Washington
Men -
Women
2015
-
2016 -
2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
88 |
Fred Huxham |
JR |
31:47 |
124 |
Colby Gilbert |
JR |
31:56 |
139 |
Andrew Gardner |
JR |
32:00 |
264 |
Johnathan Stevens |
JR |
32:24 |
727 |
Mahmoud Moussa |
SO |
33:21 |
1,170 |
Julius Diehr |
FR |
33:58 |
1,313 |
Keith Williams |
JR |
34:09 |
1,339 |
Andy Snyder |
FR |
34:12 |
|
National Rank |
#33 of 312 |
West Region Rank |
#8 of 32 |
Chance of Advancing to Nationals |
23.8% |
Most Likely Finish |
10th at Regional |
National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
0.1% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
5.6% |
Regional Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 in Regional |
1.1% |
Top 10 in Regional |
97.1% |
Top 20 in Regional |
100.0% |
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Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Fred Huxham |
Colby Gilbert |
Andrew Gardner |
Johnathan Stevens |
Mahmoud Moussa |
Julius Diehr |
Keith Williams |
Andy Snyder |
Sundodger Invitational |
09/17 |
841 |
|
31:37 |
32:02 |
|
33:44 |
33:27 |
33:11 |
34:23 |
UW Invitational |
10/01 |
739 |
32:30 |
31:52 |
32:19 |
32:02 |
32:54 |
33:19 |
34:04 |
33:37 |
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational |
10/14 |
593 |
31:31 |
31:54 |
32:07 |
32:07 |
32:40 |
35:34 |
|
34:07 |
Pac-12 Conference |
10/28 |
799 |
31:58 |
32:29 |
31:40 |
33:09 |
33:33 |
35:03 |
35:13 |
33:53 |
West Region Championships |
11/11 |
749 |
31:23 |
32:59 |
31:58 |
32:24 |
|
33:40 |
|
35:40 |
NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
23.8% |
23.7 |
575 |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
Region Championship |
100% |
8.5 |
237 |
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0.2 |
0.9 |
5.9 |
18.5 |
23.6 |
21.5 |
26.6 |
2.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
---|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Fred Huxham |
54.0% |
75.3 |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
Colby Gilbert |
39.8% |
93.4 |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
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Andrew Gardner |
34.3% |
102.4 |
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0.1 |
Johnathan Stevens |
23.8% |
162.8 |
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Mahmoud Moussa |
23.8% |
237.9 |
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Julius Diehr |
24.8% |
248.1 |
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Keith Williams |
25.1% |
249.1 |
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Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Fred Huxham |
21.0 |
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0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
2.5 |
3.7 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
3.2 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
Colby Gilbert |
27.5 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
Andrew Gardner |
30.3 |
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0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
Johnathan Stevens |
50.5 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
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0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
Mahmoud Moussa |
91.3 |
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Julius Diehr |
132.8 |
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Keith Williams |
147.4 |
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NCAA Championship Selection Detail
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Total |
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Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
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At Large Selection |
|
No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
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1 |
2 |
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2 |
3 |
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3 |
4 |
0.2% |
100.0% |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
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0.2 |
4 |
5 |
0.9% |
88.9% |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
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0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
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0.8 |
5 |
6 |
5.9% |
75.4% |
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0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
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4.5 |
6 |
7 |
18.5% |
56.4% |
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0.2 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
8.1 |
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10.4 |
7 |
8 |
23.6% |
32.6% |
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0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
15.9 |
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7.7 |
8 |
9 |
21.5% |
0.9% |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
21.3 |
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0.2 |
9 |
10 |
26.6% |
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26.6 |
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10 |
11 |
2.6% |
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2.6 |
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11 |
12 |
0.3% |
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0.3 |
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12 |
13 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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13 |
14 |
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14 |
15 |
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15 |
16 |
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16 |
17 |
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17 |
18 |
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18 |
19 |
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19 |
20 |
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20 |
21 |
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21 |
22 |
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22 |
23 |
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23 |
24 |
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24 |
25 |
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25 |
26 |
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26 |
27 |
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27 |
28 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
31 |
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31 |
32 |
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32 |
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Total |
100% |
23.8% |
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0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
3.9 |
6.1 |
76.3 |
0.0 |
23.8 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.