IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Montana
Big Sky
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.6	#183
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.6	#192
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.1	#160

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.7	#228

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	15.5%	21.7%	14.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.5	13.4	14.2

.500 or above	60.4%	81.6%	55.5%
.500 or above in Conference	72.6%	84.7%	69.9%
Conference Champion	20.3%	29.6%	18.2%
Last Place in Conference	4.5%	1.6%	5.2%

First Four	1.2%	0.5%	1.4%
First Round	15.6%	21.9%	14.2%
Second Round	0.9%	1.9%	0.7%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Stanford (Away) - 18.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 4	3 - 9
Quad 4	12 - 5	15 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2025	99	@ Stanford	L	65-75	19%
Nov 11, 2025	86	@ UNLV	L	64-75	15%
Nov 14, 2025	253	Cal Poly	W	84-78	71%
Nov 18, 2025	36	@ Texas A&M	L	62-80	6%
Nov 23, 2025	211	Lamar	W	69-65	65%
Nov 25, 2025	201	Oakland	W	70-66	62%
Dec 03, 2025	215	North Dakota St.	W	73-69	65%
Dec 06, 2025	315	@ North Dakota	W	77-73	65%
Dec 20, 2025	10	@ Louisville	L	63-86	3%
Jan 01, 2026	254	Northern Arizona	W	75-69	71%
Jan 03, 2026	194	Northern Colorado	W	76-72	62%
Jan 08, 2026	239	@ Idaho	L	72-73	49%
Jan 10, 2026	259	@ Eastern Washington	W	73-72	52%
Jan 17, 2026	147	@ Montana St.	L	67-72	33%
Jan 19, 2026	254	@ Northern Arizona	W	72-71	52%
Jan 22, 2026	281	Weber St.	W	73-65	74%
Jan 24, 2026	287	Idaho St.	W	73-65	76%
Jan 29, 2026	217	@ Portland St.	L	70-72	45%
Jan 31, 2026	279	@ Sacramento St.	W	70-68	56%
Feb 05, 2026	259	Eastern Washington	W	76-69	71%
Feb 07, 2026	239	Idaho	W	76-70	68%
Feb 14, 2026	147	Montana St.	W	70-69	52%
Feb 19, 2026	287	@ Idaho St.	W	70-68	58%
Feb 21, 2026	281	@ Weber St.	W	70-68	56%
Feb 26, 2026	279	Sacramento St.	W	73-65	74%
Feb 28, 2026	217	Portland St.	W	73-69	64%
Mar 02, 2026	194	@ Northern Colorado	L	73-75	43%
Projected Record						14 - 13	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Sky Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.2	1.1	3.1	5.0	5.1	3.7	1.8	0.4		20.3	1st
2nd											0.2	2.0	5.1	5.3	3.0	1.1	0.1				16.8	2nd
3rd										0.3	2.4	5.2	4.3	1.5	0.2	0.0					13.9	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	2.0	4.9	3.4	0.6	0.0							11.1	4th
5th								0.2	2.2	4.7	2.9	0.4	0.0								10.4	5th
6th						0.0	0.2	1.7	3.6	2.1	0.2	0.0									8.0	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	1.3	3.0	2.3	0.3	0.0										7.1	7th
8th				0.0	0.2	1.2	2.3	1.6	0.2	0.0											5.6	8th
9th			0.0	0.4	1.1	1.5	1.0	0.2													4.2	9th
10th	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.1														2.6	10th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.2	2.0	3.3	4.8	6.7	8.5	9.4	10.7	11.2	11.0	9.9	8.2	6.2	3.8	1.8	0.4			Total

Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
17-1	100.0%	1.8		1.8	0.0
16-2	97.1%	3.7		3.4	0.4
15-3	82.4%	5.1		4.0	1.1	0.1
14-4	61.0%	5.0		3.0	1.8	0.2	0.0
13-5	30.9%	3.1		1.1	1.5	0.5	0.1
12-6	9.6%	1.1		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.2
11-7	1.6%	0.2			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	20.3%	20.3		13.7	5.1	1.1	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.4%		49.1%	49.1%		11.8									0.0		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0			0.2
17-1	1.8%		56.0%	56.0%		12.2											0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.0		0.8
16-2	3.8%		43.2%	43.2%		12.8												0.1	0.6	0.7	0.3	0.0		2.2
15-3	6.2%		39.9%	39.9%		13.3												0.0	0.4	1.1	0.8	0.2	0.0	3.7
14-4	8.2%		31.3%	31.3%		13.7												0.0	0.2	0.9	1.0	0.4	0.0	5.7
13-5	9.9%		24.9%	24.9%		14.3													0.1	0.6	1.1	0.7	0.1	7.4
12-6	11.0%		17.0%	17.0%		15.5													0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.4	9.1
11-7	11.2%		11.7%	11.7%		17.1														0.0	0.3	0.7	0.5	9.9
10-8	10.7%		9.2%	9.2%		17.4														0.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	9.7
9-9	9.4%		5.5%	5.5%		16.6														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	8.9
8-10	8.5%		3.0%	3.0%		18.5																0.0	0.2	8.3
7-11	6.7%		2.0%	2.0%		17.7																	0.1	6.5
6-12	4.8%		0.7%	0.7%		19.2																	0.0	4.8
5-13	3.3%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	3.3
4-14	2.0%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	2.0
3-15	1.2%																							1.2
2-16	0.5%																							0.5
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		15.5%	15.5%	0.0%	14.5									0.0		0.0	0.4	1.7	3.9	4.3	3.4	2.3	84.5		0.0%