IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.0	#213
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.4	#203
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.1	#207

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.9	#236

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	14.5%	16.8%	9.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	14.4	14.9

.500 or above	71.0%	79.1%	54.4%
.500 or above in Conference	80.1%	84.5%	71.1%
Conference Champion	22.2%	26.1%	14.2%
Last Place in Conference	1.8%	0.9%	3.5%

First Four	1.9%	1.8%	2.1%
First Round	14.6%	16.9%	9.8%
Second Round	0.6%	0.7%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Bryant (Home) - 67.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	2 - 4	2 - 7
Quad 4	17 - 7	19 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	248	Bryant	W	79-74	67%
Nov 07, 2025	169	@ Brown	L	65-70	31%
Nov 12, 2025	124	@ St. Bonaventure	L	63-71	23%
Nov 17, 2025	227	Colgate	W	73-69	63%
Nov 21, 2025	296	Albany	W	76-68	75%
Nov 24, 2025	346	@ Holy Cross	W	73-67	70%
Nov 28, 2025	202	Longwood	L	73-74	48%
Nov 29, 2025	303	@ American	W	67-65	58%
Nov 30, 2025	285	Maine	W	69-65	64%
Dec 05, 2025	333	Niagara	W	73-63	82%
Dec 07, 2025	352	Canisius	W	76-63	86%
Dec 17, 2025	207	@ Vermont	L	63-66	39%
Dec 22, 2025	33	@ Indiana	L	62-82	5%
Jan 02, 2026	208	@ Iona	L	70-73	39%
Jan 04, 2026	309	@ Rider	W	69-67	59%
Jan 09, 2026	258	Merrimack	W	67-62	67%
Jan 11, 2026	270	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	69-70	50%
Jan 14, 2026	251	Sacred Heart	W	78-73	66%
Jan 17, 2026	252	@ Manhattan	L	73-74	46%
Jan 19, 2026	320	Fairfield	W	74-65	78%
Jan 22, 2026	237	Marist	W	66-62	64%
Jan 30, 2026	333	@ Niagara	W	70-66	65%
Feb 01, 2026	352	@ Canisius	W	73-66	71%
Feb 05, 2026	208	Iona	W	73-70	59%
Feb 07, 2026	295	@ St. Peter's	W	64-63	55%
Feb 13, 2026	221	Quinnipiac	W	76-73	61%
Feb 15, 2026	237	@ Marist	L	63-65	44%
Feb 20, 2026	258	@ Merrimack	L	64-65	47%
Feb 22, 2026	295	St. Peter's	W	67-60	73%
Feb 27, 2026	320	@ Fairfield	W	71-68	60%
Mar 01, 2026	309	Rider	W	72-64	75%
Projected Record						18 - 13	12 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.3	1.6	3.8	5.3	5.4	3.3	1.9	0.4		22.2	1st
2nd												0.1	0.4	2.3	4.9	4.7	2.7	0.8	0.1	0.0			16.1	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.4	2.2	4.6	3.7	1.2	0.3	0.0					12.3	3rd
4th											0.3	1.7	4.3	3.1	0.7	0.1							10.2	4th
5th										0.1	1.3	3.8	2.9	0.6	0.1								8.8	5th
6th									0.0	0.8	3.2	2.8	0.5	0.0									7.3	6th
7th								0.0	0.4	2.3	2.4	0.6	0.0										5.8	7th
8th							0.0	0.2	1.6	2.4	0.8	0.0											5.1	8th
9th						0.0	0.2	0.9	2.1	0.8	0.1												4.2	9th
10th					0.0	0.1	0.7	1.2	0.8	0.1													3.0	10th
11th				0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	0.7	0.1														2.3	11th
12th			0.0	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.0															1.6	12th
13th	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0																1.0	13th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.5	0.7	1.5	2.4	3.2	5.1	6.5	8.1	9.4	10.5	11.0	11.0	9.8	8.3	6.2	3.5	2.0	0.4			Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
19-1	99.6%	1.9		1.9	0.0
18-2	95.9%	3.3		3.1	0.2
17-3	86.3%	5.4		4.3	1.0	0.1
16-4	64.1%	5.3		3.4	1.6	0.3	0.0
15-5	39.1%	3.8		1.7	1.7	0.4	0.0	0.0
14-6	14.5%	1.6		0.4	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.9%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.3%	0.0					0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	22.2%	22.2		15.3	5.3	1.3	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.4%		65.5%	65.5%		11.8											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.1
19-1	2.0%		51.3%	51.3%		12.6											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0		1.0
18-2	3.5%		42.6%	42.6%		13.4												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0	2.0
17-3	6.2%		32.3%	32.3%		13.9												0.0	0.1	0.6	0.8	0.5	0.0	4.2
16-4	8.3%		27.3%	27.3%		14.9													0.1	0.4	0.8	0.8	0.3	6.0
15-5	9.8%		24.1%	24.1%		16.0													0.0	0.2	0.7	1.0	0.6	7.4
14-6	11.0%		16.6%	16.6%		16.8														0.1	0.3	1.0	0.7	9.2
13-7	11.0%		11.3%	11.3%		17.9														0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	9.7
12-8	10.5%		9.9%	9.9%		19.3															0.0	0.4	0.9	9.4
11-9	9.4%		5.4%	5.4%		17.6															0.0	0.1	0.4	8.9
10-10	8.1%		3.9%	3.9%		18.8															0.0	0.0	0.3	7.8
9-11	6.5%		1.8%	1.8%		17.9																0.0	0.1	6.4
8-12	5.1%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	5.0
7-13	3.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	3.2
6-14	2.4%																							2.4
5-15	1.5%																							1.5
4-16	0.7%																							0.7
3-17	0.5%																							0.5
2-18	0.1%																							0.1
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		14.5%	14.5%	0.0%	15.6											0.0	0.2	1.0	2.4	3.3	4.5	4.2	85.5		0.0%