California
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
64  Robert Brandt SO 31:41
81  Trent Brendel JR 31:45
257  Garrett Corcoran JR 32:23
285  Kai Benedict FR 32:26
410  John Lawson JR 32:45
534  Paul Zeiss FR 32:58
617  Steve Correa SO 33:08
699  Cameron Tu JR 33:18
775  Max Leach SO 33:26
810  Leland Jones FR 33:28
931  Takeshi Okada FR 33:38
1,193  Eugene Hamilton III SO 34:00
1,360  John Hogan JR 34:13
1,836  Evan Malone-White SR 34:52
2,065  Josh Lewis SR 35:17
National Rank #29 of 312
West Region Rank #7 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 15.9%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 4.3%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 4.2%
Top 10 in Regional 99.5%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Robert Brandt Trent Brendel Garrett Corcoran Kai Benedict John Lawson Paul Zeiss Steve Correa Cameron Tu Max Leach Leland Jones Takeshi Okada
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 585 31:23 31:30 32:29 32:13 33:14 32:39 32:44
CXC West Region Preview 10/01 1110 33:09 33:14 34:00 33:11
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 713 31:37 31:58 32:36 32:40 33:36 32:32 33:19
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/15 1146 33:22 33:26 32:58
Pac-12 Conference 10/28 709 31:46 31:40 31:55 33:05 33:44 33:46 35:51
West Region Championships 11/11 588 31:32 31:35 31:59 32:28 32:49 32:46 33:06





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 15.9% 23.1 558 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.4 1.2 0.8 1.1 1.7 1.3 1.0 1.5 1.2 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.4
Region Championship 100% 7.6 210 0.1 0.8 3.4 13.7 32.8 23.0 16.3 9.6 0.5 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Robert Brandt 65.2% 63.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.3
Trent Brendel 55.5% 71.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3
Garrett Corcoran 16.1% 158.2
Kai Benedict 15.9% 168.0
John Lawson 15.9% 204.5
Paul Zeiss 16.0% 222.9
Steve Correa 15.9% 232.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Robert Brandt 16.8 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.1 2.9 3.0 3.9 3.3 3.9 5.2 5.1 4.2 3.7 3.8 3.5 4.1 3.9 2.9 3.5 2.5 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.6
Trent Brendel 20.0 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 2.2 2.8 3.5 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.8 3.6 3.9 2.8 4.0 3.3 4.4 3.8 3.4 3.1 2.5 3.6 1.9
Garrett Corcoran 49.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.8
Kai Benedict 51.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.5
John Lawson 64.6
Paul Zeiss 74.3
Steve Correa 81.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 3
4 0.8% 66.7% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 4
5 3.4% 56.7% 0.3 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.5 1.9 5
6 13.7% 59.5% 0.7 0.8 1.7 1.2 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.1 5.6 8.2 6
7 32.8% 14.0% 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.1 0.2 28.2 4.6 7
8 23.0% 2.4% 0.2 0.4 22.4 0.6 8
9 16.3% 0.6% 0.1 16.2 0.1 9
10 9.6% 9.6 10
11 0.5% 0.5 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 15.9% 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.1 2.2 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.3 1.5 1.8 0.7 84.1 0.0 15.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
North Carolina St. 81.2% 1.0 0.8
Texas 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Texas A&M 43.0% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Michigan 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Washington 16.7% 1.0 0.2
Florida State 14.8% 1.0 0.1
Bradley 9.8% 1.0 0.1
Furman 4.4% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Air Force 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Alabama 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Baylor 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Total 2.7
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 6.0