California
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
61  Chris Walden SR 31:36
106  John Lawson SO 31:52
203  Thomas Joyce SR 32:16
222  Trent Brendel SO 32:21
225  Robert Brandt FR 32:21
268  Leland Later JR 32:27
567  Garrett Corcoran SO 33:06
709  Edward Trim JR 33:21
920  Steve Correa FR 33:40
921  Cameron Tu SO 33:40
1,100  Ellis Newton FR 33:55
1,156  Max Leach FR 34:00
1,276  Seamus Land SR 34:10
1,679  Evan Malone-White JR 34:48
1,701  John Hogan SO 34:50
2,008  Josh Lewis JR 35:21
National Rank #25 of 308
West Region Rank #6 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 44.2%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.4%
Top 10 at Nationals 6.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 27.6%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 46.1%
Top 10 in Regional 99.3%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Chris Walden John Lawson Thomas Joyce Trent Brendel Robert Brandt Leland Later Garrett Corcoran Edward Trim Steve Correa Cameron Tu Ellis Newton
Roy Griak Invitational 09/26 579 31:36 31:55 32:13 32:16 32:08 33:48
Stanford Invitational 09/26 33:08
Capital Cross Challenge 10/03 1170 33:48 33:40 33:49
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 596 31:49 31:52 32:24 32:08 32:20 32:07 33:36
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/17 1167 33:18 33:40 33:35
Pac 12 Championships 10/30 675 31:18 31:46 33:10 32:41 32:27 32:55 33:20 33:40 34:33
West Region Championships 11/13 559 31:45 31:57 32:00 32:08 32:08 32:53 33:18
NCAA Championship 11/21 645 31:38 31:52 32:31 32:17 32:25 32:59 33:13





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 44.2% 18.1 462 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.3 1.8 1.7 1.6 2.0 1.5 2.3 2.5 2.2 2.9 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.2 2.0 2.3 1.7 1.8 1.4 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2
Region Championship 100% 5.8 164 0.0 0.9 7.4 17.6 20.3 19.3 15.3 10.9 5.7 1.9 0.5 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris Walden 76.1% 57.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.8
John Lawson 55.0% 84.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Thomas Joyce 44.4% 142.0
Trent Brendel 44.3% 151.4
Robert Brandt 44.3% 152.3
Leland Later 44.2% 168.3
Garrett Corcoran 44.2% 225.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris Walden 12.4 0.6 1.6 2.7 4.2 5.7 5.4 6.1 5.9 5.6 5.9 4.6 4.3 4.7 3.7 3.3 3.1 2.5 2.8 2.5 2.3 1.7 2.0 1.2 1.5
John Lawson 21.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.8 2.2 2.9 3.3 3.3 3.9 4.4 4.1 4.0 4.4 3.8 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.1 2.8 2.5
Thomas Joyce 39.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.4 2.0 2.1
Trent Brendel 42.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3
Robert Brandt 43.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1
Leland Later 48.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8
Garrett Corcoran 85.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 0.9% 100.0% 0.9 0.9 2
3 7.4% 97.8% 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.2 7.2 3
4 17.6% 85.0% 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.9 1.1 2.6 14.9 4
5 20.3% 60.8% 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 2.0 7.9 12.3 5
6 19.3% 32.1% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.9 2.0 13.1 6.2 6
7 15.3% 16.3% 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.8 12.8 2.5 7
8 10.9% 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 0.1 8
9 5.7% 5.7 9
10 1.9% 1.9 10
11 0.5% 0.5 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 44.2% 0.0 0.9 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.2 2.5 3.1 3.6 3.6 4.5 4.6 5.2 5.6 6.0 55.8 0.9 43.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Louisville 88.3% 1.0 0.9
Boise State 57.0% 1.0 0.6
Colorado St. 53.4% 2.0 1.1
Air Force 40.3% 1.0 0.4
Texas 38.3% 1.0 0.4
Southern Utah 36.0% 1.0 0.4
Minnesota 25.4% 2.0 0.5
Eastern Michigan 22.0% 1.0 0.2
Florida 8.5% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Cornell 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Stephen F. Austin 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Washington St. 0.7% 1.0 0.0
North Texas 0.5% 1.0 0.0
UC Santa Barbara 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Yale 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Duke 0.0% 1.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0% 2.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 4.7
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 14.0