Washington
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
26  Izaic Yorks SR 31:20
42  Colby Gilbert SO 31:28
119  Andrew Gardner SO 31:56
133  Fred Huxham SO 31:59
139  Tyler King SR 31:59
294  Johnathan Stevens SO 32:32
463  Charlie Barringer FR 32:55
613  Mahmoud Moussa FR 33:11
National Rank #6 of 308
West Region Rank #3 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 89.4%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Nationals


National Champion 0.2%
Top 5 at Nationals 14.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 51.8%
Top 20 at Nationals 83.7%


Regional Champion 1.9%
Top 5 in Regional 93.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Izaic Yorks Colby Gilbert Andrew Gardner Fred Huxham Tyler King Johnathan Stevens Charlie Barringer Mahmoud Moussa
Washington Invitational 10/02 704 31:54 32:20 32:02 32:20 32:37 32:41 33:55
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 632 31:15 32:03 32:32 32:11 32:27 32:54 33:00
Pac 12 Championships 10/30 390 31:02 31:39 31:57 31:47 31:54 32:33 33:17 32:51
West Region Championships 11/13 325 31:37 31:34 31:31 31:50 31:20 32:30 32:45
NCAA Championship 11/21 429 31:10 31:11 31:47 31:51 35:18 32:35 33:56





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 89.4% 10.6 340 0.2 0.8 1.9 4.4 6.8 8.2 8.0 8.0 6.9 6.7 5.5 4.7 4.4 4.1 3.2 2.6 2.1 2.2 1.7 1.2 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 3.4 106 1.9 13.2 50.9 18.4 8.7 3.9 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Izaic Yorks 98.3% 31.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.1 1.9 2.8 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.7 1.8
Colby Gilbert 96.3% 43.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.7 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.3
Andrew Gardner 89.7% 101.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Fred Huxham 89.5% 110.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tyler King 89.5% 111.2 0.0 0.0
Johnathan Stevens 89.4% 183.1
Charlie Barringer 89.4% 217.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Izaic Yorks 6.3 6.4 9.0 12.3 10.7 9.2 7.0 5.6 5.2 4.0 3.7 2.9 2.3 2.4 2.3 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7
Colby Gilbert 8.8 0.0 1.7 3.9 7.3 7.9 8.7 8.3 6.9 6.4 5.2 4.1 4.3 3.6 3.4 2.8 2.8 2.2 2.3 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.8
Andrew Gardner 23.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.1 2.0 2.5 2.4 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.4 3.7 4.0 3.8 3.8 4.0 3.5 3.2 3.1 2.7
Fred Huxham 25.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.2 3.0 3.6 3.6 3.2 3.5 3.3 3.8 3.4 3.1 3.7 3.4
Tyler King 25.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.6 2.0 2.5 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.2 4.0 3.5 3.9 3.4 2.9 3.3
Johnathan Stevens 53.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2
Charlie Barringer 75.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1.9% 100.0% 1.9 1.9 1
2 13.2% 100.0% 13.2 13.2 2
3 50.9% 95.0% 0.7 1.9 4.6 5.6 6.5 6.1 5.0 4.2 3.4 3.1 2.9 3.4 1.0 2.5 48.4 3
4 18.4% 89.3% 0.5 0.6 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.1 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.6 1.3 2.0 16.4 4
5 8.7% 80.4% 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.7 7.0 5
6 3.9% 56.3% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.7 2.2 6
7 2.1% 15.2% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.8 0.3 7
8 0.8% 5.3% 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 8
9 0.2% 0.2 9
10 10
11 0.0% 0.0 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 89.4% 1.9 13.2 0.7 2.4 5.3 7.3 9.0 9.0 8.2 6.9 5.7 5.3 4.9 6.0 3.7 10.6 15.1 74.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Mississippi 91.7% 1.0 0.9
Florida State 91.5% 1.0 0.9
Eastern Kentucky 65.9% 1.0 0.7
UCLA 64.4% 1.0 0.6
Indiana 61.1% 1.0 0.6
Oklahoma 60.8% 1.0 0.6
Illinois 47.5% 1.0 0.5
California 23.4% 1.0 0.2
Princeton 19.2% 1.0 0.2
Providence 14.1% 1.0 0.1
Lamar 9.0% 1.0 0.1
Notre Dame 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 7.0% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Portland 2.2% 2.0 0.0
Dartmouth 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Iowa State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Washington St. 0.7% 2.0 0.0
New Mexico 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 5.7
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 12.0