10.1
10-8	11.1%		4.2%	4.2%		15.1													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	10.6
9-9	11.4%		2.3%	2.3%		16.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	11.2
8-10	10.7%		1.4%	1.4%		17.0															0.0	0.1	0.1	10.5
7-11	8.8%		1.0%	1.0%		17.1																0.0	0.1	8.7
6-12	7.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.0
5-13	4.8%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	4.8
4-14	3.0%																							3.0
3-15	1.6%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	1.6
2-16	0.8%																							0.8
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		7.2%	7.2%	0.0%	13.6					0.0					0.0	0.0	0.5	1.4	1.9	1.7	1.1	0.6	92.8		0.0%