IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Princeton
Ivy League
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.2	#179
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.0	#211
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.2	#210

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.1	#168

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.5%	16.5%	10.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.8	13.0	13.8

.500 or above	45.5%	67.2%	39.5%
.500 or above in Conference	61.4%	72.7%	58.3%
Conference Champion	13.0%	19.0%	11.4%
Last Place in Conference	9.4%	5.7%	10.4%

First Four	0.7%	0.4%	0.8%
First Round	11.4%	16.6%	10.0%
Second Round	0.8%	1.5%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Akron (Away) - 21.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 3	4 - 6	5 - 11
Quad 4	8 - 3	13 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2025	108	@ Akron	L	71-79	22%
Nov 11, 2025	286	Bucknell	W	74-65	80%
Nov 15, 2025	14	@ Kansas	L	59-81	2%
Nov 18, 2025	208	@ Iona	L	69-71	45%
Nov 20, 2025	218	Northeastern	W	72-67	67%
Nov 24, 2025	107	Bradley	L	65-71	31%
Nov 30, 2025	110	Saint Joseph's	L	67-72	33%
Dec 03, 2025	210	@ Monmouth	L	70-71	46%
Dec 06, 2025	94	@ Loyola Chicago	L	63-73	20%
Dec 10, 2025	258	Merrimack	W	67-60	72%
Dec 22, 2025	133	@ Temple	L	70-76	30%
Dec 30, 2025	207	Vermont	W	65-61	64%
Jan 05, 2026	278	Penn	W	75-67	75%
Jan 10, 2026	97	Yale	L	69-73	38%
Jan 17, 2026	178	@ Harvard	L	66-69	40%
Jan 19, 2026	229	@ Dartmouth	L	71-72	48%
Jan 24, 2026	169	Brown	W	68-65	58%
Jan 30, 2026	165	@ Cornell	L	75-79	38%
Jan 31, 2026	267	@ Columbia	W	76-75	55%
Feb 07, 2026	278	@ Penn	W	72-70	58%
Feb 13, 2026	165	Cornell	W	78-76	58%
Feb 14, 2026	267	Columbia	W	79-72	73%
Feb 20, 2026	169	@ Brown	L	65-68	39%
Feb 27, 2026	178	Harvard	W	69-66	60%
Feb 28, 2026	229	Dartmouth	W	75-69	68%
Mar 07, 2026	97	@ Yale	L	66-76	22%
Projected Record						12 - 14	7 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.1	0.8	2.6	4.2	3.5	1.4	0.4		13.0	1st
2nd								0.1	1.9	5.6	5.5	2.4	0.4				15.9	2nd
3rd							0.2	2.8	7.0	5.3	1.3	0.0					16.6	3rd
4th						0.1	2.7	7.3	4.2	0.6	0.0						15.0	4th
5th					0.2	2.8	7.0	3.4	0.4								13.9	5th
6th			0.0	0.4	2.8	5.4	2.5	0.2	0.0								11.2	6th
7th		0.0	0.5	2.5	4.3	1.4	0.2										9.0	7th
8th	0.2	1.1	1.7	1.7	0.7	0.1											5.5	8th

Total	0.2	1.1	2.3	4.6	7.9	9.8	12.6	13.8	13.5	12.3	9.4	6.7	3.9	1.4	0.4			Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
13-1	100.0%	1.4		1.3	0.1
12-2	88.7%	3.5		2.7	0.8	0.0
11-3	63.4%	4.2		2.3	1.7	0.2	0.0
10-4	27.8%	2.6		0.8	1.3	0.5	0.1
9-5	6.7%	0.8		0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.5%	0.1				0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	13.0%	13.0		7.6	4.1	1.1	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.4%		63.5%	63.5%		10.9						0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0				0.2
13-1	1.4%		48.4%	47.9%	0.5%	11.9										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0			0.7		1.0%
12-2	3.9%		39.9%	39.9%		12.3												0.2	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0		2.4
11-3	6.7%		30.3%	30.3%		13.1												0.1	0.6	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.0	4.6
10-4	9.4%		23.9%	23.9%		13.8												0.0	0.3	0.7	0.8	0.3	0.1	7.1
9-5	12.3%		19.6%	19.6%		14.5													0.2	0.6	0.8	0.7	0.2	9.9
8-6	13.5%		11.4%	11.4%		15.6													0.0	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.5	12.0
7-7	13.8%		4.7%	4.7%		16.5														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	13.1
6-8	12.6%		0.5%	0.5%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	12.5
5-9	9.8%																							9.8
4-10	7.9%																							7.9
3-11	4.6%																							4.6
2-12	2.3%																							2.3
1-13	1.1%																							1.1
0-14	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		11.5%	11.4%	0.0%	13.8						0.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	2.2	2.9	2.6	2.0	1.2	88.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%