Preseason Rankings
Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.6#94
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.0#212
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#111
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#80
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 0.7% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.9% 11.8% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.0% 3.4% 0.6%
Average Seed 10.3 10.2 11.1
.500 or above 76.5% 79.9% 52.3%
.500 or above in Conference 64.2% 66.6% 47.5%
Conference Champion 9.9% 10.6% 4.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 2.6% 6.5%
First Four1.5% 1.6% 0.4%
First Round10.1% 10.9% 4.1%
Second Round3.3% 3.6% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.8% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cleveland St. (Home) - 87.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 54 - 8
Quad 37 - 411 - 12
Quad 48 - 119 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 223   Cleveland St. W 73-61 87%    
  Nov 06, 2025 362   Mercyhurst W 78-52 99%    
  Nov 09, 2025 88   @ North Texas L 59-62 38%    
  Nov 13, 2025 122   @ Wichita St. W 72-71 51%    
  Nov 16, 2025 98   Colorado St. W 70-67 63%    
  Nov 21, 2025 314   Northern Illinois W 80-63 94%    
  Nov 25, 2025 112   Northern Iowa W 68-66 56%    
  Dec 02, 2025 299   Central Michigan W 77-61 92%    
  Dec 06, 2025 179   Princeton W 73-63 80%    
  Dec 14, 2025 351   Chicago St. W 81-60 97%    
  Dec 17, 2025 77   @ San Francisco L 67-72 34%    
  Dec 20, 2025 106   Santa Clara W 73-72 55%    
  Dec 31, 2025 143   @ Rhode Island W 74-72 55%    
  Jan 03, 2026 65   Dayton L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 07, 2026 145   Davidson W 72-64 74%    
  Jan 10, 2026 85   @ George Washington L 68-72 38%    
  Jan 13, 2026 101   George Mason W 67-63 61%    
  Jan 16, 2026 65   @ Dayton L 65-71 30%    
  Jan 20, 2026 124   @ St. Bonaventure W 66-65 50%    
  Jan 24, 2026 116   Duquesne W 69-64 68%    
  Jan 27, 2026 110   Saint Joseph's W 72-67 64%    
  Jan 30, 2026 60   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-70 29%    
  Feb 03, 2026 187   La Salle W 76-65 80%    
  Feb 06, 2026 145   @ Davidson W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 13, 2026 70   Saint Louis W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 18, 2026 163   @ Fordham W 75-72 60%    
  Feb 21, 2026 110   @ Saint Joseph's L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 28, 2026 131   Richmond W 69-62 71%    
  Mar 04, 2026 70   @ Saint Louis L 67-73 32%    
  Mar 07, 2026 85   George Washington W 71-69 56%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.6 2.8 1.8 0.9 0.2 9.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.3 2.9 0.9 0.1 11.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.4 2.1 0.5 0.0 10.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.5 2.3 0.4 10.2 4th
5th 0.2 1.9 4.4 2.4 0.3 9.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.2 3.1 0.4 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.5 3.6 0.7 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.2 2.3 3.7 1.2 0.0 7.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 3.1 1.6 0.1 6.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 2.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 5.3 10th
11th 0.6 1.7 2.0 0.5 0.0 4.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.8 0.5 0.0 3.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.1 2.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.6 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.1 4.8 6.4 8.3 10.4 11.3 11.5 10.8 9.8 8.0 6.0 3.7 1.9 0.9 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.9    0.8 0.1
16-2 93.4% 1.8    1.6 0.2
15-3 75.9% 2.8    2.0 0.8 0.1
14-4 43.3% 2.6    1.1 1.2 0.3 0.0
13-5 15.0% 1.2    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.9% 9.9 5.9 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 95.8% 59.8% 36.0% 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 89.4%
17-1 0.9% 84.8% 47.2% 37.5% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 71.1%
16-2 1.9% 69.4% 33.6% 35.8% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 53.9%
15-3 3.7% 49.0% 27.7% 21.3% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.0 1.9 29.4%
14-4 6.0% 28.2% 20.6% 7.7% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.1 4.3 9.7%
13-5 8.0% 19.4% 16.4% 3.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.4 3.6%
12-6 9.8% 14.4% 13.0% 1.4% 11.3 0.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 8.4 1.6%
11-7 10.8% 8.0% 7.8% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 9.9 0.1%
10-8 11.5% 4.5% 4.3% 0.2% 11.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 11.0 0.3%
9-9 11.3% 3.1% 3.1% 11.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 10.9
8-10 10.4% 1.7% 1.7% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.2
7-11 8.3% 1.3% 1.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.2
6-12 6.4% 1.0% 1.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.4
5-13 4.8% 0.4% 0.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 4.8
4-14 3.1% 0.5% 0.5% 23.5 0.0 0.0 3.1
3-15 1.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.8
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.9% 8.1% 2.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.9 2.0 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 89.1 3.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.5 75.0 25.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 5.3 67.4 32.6