IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Illinois-Chicago
Missouri Valley
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.2	#153
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.0	#71
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.0	#165

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.3	#153

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.8%	6.3%	2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.6	12.5	13.1

.500 or above	49.4%	53.3%	25.4%
.500 or above in Conference	47.2%	49.7%	32.0%
Conference Champion	5.7%	6.3%	2.3%
Last Place in Conference	9.7%	8.4%	18.0%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
First Round	5.7%	6.3%	2.4%
Second Round	0.7%	0.8%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Detroit Mercy (Home) - 85.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 5	2 - 6
Quad 3	6 - 7	7 - 13
Quad 4	8 - 2	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	310	Detroit Mercy	W	78-66	86%
Nov 07, 2025	117	@ Oregon St.	L	67-73	30%
Nov 15, 2025	351	@ Chicago St.	W	79-69	81%
Nov 20, 2025	109	High Point	L	72-76	37%
Nov 26, 2025	203	@ Robert Morris	L	72-73	50%
Dec 03, 2025	364	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	91-64	99%
Dec 07, 2025	97	@ Yale	L	70-78	24%
Dec 13, 2025	111	@ Belmont	L	74-81	27%
Dec 17, 2025	112	Northern Iowa	L	69-70	48%
Dec 21, 2025	192	@ Charlotte	L	70-71	48%
Jan 01, 2026	129	Murray St.	W	70-69	54%
Jan 04, 2026	261	@ Valparaiso	W	75-72	59%
Jan 07, 2026	138	Southern Illinois	W	74-72	55%
Jan 10, 2026	105	@ Illinois St.	L	69-76	27%
Jan 13, 2026	112	@ Northern Iowa	L	66-73	30%
Jan 17, 2026	113	Drake	L	62-63	49%
Jan 20, 2026	231	Evansville	W	73-66	72%
Jan 24, 2026	107	@ Bradley	L	67-74	28%
Jan 27, 2026	173	Indiana St.	W	82-78	63%
Jan 31, 2026	138	@ Southern Illinois	L	71-75	36%
Feb 03, 2026	129	@ Murray St.	L	67-72	35%
Feb 06, 2026	111	Belmont	L	77-78	48%
Feb 12, 2026	113	@ Drake	L	59-65	30%
Feb 15, 2026	105	Illinois St.	L	72-73	46%
Feb 18, 2026	231	@ Evansville	W	70-69	53%
Feb 21, 2026	261	Valparaiso	W	78-69	76%
Feb 24, 2026	107	Bradley	L	70-71	47%
Mar 01, 2026	173	@ Indiana St.	L	79-81	44%
Projected Record						14 - 14	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Missouri Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.8	1.2	1.5	1.2	0.7	0.2	0.0		5.7	1st
2nd											0.0	0.0	0.5	1.5	2.4	1.9	0.6	0.2	0.0				7.1	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.6	2.6	3.2	1.4	0.4	0.0						8.2	3rd
4th										0.1	1.0	3.1	3.6	1.3	0.3								9.3	4th
5th									0.0	0.8	3.5	4.0	1.5	0.2	0.0								10.0	5th
6th								0.1	1.0	3.4	4.5	1.5	0.1										10.5	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	1.2	3.7	4.6	1.5	0.2											11.3	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	1.4	4.2	4.1	1.4	0.1												11.5	8th
9th				0.0	0.5	1.9	4.1	3.2	1.1	0.0													10.9	9th
10th		0.0	0.2	0.9	2.4	3.0	2.1	0.6	0.0														9.2	10th
11th	0.2	0.6	1.4	1.8	1.5	0.7	0.2	0.0															6.3	11th

Total	0.2	0.6	1.6	2.8	4.3	5.9	7.9	9.3	9.9	10.3	10.6	9.3	8.4	6.3	4.8	3.5	2.1	1.3	0.7	0.2	0.0			Total

Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2
18-2	98.9%	0.7		0.6	0.0
17-3	87.3%	1.2		1.0	0.2
16-4	69.9%	1.5		1.0	0.4	0.1
15-5	35.2%	1.2		0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0
14-6	16.7%	0.8		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.8%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0				0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	5.7%	5.7		3.6	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		50.0%	25.0%	25.0%	10.0											0.0							0.0		33.3%
19-1	0.2%		41.8%	25.2%	16.6%	9.4								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		22.2%
18-2	0.7%		44.8%	41.6%	3.3%	11.0										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1					0.4		5.6%
17-3	1.3%		34.3%	33.7%	0.5%	11.4										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0				0.9		0.8%
16-4	2.1%		26.8%	26.5%	0.3%	11.7											0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1				1.5		0.5%
15-5	3.5%		19.9%	19.7%	0.2%	12.0												0.1	0.4	0.1	0.0			2.8		0.2%
14-6	4.8%		16.6%	16.6%		12.3												0.1	0.4	0.2	0.1			4.0
13-7	6.3%		12.4%	12.4%		12.7												0.0	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0		5.5
12-8	8.4%		8.2%	8.2%		13.0												0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0		7.7
11-9	9.3%		6.4%	6.4%		13.5													0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	8.7
10-10	10.6%		4.0%	4.0%		13.7													0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	10.1
9-11	10.3%		1.8%	1.8%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	10.1
8-12	9.9%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	9.8
7-13	9.3%		0.8%	0.8%		15.6																0.0	0.0	9.2
6-14	7.9%																							7.9
5-15	5.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	5.9
4-16	4.3%																							4.3
3-17	2.8%																							2.8
2-18	1.6%																							1.6
1-19	0.6%																							0.6
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		5.8%	5.7%	0.1%	12.6								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.9	2.1	1.4	0.8	0.3	0.1	94.2		0.1%