IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Wichita St.
American Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.4	#122
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.9	#99
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.4	#124

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.0	#134

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.4%	7.4%	3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.7%	0.8%	0.1%
Average Seed	11.4	11.3	12.3

.500 or above	57.0%	63.5%	35.7%
.500 or above in Conference	56.0%	60.2%	42.1%
Conference Champion	6.1%	7.1%	2.8%
Last Place in Conference	6.7%	5.3%	11.2%

First Four	0.5%	0.5%	0.2%
First Round	6.2%	7.1%	3.3%
Second Round	1.3%	1.5%	0.5%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UNC Asheville (Home) - 76.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	2 - 5	2 - 7
Quad 3	6 - 5	8 - 13
Quad 4	7 - 2	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	198	UNC Asheville	W	79-71	77%
Nov 08, 2025	340	Prairie View	W	84-67	94%
Nov 13, 2025	94	Loyola Chicago	L	71-72	49%
Nov 18, 2025	62	@ Boise St.	L	66-76	19%
Nov 22, 2025	216	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	79-70	78%
Nov 26, 2025	49	St. Mary's	L	60-69	22%
Dec 06, 2025	112	@ Northern Iowa	L	68-72	36%
Dec 13, 2025	83	DePaul	L	72-73	47%
Dec 17, 2025	205	Wofford	W	74-66	75%
Dec 21, 2025	181	Eastern Kentucky	W	78-71	72%
Dec 31, 2025	103	@ UAB	L	73-79	32%
Jan 03, 2026	192	@ Charlotte	W	71-70	56%
Jan 07, 2026	172	Rice	W	74-68	71%
Jan 11, 2026	88	North Texas	L	62-63	48%
Jan 15, 2026	140	@ Florida Atlantic	L	74-76	44%
Jan 18, 2026	95	@ South Florida	L	71-77	31%
Jan 21, 2026	158	East Carolina	W	74-68	68%
Jan 24, 2026	51	Memphis	L	74-79	33%
Feb 01, 2026	150	@ Tulsa	L	71-72	47%
Feb 04, 2026	192	Charlotte	W	74-67	73%
Feb 08, 2026	115	@ Tulane	L	71-75	38%
Feb 11, 2026	95	South Florida	L	73-74	50%
Feb 14, 2026	150	Tulsa	W	74-69	67%
Feb 18, 2026	158	@ East Carolina	L	70-71	49%
Feb 21, 2026	133	Temple	W	78-74	62%
Feb 26, 2026	51	@ Memphis	L	71-82	18%
Mar 01, 2026	168	@ Texas San Antonio	W	77-76	50%
Mar 07, 2026	140	Florida Atlantic	W	77-73	63%
Projected Record						15 - 13	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.7	1.7	1.7	1.1	0.5	0.1		6.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	2.1	3.1	2.2	0.8	0.1				8.7	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.7	2.7	3.7	1.9	0.4	0.0					9.5	3rd
4th										0.4	3.0	4.3	2.0	0.3	0.0						9.9	4th
5th									0.2	2.6	4.6	2.1	0.2	0.0							9.8	5th
6th								0.1	1.6	4.8	2.6	0.3									9.4	6th
7th							0.0	0.9	4.2	3.3	0.5	0.0									8.8	7th
8th						0.0	0.6	3.5	3.8	0.6	0.0										8.5	8th
9th					0.0	0.2	2.4	3.7	1.2	0.0											7.6	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	1.7	3.4	1.3	0.1												6.7	10th
11th			0.0	0.3	1.1	2.8	1.6	0.2													5.9	11th
12th		0.0	0.3	1.2	2.1	1.5	0.2	0.0													5.4	12th
13th	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.3	0.7	0.2															3.6	13th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.2	2.8	4.1	6.3	8.3	9.7	11.0	11.7	11.4	9.9	8.2	6.0	4.4	2.5	1.2	0.5	0.1			Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.5		0.5	0.0
16-2	94.1%	1.1		1.0	0.1
15-3	68.7%	1.7		1.2	0.5	0.0
14-4	38.7%	1.7		0.7	0.7	0.2	0.0
13-5	12.2%	0.7		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.1%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.1%	6.1		3.7	1.7	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		100.0%	80.0%	20.0%	6.9			0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0		0.0								100.0%
17-1	0.5%		59.0%	46.1%	12.8%	8.2				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.2		23.8%
16-2	1.2%		47.5%	28.2%	19.3%	10.1						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0					0.6		26.9%
15-3	2.5%		31.9%	25.7%	6.1%	10.8							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.1					1.7		8.3%
14-4	4.4%		25.9%	23.6%	2.3%	11.2									0.0		0.1	0.8	0.2	0.0				3.2		3.0%
13-5	6.0%		14.6%	13.9%	0.7%	11.6											0.0	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0			5.1		0.8%
12-6	8.2%		11.5%	11.5%		11.9												0.3	0.5	0.1	0.0			7.2
11-7	9.9%		6.8%	6.8%		12.1												0.1	0.4	0.2	0.0			9.3
10-8	11.4%		4.3%	4.3%		12.5												0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1			10.9
9-9	11.7%		2.2%	2.2%		12.9												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.5
8-10	11.0%		1.1%	1.1%		12.8													0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.9
7-11	9.7%		1.2%	1.2%		16.7														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	9.6
6-12	8.3%		0.4%	0.4%		15.8																0.0	0.0	8.3
5-13	6.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.3
4-14	4.1%																							4.1
3-15	2.8%																							2.8
2-16	1.2%																							1.2
1-17	0.4%																							0.4
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		6.4%	5.8%	0.6%	11.4			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.5	2.5	1.9	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.1	93.6		0.7%