Yale
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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RankNameGradeRating
87  Kevin Dooney SR 31:46
115  James Randon JR 31:54
256  Cameron Stanish SO 32:26
382  Duncan Tomlin SR 32:45
495  Adam Houston SO 32:58
756  Pascal Ungersboeck FR 33:26
830  Alexander Conner SR 33:32
870  Andre Ivankovic JR 33:37
946  Nathaniel Sievert JR 33:42
1,210  Ryan Brady SO 34:05
1,586  Max Payson SR 34:39
1,652  Thomas Gm SO 34:45
1,777  Zach Capello FR 34:57
1,932  Matt Chisholm SO 35:14
2,092  Tim Cox JR 35:30
2,221  Casey Celestin SO 35:50
2,537  Michael Yuan SO 36:46
National Rank #42 of 308
Northeast Region Rank #5 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 5.1%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 1.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 39.1%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Kevin Dooney James Randon Cameron Stanish Duncan Tomlin Adam Houston Pascal Ungersboeck Alexander Conner Andre Ivankovic Nathaniel Sievert Ryan Brady Max Payson
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/26 802 32:06 32:06 32:27 32:31 33:33 33:47 33:12 33:51
NEICAAA Championship 10/10 1222 33:42 33:28 34:38
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 754 32:01 31:47 32:14 32:56 33:05 33:04 33:49
CCSU Mini Meet 10/23 1219 34:10 34:39
Ivy League Championships 10/30 607 31:21 31:30 32:34 32:32 32:23 33:37 33:25 33:46 33:50 34:01
Northeast Region Championships 11/13 846 31:52 32:24 32:32 33:05 32:57 33:22 33:32
NCAA Championship 11/21 31:32





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 5.1% 24.2 568 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.1
Region Championship 100% 5.8 156 0.3 7.1 13.4 18.2 22.8 32.0 6.0 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kevin Dooney 79.6% 78.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4
James Randon 66.4% 96.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cameron Stanish 11.1% 157.1
Duncan Tomlin 5.2% 187.7
Adam Houston 5.1% 207.5
Pascal Ungersboeck 5.1% 236.4
Alexander Conner 5.1% 237.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kevin Dooney 9.7 0.2 0.9 2.4 4.1 6.2 7.1 7.9 8.2 8.2 6.6 6.6 5.3 5.1 4.3 3.6 3.0 2.6 2.3 2.0 1.6 1.8 1.1 1.2 1.2 0.8
James Randon 12.8 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.2 3.8 4.4 5.5 6.9 7.2 6.6 7.3 5.7 5.0 5.3 4.5 4.0 3.2 3.2 2.2 2.3 2.4 1.9 1.6 1.3
Cameron Stanish 27.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.4 2.4 2.6 2.9 4.1 4.0 4.7 4.1 3.8 4.2 3.4
Duncan Tomlin 41.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.7 1.0 1.2 2.0
Adam Houston 51.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2
Pascal Ungersboeck 78.9
Alexander Conner 87.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 2
3 7.1% 51.5% 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 3.4 3.7 3
4 13.4% 8.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 12.4 1.1 4
5 18.2% 0.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.2 0.1 5
6 22.8% 22.8 6
7 32.0% 32.0 7
8 6.0% 6.0 8
9 0.2% 0.2 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 5.1% 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.0 94.9 0.3 4.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Minnesota 25.4% 1.0 0.3
Princeton 19.2% 1.0 0.2
Florida 8.5% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Cornell 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Stephen F. Austin 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 1.0% 1.0 0.0
North Texas 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.7
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0