Washington
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
88  Fred Huxham JR 31:47
124  Colby Gilbert JR 31:56
139  Andrew Gardner JR 32:00
264  Johnathan Stevens JR 32:24
727  Mahmoud Moussa SO 33:21
1,170  Julius Diehr FR 33:58
1,313  Keith Williams JR 34:09
1,339  Andy Snyder FR 34:12
National Rank #33 of 312
West Region Rank #8 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 23.8%
Most Likely Finish 10th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 5.6%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 1.1%
Top 10 in Regional 97.1%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Fred Huxham Colby Gilbert Andrew Gardner Johnathan Stevens Mahmoud Moussa Julius Diehr Keith Williams Andy Snyder
Sundodger Invitational 09/17 841 31:37 32:02 33:44 33:27 33:11 34:23
UW Invitational 10/01 739 32:30 31:52 32:19 32:02 32:54 33:19 34:04 33:37
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 593 31:31 31:54 32:07 32:07 32:40 35:34 34:07
Pac-12 Conference 10/28 799 31:58 32:29 31:40 33:09 33:33 35:03 35:13 33:53
West Region Championships 11/11 749 31:23 32:59 31:58 32:24 33:40 35:40





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 23.8% 23.7 575 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.5 1.2 1.9 1.2 1.5 2.3 2.0 2.1 2.1 1.8 1.9 0.9 0.7
Region Championship 100% 8.5 237 0.2 0.9 5.9 18.5 23.6 21.5 26.6 2.6 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Fred Huxham 54.0% 75.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4
Colby Gilbert 39.8% 93.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Andrew Gardner 34.3% 102.4 0.1
Johnathan Stevens 23.8% 162.8
Mahmoud Moussa 23.8% 237.9
Julius Diehr 24.8% 248.1
Keith Williams 25.1% 249.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Fred Huxham 21.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.5 2.6 3.1 3.2 3.6 2.5 3.7 4.2 4.1 3.9 3.2 4.2 4.5 4.0 3.0 2.4 1.9
Colby Gilbert 27.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.4 2.3 1.9 3.1 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.3 3.0 3.3 3.6
Andrew Gardner 30.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.8 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.5 2.4 3.1 3.2 3.2 2.6 3.6 3.1
Johnathan Stevens 50.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2
Mahmoud Moussa 91.3
Julius Diehr 132.8
Keith Williams 147.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.2% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 4
5 0.9% 88.9% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.8 5
6 5.9% 75.4% 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.5 4.5 6
7 18.5% 56.4% 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.6 2.8 8.1 10.4 7
8 23.6% 32.6% 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.9 1.2 1.3 2.4 15.9 7.7 8
9 21.5% 0.9% 0.1 0.1 21.3 0.2 9
10 26.6% 26.6 10
11 2.6% 2.6 11
12 0.3% 0.3 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 23.8% 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.8 3.9 6.1 76.3 0.0 23.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Michigan State 92.4% 1.0 0.9
Eastern Kentucky 82.3% 1.0 0.8
North Carolina St. 81.2% 1.0 0.8
Washington St. 79.9% 1.0 0.8
Providence 78.3% 1.0 0.8
Princeton 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Texas A&M 43.0% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Michigan 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Penn 36.5% 1.0 0.4
Illinois 32.4% 1.0 0.3
Florida State 14.8% 1.0 0.1
Minnesota 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Columbia 1.7% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Total 6.4
Minimum 3.0
Maximum 11.0