IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Monmouth
Colonial Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.9	#210
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.8	#186
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.0	#203

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.9	#235

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.2%	7.5%	3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.9	13.4	14.0

.500 or above	48.6%	66.6%	38.9%
.500 or above in Conference	47.4%	58.7%	41.2%
Conference Champion	3.5%	6.0%	2.2%
Last Place in Conference	5.7%	3.1%	7.1%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.3%
First Round	5.2%	7.6%	3.8%
Second Round	0.3%	0.6%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: La Salle (Away) - 35.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	1 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 6	4 - 11
Quad 4	12 - 6	16 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2025	187	@ La Salle	L	71-75	35%
Nov 13, 2025	102	@ Seton Hall	L	61-72	16%
Nov 18, 2025	64	@ Syracuse	L	66-81	8%
Nov 25, 2025	203	Robert Morris	W	73-70	59%
Nov 28, 2025	247	Ball St.	W	72-70	56%
Nov 29, 2025	344	Le Moyne	W	79-70	78%
Nov 30, 2025	308	@ Lafayette	W	69-67	58%
Dec 03, 2025	179	Princeton	W	71-70	54%
Dec 08, 2025	79	@ Georgia Tech	L	66-79	13%
Dec 14, 2025	320	@ Fairfield	W	71-68	61%
Dec 17, 2025	221	Quinnipiac	W	77-73	62%
Dec 21, 2025	302	Lehigh	W	74-66	75%
Dec 31, 2025	200	Campbell	W	70-67	58%
Jan 03, 2026	136	@ Towson	L	63-71	26%
Jan 08, 2026	226	William & Mary	W	79-75	62%
Jan 10, 2026	182	@ Hofstra	L	63-67	35%
Jan 15, 2026	225	Drexel	W	67-63	62%
Jan 17, 2026	218	Northeastern	W	72-69	61%
Jan 22, 2026	235	@ Hampton	L	67-69	43%
Jan 24, 2026	200	@ Campbell	L	67-70	38%
Jan 29, 2026	349	N.C. A&T	W	79-67	85%
Jan 31, 2026	182	Hofstra	W	66-64	56%
Feb 05, 2026	298	@ Stony Brook	W	70-68	55%
Feb 12, 2026	225	@ Drexel	L	64-66	43%
Feb 14, 2026	136	Towson	L	66-68	44%
Feb 19, 2026	120	@ UNC Wilmington	L	66-74	24%
Feb 21, 2026	123	@ College of Charleston	L	71-79	25%
Feb 26, 2026	298	Stony Brook	W	73-65	74%
Feb 28, 2026	224	Elon	W	71-67	62%
Mar 03, 2026	218	@ Northeastern	L	69-72	41%
Projected Record						15 - 15	8 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.7	1.1	1.0	0.4	0.1			3.5	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.5	2.3	1.2	0.3	0.0				5.5	2nd
3rd											0.2	1.8	2.9	1.5	0.3	0.0					6.7	3rd
4th										0.2	2.0	3.6	2.1	0.2	0.0						8.1	4th
5th									0.1	1.7	4.5	2.8	0.4	0.0							9.5	5th
6th								0.1	1.2	4.4	3.1	0.5	0.0								9.3	6th
7th							0.0	0.7	3.9	3.9	0.7	0.0									9.2	7th
8th						0.0	0.4	3.2	5.0	1.4	0.1										10.1	8th
9th					0.0	0.4	2.7	4.8	1.9	0.1											9.8	9th
10th				0.0	0.3	2.2	4.6	2.4	0.3												9.8	10th
11th			0.0	0.6	2.1	3.8	2.1	0.4													9.0	11th
12th		0.1	0.5	1.9	2.4	1.5	0.2	0.0													6.5	12th
13th	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0														2.9	13th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.5	3.4	5.2	8.0	10.0	11.6	12.4	11.7	10.6	8.9	7.1	4.7	2.6	1.3	0.5	0.1				Total

Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	96.9%	0.4		0.3	0.1
15-3	76.3%	1.0		0.6	0.3	0.0
14-4	42.9%	1.1		0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0
13-5	15.0%	0.7		0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.7%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.5%	3.5		1.7	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.1%		41.4%	41.4%		10.4										0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0
16-2	0.5%		43.6%	43.6%		11.9											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0				0.3
15-3	1.3%		35.7%	35.7%		12.3											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0			0.8
14-4	2.6%		16.9%	16.9%		12.9												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0		2.2
13-5	4.7%		21.1%	21.1%		13.3													0.2	0.4	0.4	0.1		3.7
12-6	7.1%		13.5%	13.5%		13.8													0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2		6.1
11-7	8.9%		9.5%	9.5%		14.3													0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.0	8.1
10-8	10.6%		4.8%	4.8%		15.1													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	10.0
9-9	11.7%		2.7%	2.7%		14.8														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	11.4
8-10	12.4%		1.4%	1.4%		16.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	12.2
7-11	11.6%		1.4%	1.4%		16.9															0.0	0.1	0.1	11.4
6-12	10.0%		0.3%	0.3%		18.9																0.0	0.0	10.0
5-13	8.0%		0.4%	0.4%		19.2																	0.0	7.9
4-14	5.2%																							5.2
3-15	3.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	3.4
2-16	1.5%																							1.5
1-17	0.5%																							0.5
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		5.2%	5.2%	0.0%	13.9										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7	1.4	1.6	1.0	0.4	94.8		0.0%