IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
UNC Asheville
Big South
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.2	#198
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.1	#144
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.7	#144

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.0	#273

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	10.5%	14.9%	9.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.4	13.5	14.2

.500 or above	52.5%	72.9%	46.4%
.500 or above in Conference	66.7%	78.2%	63.2%
Conference Champion	11.9%	18.5%	9.9%
Last Place in Conference	4.2%	2.0%	4.8%

First Four	1.1%	0.7%	1.2%
First Round	10.4%	15.0%	8.9%
Second Round	0.5%	1.0%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Wichita St. (Away) - 23.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 6	4 - 10
Quad 4	11 - 5	14 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	122	@ Wichita St.	L	71-79	23%
Nov 08, 2025	243	@ Georgia Southern	L	76-77	47%
Nov 11, 2025	188	Lipscomb	W	73-70	60%
Nov 19, 2025	262	@ Western Carolina	W	76-75	51%
Nov 25, 2025	268	Tennessee St.	W	80-73	72%
Nov 30, 2025	204	Appalachian St.	W	66-65	51%
Dec 02, 2025	232	UNC Greensboro	W	69-67	56%
Dec 06, 2025	31	@ North Carolina St.	L	62-81	5%
Dec 10, 2025	125	Miami (OH)	L	75-76	45%
Dec 13, 2025	149	St. Thomas	W	76-75	52%
Dec 21, 2025	103	@ UAB	L	72-82	19%
Dec 31, 2025	109	High Point	L	73-76	40%
Jan 03, 2026	313	@ Charleston Southern	W	74-71	61%
Jan 07, 2026	202	Longwood	W	77-74	61%
Jan 10, 2026	148	@ Radford	L	66-72	31%
Jan 14, 2026	263	@ Presbyterian	W	70-69	50%
Jan 17, 2026	164	Winthrop	W	81-80	54%
Jan 21, 2026	332	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	82-77	66%
Jan 29, 2026	307	Gardner-Webb	W	79-70	77%
Jan 31, 2026	164	@ Winthrop	L	78-83	35%
Feb 04, 2026	332	South Carolina Upstate	W	85-74	82%
Feb 12, 2026	202	@ Longwood	L	74-77	41%
Feb 14, 2026	263	Presbyterian	W	73-67	70%
Feb 19, 2026	109	@ High Point	L	70-79	22%
Feb 21, 2026	148	Radford	W	70-69	51%
Feb 26, 2026	307	@ Gardner-Webb	W	76-73	60%
Feb 28, 2026	313	Charleston Southern	W	77-68	77%
Projected Record						14 - 13	9 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	0.8	2.6	3.8	2.9	1.4	0.3		11.9	1st
2nd									0.0	0.4	2.7	5.5	4.3	1.9	0.3				15.1	2nd
3rd								0.0	1.0	4.5	6.3	4.0	1.1	0.0					17.0	3rd
4th							0.1	1.8	5.3	6.5	2.9	0.4							17.0	4th
5th					0.0	0.2	2.0	5.2	4.8	1.6	0.2								14.0	5th
6th				0.0	0.3	2.3	4.6	3.1	0.8	0.0									11.2	6th
7th			0.0	0.3	1.9	2.9	2.0	0.3											7.5	7th
8th		0.0	0.2	1.1	1.7	0.8	0.1	0.0											4.0	8th
9th	0.1	0.3	0.8	0.7	0.4	0.0													2.2	9th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.0	2.2	4.3	6.2	8.9	10.4	12.0	13.1	12.2	10.7	8.0	5.7	3.2	1.4	0.3			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
15-1	100.0%	1.4		1.3	0.1
14-2	90.8%	2.9		2.3	0.7
13-3	66.4%	3.8		2.2	1.4	0.2
12-4	32.2%	2.6		0.9	1.1	0.5	0.0
11-5	7.9%	0.8		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1
10-6	1.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0			0.0		0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	11.9%	11.9		7.1	3.7	0.9	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.3%		62.1%	62.1%		11.6											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.1
15-1	1.4%		45.4%	45.4%		12.2												0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0			0.7
14-2	3.2%		33.0%	33.0%		12.7												0.1	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0		2.2
13-3	5.7%		28.9%	28.9%		13.1												0.1	0.4	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0	4.0
12-4	8.0%		22.3%	22.3%		13.9													0.2	0.6	0.7	0.3	0.0	6.2
11-5	10.7%		16.6%	16.6%		14.7													0.1	0.4	0.7	0.5	0.2	9.0
10-6	12.2%		10.5%	10.5%		15.5													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.2	10.9
9-7	13.1%		6.4%	6.4%		16.8													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	12.3
8-8	12.0%		4.9%	4.9%		16.8															0.0	0.3	0.3	11.4
7-9	10.4%		3.1%	3.1%		17.1																0.1	0.3	10.0
6-10	8.9%		2.6%	2.6%		16.9																0.0	0.2	8.7
5-11	6.2%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	6.1
4-12	4.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	4.3
3-13	2.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	2.1
2-14	1.0%																							1.0
1-15	0.4%																							0.4
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		10.5%	10.5%	0.0%	14.4											0.0	0.4	1.4	2.3	2.6	2.3	1.8	89.5		0.0%