IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Le Moyne
Northeast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.8	#344
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.9	#100
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.8	#284

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-8.0	#361

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.0%	18.0%	8.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.8	15.5	15.9

.500 or above	24.3%	74.7%	23.8%
.500 or above in Conference	30.7%	59.8%	30.5%
Conference Champion	1.1%	0.8%	1.1%
Last Place in Conference	12.5%	0.8%	12.6%

First Four	6.7%	11.5%	6.7%
First Round	4.7%	10.6%	4.6%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Xavier (Away) - 0.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 2	0 - 6
Quad 4	9 - 9	9 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2025	50	@ Xavier	L	63-89	1%
Nov 09, 2025	212	@ Bowling Green	L	69-81	14%
Nov 13, 2025	170	@ Massachusetts	L	70-84	11%
Nov 17, 2025	333	Niagara	W	72-70	56%
Nov 22, 2025	320	Fairfield	W	73-72	52%
Nov 28, 2025	308	@ Lafayette	L	68-75	28%
Nov 29, 2025	210	Monmouth	L	70-79	22%
Nov 30, 2025	247	Ball St.	L	71-78	27%
Dec 06, 2025	334	@ Binghamton	L	70-74	35%
Dec 16, 2025	38	@ Texas	L	61-89	1%
Dec 28, 2025	96	@ Boston College	L	64-84	4%
Jan 08, 2026	363	New Haven	W	79-69	80%
Jan 10, 2026	305	Central Connecticut St.	L	69-70	48%
Jan 17, 2026	351	@ Chicago St.	L	75-77	43%
Jan 23, 2026	335	Wagner	W	64-62	57%
Jan 25, 2026	350	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	75-77	42%
Jan 31, 2026	339	Stonehill	W	72-70	58%
Feb 05, 2026	335	@ Wagner	L	61-65	37%
Feb 14, 2026	351	Chicago St.	W	78-74	64%
Feb 19, 2026	305	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	66-73	29%
Feb 21, 2026	339	@ Stonehill	L	69-73	39%
Feb 26, 2026	350	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	78-74	61%
Feb 28, 2026	363	@ New Haven	W	76-72	62%
Projected Record						9 - 14	6 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.2	0.5	0.4						1.1	1st
2nd									0.0	0.6	1.9	1.5	0.3						4.2	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.7	3.1	2.7	0.6	0.0						7.2	3rd
4th							0.1	1.0	4.0	4.1	1.0	0.0							10.1	4th
5th						0.1	1.1	5.0	5.2	1.5	0.1								12.9	5th
6th					0.1	1.4	4.8	6.2	2.1	0.1									14.7	6th
7th			0.0	0.2	1.5	5.1	6.3	2.4	0.2										15.6	7th
8th			0.2	1.7	4.9	5.9	2.4	0.2											15.3	8th
9th	0.0	0.4	1.8	3.8	4.1	1.9	0.2												12.2	9th
10th	0.4	1.3	2.2	1.9	0.6	0.1													6.6	10th

Total	0.4	1.7	4.2	7.6	11.3	14.4	14.8	14.8	12.2	9.4	5.9	2.6	0.7							Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4	57.8%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.0
11-5	19.7%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0
10-6	3.1%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	1.1%	1.1		0.3	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4	0.7%		43.2%	43.2%		17.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4
11-5	2.6%		33.3%	33.3%		17.3														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.7
10-6	5.9%		25.3%	25.3%		17.2															0.0	0.2	1.4	4.4
9-7	9.4%		18.8%	18.8%		16.9																0.1	1.8	7.6
8-8	12.2%		10.8%	10.8%		16.6																0.0	1.3	10.9
7-9	14.8%		8.1%	8.1%		16.4																0.0	1.2	13.6
6-10	14.8%		5.3%	5.3%		16.0																	0.8	14.0
5-11	14.4%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.3	14.1
4-12	11.3%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	11.2
3-13	7.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.6
2-14	4.2%																							4.2
1-15	1.7%																							1.7
0-16	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		8.0%	8.0%	0.0%	16.8														0.0	0.1	0.7	7.7	92.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%