Preseason Rankings
Bradley
Missouri Valley
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.3#107
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.1#266
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#120
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#105
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.8% 16.4% 8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.6 11.6 12.3
.500 or above 82.9% 85.0% 60.0%
.500 or above in Conference 76.2% 77.6% 59.7%
Conference Champion 19.5% 20.4% 9.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 2.0% 5.6%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round15.7% 16.3% 8.6%
Second Round3.2% 3.4% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Michigan (Home) - 91.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 32 - 5
Quad 37 - 59 - 9
Quad 410 - 119 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2025 299   Central Michigan W 75-60 92%    
  Nov 12, 2025 325   Tennessee Martin W 76-59 94%    
  Nov 15, 2025 77   @ San Francisco L 66-72 30%    
  Nov 19, 2025 301   Umass Lowell W 79-64 91%    
  Nov 24, 2025 179   Princeton W 71-65 69%    
  Dec 02, 2025 128   Washington St. W 75-70 68%    
  Dec 06, 2025 314   Northern Illinois W 78-62 92%    
  Dec 18, 2025 173   @ Indiana St. W 77-75 58%    
  Dec 21, 2025 138   Southern Illinois W 72-66 69%    
  Dec 29, 2025 231   Evansville W 72-61 83%    
  Jan 01, 2026 111   @ Belmont L 72-75 41%    
  Jan 04, 2026 129   @ Murray St. L 66-67 48%    
  Jan 07, 2026 113   Drake W 61-57 62%    
  Jan 10, 2026 112   Northern Iowa W 68-64 62%    
  Jan 13, 2026 231   @ Evansville W 69-64 67%    
  Jan 17, 2026 105   @ Illinois St. L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 21, 2026 173   Indiana St. W 80-72 76%    
  Jan 24, 2026 153   Illinois-Chicago W 74-67 72%    
  Jan 31, 2026 113   @ Drake L 58-60 43%    
  Feb 03, 2026 261   Valparaiso W 76-63 85%    
  Feb 06, 2026 112   @ Northern Iowa L 65-67 42%    
  Feb 09, 2026 111   Belmont W 75-72 60%    
  Feb 15, 2026 138   @ Southern Illinois L 69-70 49%    
  Feb 18, 2026 261   @ Valparaiso W 73-66 70%    
  Feb 21, 2026 105   Illinois St. W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 24, 2026 153   @ Illinois-Chicago W 71-70 53%    
  Mar 01, 2026 129   Murray St. W 69-64 66%    
Projected Record 17 - 10 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.5 4.9 4.5 3.1 1.4 0.4 19.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 2.9 5.0 4.2 2.1 0.6 0.1 15.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.3 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.1 13.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.2 4.7 2.6 0.4 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.0 4.1 1.7 0.3 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.9 3.8 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 1.9 2.8 1.3 0.2 6.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.8 2.2 1.0 0.1 5.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.1 4.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.9 4.5 5.5 7.4 9.0 9.9 10.5 11.2 9.9 8.7 7.1 5.1 3.1 1.4 0.4 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
19-1 100.0% 1.4    1.4 0.0
18-2 97.3% 3.1    2.8 0.2
17-3 88.1% 4.5    3.6 0.8 0.0
16-4 68.5% 4.9    3.2 1.5 0.2
15-5 40.0% 3.5    1.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
14-6 15.1% 1.5    0.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 3.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 19.5% 19.5 13.4 4.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.4% 90.5% 77.5% 13.1% 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 58.0%
19-1 1.4% 70.8% 55.6% 15.1% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.4 34.1%
18-2 3.1% 53.0% 48.3% 4.7% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.2 1.5 9.1%
17-3 5.1% 42.6% 41.5% 1.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.6 0.0 2.9 1.9%
16-4 7.1% 35.0% 34.5% 0.5% 11.6 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.6 0.8%
15-5 8.7% 24.9% 24.9% 11.9 0.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.5
14-6 9.9% 18.6% 18.6% 12.1 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.1 8.0
13-7 11.2% 13.1% 13.1% 12.4 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 9.7
12-8 10.5% 12.0% 12.0% 12.6 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 9.2
11-9 9.9% 7.2% 7.2% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 9.2
10-10 9.0% 4.9% 4.9% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.6
9-11 7.4% 1.8% 1.8% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.3
8-12 5.5% 1.8% 1.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.4
7-13 4.5% 0.9% 0.9% 18.5 0.0 0.0 4.4
6-14 2.9% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 2.9
5-15 1.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.7
4-16 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.8% 15.3% 0.5% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 4.8 5.6 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.1 84.2 0.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 5.3 13.5 13.5 40.5 19.0 4.5 4.5 4.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 5.7 33.3 66.7