Kentucky
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
66  Jacob Thomson SR 31:36
211  Brennan Fields SO 32:11
398  Daniel Southard SR 32:38
422  Ben Young JR 32:41
658  Matthew Thomas SO 33:07
873  Kendall Muhammad JR 33:29
956  Alex Mortimer FR 33:35
1,129  Cole Dowdy SO 33:49
1,524  Tanner Dowdy SO 34:21
National Rank #44 of 315
Southeast Region Rank #8 of 48
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 1.8%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.2%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 20.0%
Top 10 in Regional 97.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jacob Thomson Brennan Fields Daniel Southard Ben Young Matthew Thomas Kendall Muhammad Alex Mortimer Cole Dowdy Tanner Dowdy
Kentucky Bluegrass Invitational 09/09 927 31:54 32:49 32:41 33:16 33:22 33:27 33:56 34:10
Louisville Classic (Gold) 09/30 792 31:32 31:54 32:46 33:08 34:20 33:38 33:28 34:05
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 783 31:35 31:56 32:31 34:19 33:10 33:20 34:04
SEC Championship 10/27 723 31:16 32:35 32:20 32:19 32:56 33:42 33:34 33:40 34:32
Southeast Region Championships 11/10 802 31:52 31:53 33:01 32:40 33:08 33:40 33:43





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 1.8% 25.7 642 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 7.1 240 0.3 1.4 6.4 12.0 16.9 23.3 18.8 12.8 5.3 2.0 0.8 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Thomson 27.6% 71.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.3
Brennan Fields 1.9% 111.8
Daniel Southard 1.8% 178.5
Ben Young 1.8% 182.5
Matthew Thomas 1.8% 226.0
Kendall Muhammad 1.8% 241.5
Alex Mortimer 1.9% 243.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Thomson 11.7 0.2 0.8 3.4 3.5 5.6 5.2 5.4 5.9 5.5 6.3 5.4 4.8 4.9 4.0 3.2 3.8 2.8 2.9 2.7 2.9 2.1 2.2 1.1 1.6 1.3
Brennan Fields 31.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.8 1.6 2.0 2.2 1.9 3.0 3.2 2.8 3.3 3.2
Daniel Southard 51.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Ben Young 53.3 0.1 0.3
Matthew Thomas 77.3
Kendall Muhammad 99.7
Alex Mortimer 105.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 2
3 1.4% 51.9% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.7 3
4 6.4% 11.8% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 5.6 0.8 4
5 12.0% 0.4% 0.1 12.0 0.1 5
6 16.9% 16.9 6
7 23.3% 23.3 7
8 18.8% 18.8 8
9 12.8% 12.8 9
10 5.3% 5.3 10
11 2.0% 2.0 11
12 0.8% 0.8 12
13 0.2% 0.2 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
Total 100% 1.8% 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 98.2 0.3 1.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Princeton 69.0% 1.0 0.7
Illinois 56.1% 1.0 0.6
Tulsa 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Columbia 4.0% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Tennessee 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.5% 1.0 0.0
California 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Belmont 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0