IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Stanford
Atlantic Coast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+5.2	#99
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.7	#245
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.2	#107

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.0	#95

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	1.0%	1.1%	0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.8%	9.9%	2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	8.5%	9.5%	2.4%
Average Seed	9.0	9.0	9.5

.500 or above	47.3%	51.6%	21.9%
.500 or above in Conference	21.9%	23.8%	10.8%
Conference Champion	0.4%	0.5%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	20.1%	18.2%	31.3%

First Four	2.8%	3.1%	1.0%
First Round	7.2%	8.0%	1.9%
Second Round	3.2%	3.6%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.7%	0.8%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Portland St. (Home) - 85.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	1 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 2	3 - 5	5 - 13
Quad 3	5 - 3	10 - 15
Quad 4	5 - 1	15 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	217	Portland St.	W	74-63	86%
Nov 08, 2025	183	Montana	W	75-65	81%
Nov 12, 2025	147	Montana St.	W	71-64	75%
Nov 18, 2025	233	Louisiana	W	74-62	86%
Nov 21, 2025	121	Seattle	W	69-63	70%
Nov 27, 2025	87	Minnesota	L	64-65	48%
Dec 01, 2025	265	Portland	W	79-65	88%
Dec 07, 2025	86	UNLV	W	68-66	56%
Dec 13, 2025	159	@ San Jose St.	W	70-67	59%
Dec 17, 2025	190	Texas Arlington	W	75-65	81%
Dec 20, 2025	84	Colorado	L	68-69	46%
Dec 27, 2025	176	Cal St. Northridge	W	79-70	79%
Dec 30, 2025	63	Notre Dame	L	66-67	47%
Jan 02, 2026	10	Louisville	L	67-77	19%
Jan 07, 2026	76	@ Virginia Tech	L	65-70	33%
Jan 10, 2026	44	@ Virginia	L	58-68	20%
Jan 14, 2026	23	North Carolina	L	70-77	27%
Jan 17, 2026	3	Duke	L	62-76	12%
Jan 24, 2026	91	California	W	72-69	57%
Jan 28, 2026	55	@ Miami (FL)	L	67-75	26%
Jan 31, 2026	75	@ Florida St.	L	69-74	34%
Feb 04, 2026	42	Clemson	L	64-68	35%
Feb 07, 2026	79	Georgia Tech	W	71-70	55%
Feb 11, 2026	96	@ Boston College	L	68-71	40%
Feb 14, 2026	67	@ Wake Forest	L	66-72	30%
Feb 21, 2026	91	@ California	L	69-72	39%
Feb 25, 2026	80	Pittsburgh	W	69-68	55%
Feb 28, 2026	46	SMU	L	70-74	38%
Mar 04, 2026	63	@ Notre Dame	L	63-70	28%
Mar 07, 2026	31	@ North Carolina St.	L	62-74	17%
Projected Record						15 - 15	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			0.4	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0				1.0	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.0	0.5	0.7	0.2		0.0				1.5	3rd
4th											0.0	0.6	1.0	0.4	0.0						2.0	4th
5th										0.0	0.5	1.2	0.7	0.1							2.5	5th
6th										0.2	1.4	1.2	0.2	0.0							3.0	6th
7th									0.0	1.0	2.0	0.5	0.0								3.5	7th
8th									0.5	2.3	1.3	0.1									4.1	8th
9th								0.1	1.7	2.4	0.4	0.0									4.6	9th
10th							0.0	1.0	3.1	1.2	0.0										5.3	10th
11th							0.3	2.8	2.8	0.3											6.2	11th
12th						0.1	1.9	3.9	1.0	0.0											7.0	12th
13th					0.0	0.8	4.2	2.4	0.1												7.6	13th
14th				0.0	0.3	3.1	4.3	0.7	0.0												8.4	14th
15th			0.0	0.2	2.1	4.5	1.7	0.1													8.6	15th
16th			0.2	2.0	4.6	3.3	0.4														10.5	16th
17th		0.4	2.3	4.6	3.6	0.7	0.1														11.7	17th
18th	1.1	3.2	4.3	2.8	0.5	0.0															12.0	18th

Total	1.1	3.6	6.8	9.6	11.1	12.6	12.9	11.1	9.3	7.4	5.7	3.6	2.5	1.6	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0				Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	55.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0
15-3	53.5%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	19.1%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	2.2%	0.0		0.0		0.0		0.0
12-6	0.3%	0.0							0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.4%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%		100.0%		100.0%	3.5		0.0					0.0													100.0%
16-2	0.1%		100.0%	11.1%	88.9%	4.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0												100.0%
15-3	0.3%		100.0%	8.8%	91.2%	6.2			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0									100.0%
14-4	0.7%		94.3%	7.8%	86.6%	6.9			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0							0.0		93.9%
13-5	1.6%		88.5%	5.3%	83.2%	8.3					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1						0.2		87.9%
12-6	2.5%		68.8%	2.5%	66.3%	8.9					0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0					0.8		68.0%
11-7	3.6%		46.2%	1.2%	45.0%	9.6							0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	0.3						1.9		45.5%
10-8	5.7%		26.9%	0.7%	26.1%	10.0						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	0.5	0.0					4.1		26.3%
9-9	7.4%		13.1%	0.2%	12.9%	10.3								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.0					6.4		12.9%
8-10	9.3%		3.6%	0.2%	3.3%	10.6									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0					8.9		3.3%
7-11	11.1%		0.6%	0.1%	0.6%	10.6										0.0	0.0	0.0						11.0		0.6%
6-12	12.9%																							12.9
5-13	12.6%																							12.6
4-14	11.1%																							11.1
3-15	9.6%																							9.6
2-16	6.8%																							6.8
1-17	3.6%																							3.6
0-18	1.1%																							1.1

Total	100%		8.8%	0.4%	8.5%	9.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.5	0.7	1.0	1.7	2.7	1.7	0.1					91.2		8.5%