IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.2	#259
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.6	#191
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.7	#223

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.5	#289

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.2%	14.2%	6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	13.6	14.7

.500 or above	23.7%	65.5%	23.4%
.500 or above in Conference	46.6%	71.7%	46.4%
Conference Champion	6.5%	19.6%	6.4%
Last Place in Conference	13.9%	8.9%	13.9%

First Four	1.4%	0.9%	1.4%
First Round	6.0%	15.1%	5.9%
Second Round	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UCLA (Away) - 0.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	2 - 6	3 - 13
Quad 4	10 - 6	12 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	13	@ UCLA	L	56-82	1%
Nov 05, 2025	135	@ Loyola Marymount	L	66-76	18%
Nov 08, 2025	84	@ Colorado	L	63-78	9%
Nov 12, 2025	121	@ Seattle	L	62-73	16%
Nov 23, 2025	354	@ Central Arkansas	W	73-68	68%
Nov 25, 2025	88	@ North Texas	L	55-69	11%
Dec 03, 2025	322	@ Denver	W	71-70	55%
Dec 06, 2025	300	UMKC	W	69-64	68%
Dec 12, 2025	174	California Baptist	L	69-70	46%
Dec 17, 2025	128	Washington St.	L	72-79	26%
Dec 20, 2025	89	@ Utah	L	66-80	12%
Dec 22, 2025	9	@ BYU	L	61-88	1%
Jan 03, 2026	239	@ Idaho	L	71-75	36%
Jan 08, 2026	147	Montana St.	L	68-71	40%
Jan 10, 2026	183	Montana	L	72-73	48%
Jan 15, 2026	281	@ Weber St.	L	69-70	45%
Jan 17, 2026	287	@ Idaho St.	L	69-70	47%
Jan 22, 2026	217	Portland St.	W	71-70	53%
Jan 24, 2026	279	Sacramento St.	W	71-67	64%
Jan 29, 2026	254	@ Northern Arizona	L	70-73	39%
Jan 31, 2026	194	@ Northern Colorado	L	71-77	31%
Feb 05, 2026	183	@ Montana	L	69-76	29%
Feb 07, 2026	147	@ Montana St.	L	65-74	23%
Feb 12, 2026	287	Idaho St.	W	72-67	66%
Feb 14, 2026	281	Weber St.	W	72-67	64%
Feb 19, 2026	279	@ Sacramento St.	L	68-70	45%
Feb 21, 2026	217	@ Portland St.	L	68-73	33%
Feb 26, 2026	194	Northern Colorado	L	74-75	49%
Feb 28, 2026	254	Northern Arizona	W	73-70	59%
Mar 02, 2026	239	Idaho	W	74-72	56%
Projected Record						12 - 18	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Sky Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.1	0.5	1.5	1.8	1.4	1.0	0.3	0.1		6.5	1st
2nd											0.2	1.4	2.8	2.8	1.3	0.3	0.1				8.8	2nd
3rd										0.3	1.9	3.8	2.5	0.8	0.1						9.4	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.3	4.6	2.7	0.5	0.0							10.3	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.7	5.3	2.6	0.3	0.0								11.2	5th
6th							0.4	2.5	5.3	2.9	0.3	0.0									11.4	6th
7th					0.0	0.5	2.8	5.2	2.7	0.4											11.6	7th
8th				0.1	0.8	2.6	4.8	2.6	0.3	0.0											11.2	8th
9th		0.0	0.3	1.3	3.3	3.7	1.8	0.2													10.6	9th
10th	0.2	1.0	1.7	2.6	2.3	1.0	0.1														9.0	10th

Total	0.2	1.0	2.0	3.9	6.4	7.8	9.8	10.8	11.3	11.2	9.5	8.3	6.3	5.1	3.2	1.7	1.0	0.3	0.1			Total

Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3
16-2	94.5%	1.0		0.9	0.1
15-3	82.5%	1.4		1.1	0.3	0.0
14-4	56.5%	1.8		1.0	0.7	0.1	0.0
13-5	29.1%	1.5		0.6	0.7	0.2	0.0
12-6	8.1%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.6%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.5%	6.5		4.0	2.0	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		49.6%	49.6%		11.8												0.0	0.0					0.0
17-1	0.3%		33.2%	33.2%		12.6												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2
16-2	1.0%		34.6%	34.6%		12.8												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.7
15-3	1.7%		30.1%	30.1%		13.5												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.2
14-4	3.2%		27.1%	27.1%		13.9												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0	2.3
13-5	5.1%		20.3%	20.3%		15.3													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.1	4.1
12-6	6.3%		12.5%	12.5%		16.2														0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	5.5
11-7	8.3%		9.7%	9.7%		16.7														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	7.5
10-8	9.5%		7.9%	7.9%		18.6															0.0	0.2	0.6	8.8
9-9	11.2%		4.4%	4.4%		16.9															0.0	0.1	0.4	10.7
8-10	11.3%		2.1%	2.1%		16.8																0.0	0.2	11.0
7-11	10.8%		1.3%	1.3%		17.6																	0.2	10.7
6-12	9.8%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	9.7
5-13	7.8%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	7.8
4-14	6.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	6.4
3-15	3.9%																							3.9
2-16	2.0%																							2.0
1-17	1.0%																							1.0
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		6.2%	6.2%	0.0%	15.7												0.0	0.3	0.8	1.5	1.7	2.2	93.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%