IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
UTEP
Conference USA
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.3	#160
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.4	#112
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.7	#224

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.3	#124

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.4%	8.3%	4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.7	12.4	13.1

.500 or above	44.1%	56.1%	30.1%
.500 or above in Conference	50.7%	58.4%	41.7%
Conference Champion	6.7%	8.9%	4.2%
Last Place in Conference	9.6%	6.5%	13.3%

First Four	0.3%	0.2%	0.3%
First Round	6.4%	8.2%	4.1%
Second Round	0.7%	1.1%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Marymount (Home) - 54.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 6
Quad 3	6 - 7	7 - 13
Quad 4	7 - 3	13 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 11, 2025	135	Loyola Marymount	W	70-69	54%
Nov 15, 2025	54	@ Utah St.	L	67-80	11%
Nov 24, 2025	226	William & Mary	W	78-75	62%
Nov 25, 2025	103	UAB	L	72-77	32%
Dec 07, 2025	121	@ Seattle	L	64-70	30%
Dec 14, 2025	141	@ Hawaii	L	66-71	35%
Dec 21, 2025	260	Norfolk St.	W	73-65	75%
Dec 29, 2025	144	@ Louisiana Tech	L	64-68	35%
Jan 02, 2026	114	@ Missouri St.	L	62-69	29%
Jan 04, 2026	209	@ Florida International	L	70-71	48%
Jan 08, 2026	151	Middle Tennessee	W	72-70	57%
Jan 10, 2026	161	Western Kentucky	W	77-74	61%
Jan 15, 2026	236	@ Delaware	W	76-75	53%
Jan 17, 2026	100	@ Liberty	L	64-73	24%
Jan 22, 2026	209	Florida International	W	73-68	68%
Jan 24, 2026	114	Missouri St.	L	65-66	49%
Jan 28, 2026	144	Louisiana Tech	W	67-65	56%
Jan 31, 2026	236	Delaware	W	79-72	71%
Feb 04, 2026	199	@ Sam Houston St.	L	71-72	47%
Feb 07, 2026	139	New Mexico St.	W	67-66	54%
Feb 11, 2026	154	@ Jacksonville St.	L	65-68	39%
Feb 14, 2026	100	Liberty	L	67-70	41%
Feb 21, 2026	139	@ New Mexico St.	L	64-69	35%
Feb 26, 2026	151	@ Middle Tennessee	L	69-73	38%
Feb 28, 2026	161	@ Western Kentucky	L	74-77	41%
Mar 05, 2026	146	Kennesaw St.	W	76-74	56%
Mar 07, 2026	154	Jacksonville St.	W	68-65	58%
Projected Record						13 - 14	10 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.8	1.5	1.9	1.3	0.7	0.4	0.1		6.7	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	1.6	2.4	2.0	0.9	0.3	0.0				7.5	2nd
3rd												0.4	2.1	3.1	1.8	0.6	0.1						8.2	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	2.5	3.6	2.0	0.4	0.0							8.9	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	2.4	4.3	2.1	0.2									9.4	5th
6th									0.2	2.2	4.3	2.4	0.3	0.0									9.4	6th
7th								0.3	2.1	4.2	2.5	0.4											9.5	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	1.9	4.1	2.7	0.4	0.0											9.4	8th
9th					0.0	0.4	1.8	3.5	2.7	0.5	0.0												9.0	9th
10th			0.0	0.0	0.5	1.8	3.0	2.5	0.5	0.0													8.1	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.9	2.0	2.8	1.7	0.4	0.0														8.0	11th
12th	0.1	0.6	1.1	1.6	1.5	0.7	0.2																5.8	12th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.3	2.5	4.0	5.7	7.0	8.5	9.6	10.0	10.0	10.1	8.5	7.1	5.4	4.0	2.9	1.5	0.8	0.4	0.1			Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
19-1	100.0%	0.4		0.4
18-2	97.2%	0.7		0.6	0.1
17-3	81.0%	1.3		1.0	0.2
16-4	64.1%	1.9		1.1	0.6	0.1
15-5	36.5%	1.5		0.6	0.6	0.2	0.0
14-6	14.3%	0.8		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.6%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	6.7%	6.7		4.1	1.9	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.1%		69.4%	61.2%	8.2%	8.1		0.0				0.0		0.0				0.0						0.0		21.1%
19-1	0.4%		59.8%	51.8%	8.0%	10.2						0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.1		16.5%
18-2	0.8%		44.9%	40.3%	4.6%	11.1									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.4		7.8%
17-3	1.5%		29.8%	28.9%	0.9%	11.4											0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0				1.1		1.3%
16-4	2.9%		28.7%	28.7%		11.9												0.2	0.5	0.1	0.0			2.1
15-5	4.0%		21.6%	21.6%		12.1												0.2	0.5	0.2	0.0			3.1
14-6	5.4%		17.1%	17.1%		12.6												0.0	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0		4.5
13-7	7.1%		11.6%	11.6%		13.0												0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0		6.3
12-8	8.5%		8.6%	8.6%		13.2													0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1		7.8
11-9	10.1%		4.7%	4.7%		13.8													0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1		9.6
10-10	10.0%		3.4%	3.4%		14.4													0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0	9.7
9-11	10.0%		1.3%	1.3%		17.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	9.9
8-12	9.6%		0.9%	0.9%		17.3																0.0	0.1	9.5
7-13	8.5%		0.9%	0.9%		17.4																0.0	0.1	8.5
6-14	7.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.0
5-15	5.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.7
4-16	4.0%																							4.0
3-17	2.5%																							2.5
2-18	1.3%																							1.3
1-19	0.6%																							0.6
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		6.4%	6.3%	0.1%	12.7		0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	1.0	2.2	1.6	0.8	0.4	0.2	93.6		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	4.0	50.0						50.0
Lose Out	0.0%