Missouri
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
8  Karissa Schweizer JR 19:24
199  Jamie Kempfer JR 20:18
264  Nicole Mello SR 20:29
356  Teylar Adelsberger SR 20:40
653  Jordyn Kleve FR 21:09
655  Kaitlyn Fischer JR 21:09
894  Ellyn Atkinson JR 21:25
1,436  Valeska Halamicek JR 21:58
1,694  Hannah Thomas SO 22:14
2,288  Bianca Mello JR 22:53
2,508  Emily Hahn SO 23:10
2,981  Faramola Shonekan FR 24:11
National Rank #34 of 344
Midwest Region Rank #4 of 37
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 29.0%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 6.3%


Regional Champion 2.4%
Top 5 in Regional 76.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Karissa Schweizer Jamie Kempfer Nicole Mello Teylar Adelsberger Jordyn Kleve Kaitlyn Fischer Ellyn Atkinson Valeska Halamicek Hannah Thomas Bianca Mello Emily Hahn
Commadore Classic 09/17 740 19:28 20:11 20:50 20:47 21:10 21:43 22:44
Chile Pepper Festival 10/01 757 19:32 20:27 20:38 20:41 22:06 22:09 21:22 21:45 22:09 22:48 23:31
Bradley "Pink" Classic 10/14 1365 21:26 22:21 24:09 23:29
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 694 19:21 20:28 20:25 20:44 21:15 20:56 22:35
SEC Championship 10/28 605 19:15 19:46 20:31 20:40 21:05 21:03 22:03 22:18
Midwest Region Championships 11/11 522 19:30 19:53 20:19 20:20 20:43 21:00 22:52





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 29.0% 24.1 565 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.1 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.8 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.5 2.3 2.0 1.9 1.2
Region Championship 100% 4.4 145 2.4 9.2 19.1 24.5 20.9 14.6 7.1 2.3 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karissa Schweizer 99.1% 13.3 2.1 3.0 4.6 3.9 4.6 4.6 3.7 3.9 4.3 3.9 3.9 3.1 3.5 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.1 2.5 2.2 2.5 2.4 1.7 1.8 1.1 2.0
Jamie Kempfer 30.8% 122.2 0.1
Nicole Mello 29.2% 159.1
Teylar Adelsberger 29.0% 187.2
Jordyn Kleve 29.0% 232.6
Kaitlyn Fischer 29.0% 232.1
Ellyn Atkinson 29.0% 243.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karissa Schweizer 1.0 59.9 27.1 6.6 2.6 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Jamie Kempfer 16.5 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.4 2.9 3.2 3.3 2.7 4.2 4.0 4.9 4.7 4.4 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.1 3.8 4.1 3.3 4.4 3.3 2.7 2.7
Nicole Mello 24.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.7 1.6 2.1 2.2 1.8 2.8 3.1 2.8 3.4 4.0 4.4 3.5 3.6 4.1 2.9 3.4 3.5
Teylar Adelsberger 33.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.7 1.2 1.8 2.0 1.5 2.6 1.3 2.0 2.5 2.9
Jordyn Kleve 71.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Kaitlyn Fischer 71.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Ellyn Atkinson 96.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 2.4% 100.0% 2.4 2.4 1
2 9.2% 100.0% 9.2 9.2 2
3 19.1% 48.8% 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.9 2.2 9.8 9.3 3
4 24.5% 29.0% 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.5 0.5 1.3 17.4 7.1 4
5 20.9% 4.6% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 19.9 1.0 5
6 14.6% 14.6 6
7 7.1% 7.1 7
8 2.3% 2.3 8
9 0.2% 0.2 9
10 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
Total 100% 29.0% 2.4 9.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 0.8 1.0 1.9 1.6 1.7 1.6 2.1 1.4 3.6 71.1 11.6 17.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Miss State 82.8% 2.0 1.7
Florida 27.8% 2.0 0.6
Furman 25.1% 1.0 0.3
Virginia 24.8% 1.0 0.2
Eastern Kentucky 12.1% 2.0 0.2
Kentucky 11.3% 1.0 0.1
Louisville 9.3% 2.0 0.2
Alabama 7.3% 1.0 0.1
Vanderbilt 6.1% 1.0 0.1
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Kansas 5.6% 1.0 0.1
Ohio State 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Butler 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.3% 2.0 0.0
Indiana 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 3.6
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 8.0