IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.2	#125
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.1	#95
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.9	#114

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.2	#155

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	17.0%	18.9%	11.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.9	12.7	13.4

.500 or above	90.2%	93.7%	79.6%
.500 or above in Conference	84.9%	87.7%	76.4%
Conference Champion	15.3%	17.2%	9.8%
Last Place in Conference	0.6%	0.4%	1.2%

First Four	0.2%	0.1%	0.2%
First Round	17.1%	18.9%	11.4%
Second Round	2.2%	2.6%	1.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Home) - 75.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	1 - 1	1 - 2
Quad 3	5 - 4	5 - 6
Quad 4	14 - 3	19 - 9

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	195	Old Dominion	W	76-69	75%
Nov 15, 2025	277	@ Air Force	W	72-66	70%
Nov 20, 2025	362	Mercyhurst	W	80-57	98%
Nov 23, 2025	364	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	93-64	99%
Nov 26, 2025	232	UNC Greensboro	W	71-65	71%
Dec 06, 2025	285	Maine	W	75-63	86%
Dec 10, 2025	198	@ UNC Asheville	W	76-75	55%
Dec 13, 2025	181	@ Eastern Kentucky	W	76-75	51%
Dec 16, 2025	206	@ Wright St.	W	76-74	56%
Dec 20, 2025	247	@ Ball St.	W	75-71	63%
Dec 30, 2025	212	@ Bowling Green	W	75-73	57%
Jan 03, 2026	108	Akron	W	80-79	53%
Jan 06, 2026	282	Western Michigan	W	80-68	85%
Jan 10, 2026	196	@ Toledo	W	78-77	55%
Jan 13, 2026	299	Central Michigan	W	79-66	86%
Jan 17, 2026	337	Buffalo	W	85-69	91%
Jan 20, 2026	127	@ Kent St.	L	70-73	40%
Jan 27, 2026	170	Massachusetts	W	79-73	70%
Jan 31, 2026	314	Northern Illinois	W	82-68	88%
Feb 03, 2026	337	@ Buffalo	W	82-72	79%
Feb 14, 2026	152	Ohio	W	80-75	66%
Feb 17, 2026	170	@ Massachusetts	W	77-76	50%
Feb 21, 2026	212	Bowling Green	W	78-70	75%
Feb 24, 2026	292	@ Eastern Michigan	W	78-71	70%
Feb 28, 2026	282	@ Western Michigan	W	77-71	70%
Mar 06, 2026	152	@ Ohio	L	77-78	47%
Projected Record						18 - 8	11 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	1.2	3.6	5.1	4.0	1.4			15.3	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.9	5.7	5.9	2.8	0.6				17.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	2.4	5.2	5.7	1.7	0.2					15.5	3rd
4th										0.2	1.8	5.5	4.5	1.2	0.1						13.4	4th
5th									0.0	1.5	4.3	4.3	1.0	0.0							11.2	5th
6th								0.0	0.8	3.3	3.3	0.8	0.0								8.3	6th
7th							0.0	0.5	2.2	2.8	0.9	0.1									6.5	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	1.3	2.5	1.0	0.0										5.1	8th
9th						0.1	1.0	1.4	0.6	0.0											3.2	9th
10th					0.1	0.4	0.9	0.6	0.1												2.1	10th
11th			0.0	0.0	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0												1.3	11th
12th			0.0	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0														0.7	12th
13th		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0															0.2	13th

Total		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.4	2.6	4.0	6.1	9.0	10.6	13.4	12.9	13.9	11.3	8.0	4.6	1.4				Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	1.4		1.3	0.1
16-2	87.4%	4.0		3.1	0.8	0.1
15-3	63.3%	5.1		2.8	1.9	0.3	0.0
14-4	31.4%	3.6		1.3	1.6	0.6	0.1
13-5	8.8%	1.2		0.2	0.6	0.4	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.2%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0			0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	15.3%	15.3		8.7	5.1	1.4	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	1.4%		56.9%	53.8%	3.1%	9.7				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1					0.6		6.7%
16-2	4.6%		51.2%	51.2%		11.6							0.0			0.0	0.1	1.0	1.0	0.2	0.0			2.2
15-3	8.0%		37.6%	37.6%		12.1												0.6	1.5	0.7	0.2			5.0
14-4	11.3%		28.2%	28.2%		12.7											0.0	0.1	1.2	1.3	0.5	0.0	0.0	8.1
13-5	13.9%		21.8%	21.8%		13.2												0.0	0.7	1.2	0.9	0.2	0.0	10.9
12-6	12.9%		14.0%	14.0%		13.7												0.0	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.3	0.0	11.1
11-7	13.4%		11.9%	11.9%		14.3													0.1	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.1	11.8
10-8	10.6%		7.5%	7.5%		14.6														0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	9.8
9-9	9.0%		4.2%	4.2%		16.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	8.6
8-10	6.1%		2.1%	2.1%		17.6															0.0	0.1	0.0	6.0
7-11	4.0%		0.2%	0.2%		15.0																0.0		3.9
6-12	2.6%																							2.6
5-13	1.4%																							1.4
4-14	0.7%																							0.7
3-15	0.3%																							0.3
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		17.0%	17.0%	0.0%	12.9				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	2.1	4.7	4.6	3.4	1.4	0.4	83.0		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.3%	100.0%	7.7			2.3	9.5	4.6	27.6	9.2	7.1	7.1	13.8	16.3	2.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.1%	42.9%	10.2									14.3	7.1	21.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%